The Politburo meeting of the Communist Party of China was chaired by the official Chinese official, analyzing and studying the focus of economic work next year.It is reported that high -levels are discussing that the target of China's economic growth next year will be set up at about 5 %, and the focus of governments from local governments will be transferred from epidemic prevention to promote economic growth.
With China's continuous relaxation of crown disease epidemic control, the Politburo of the Communist Party of China this week has set the two keynote of "promoting the overall improvement of economic operation" and "vigorously boosting market confidence" for economic work next year.It is reported that high -levels are discussing that the target of China's economic growth next year will be set up at about 5 %, and the focus of governments from local governments will be transferred from epidemic prevention to promote economic growth.
The meeting held on Tuesday (December 6) was chaired by Chinese officials, analyzing and studying the focus of economic work in 2023.Compared with the Politburo Meeting in July this year, the expression of the statement of epidemic prevention in this week's official draft was significantly reduced, and it is no longer mentioned that "dynamic clearing zero"; compared with the meeting in the same period last year, it is no longer required to "foreign prevention preventionInput and internal prevention rebound "only said that it is necessary to" optimize the prevention and control measures of the epidemic "to better coordinate the prevention and control of the epidemic and the development of economic and social development.
Li Keqiang: Optimize the prevention of epidemic prevention measures, China's economic growth will continue to rise
Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang met with the World Bank President Malpas, who attended the round table dialogue on Thursday (8th), said that China announced 10 measures to further optimize the implementation of prevention and control in accordance with the changes in the epidemic situation.With the implementation of optimization and adjustment measures, China's economic growth will continue to rise.
At the meeting on Tuesday, the decision -making level of the Communist Party of China emphasized that the overall improvement of the economic operation is to vigorously boost market confidence, highlight the stable growth, employment, and price work, and effectively prevent and resolve major risks.The meeting also required fiscal policy to "improve efficiency" and monetary policy "accurate and powerful".
Wang Jun, director of the China Chief Economist Forum, analyzed in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that "promoting the overall improvement of economic operations" and "boosting market confidence" are newer puppets. It is aimed at this year's poor economic performance, marketing, marketing, marketingThe current situation of weak expectations is the main tone set by economic work next year.It is expected that the Central Economic Work Conference will be arranged around the promotion of economic improvement next week, and will formulate a goal of growth that meets the reality and can boost confidence.
In accordance with the convention, the Central Economic Work Conference held after the Politburo Conference in December each year will further explore indicators such as the growth goals and budget deficits of GDP (GDP), and make more specific deployment of the political policy of economic work next year.
Analysts generally expect that the economic growth rate of this year is only about 3 %
The Chinese government set up a target of about 5.5 % at the beginning of this year, but due to the impact of continuous epidemic prevention and controlling, analysts generally expect that the annual economic growth will be only about 3 %.This will be the first time that the actual economic growth of China has been far lower than the goal over decades.
Bloomberg quoted people familiar with the matter and said that high -levels are discussing the target of China's GDP growth in 2023 at about 5 %.Some officials support this decision that the goal of high growth will help bring the focus of governments at all levels and governments from all levels from epidemic prevention to promoting economic growth, but some officials are worried that the goal is too high.This target number has not been finalized.
Wang Jun believes that, except for 2020 and this year, China's economic growth has not been less than 5 % in recent years.If the growth goal is too low, deviate from the level of potential growth rate (5 % to 6 %), which is recognized as the outside world, which is not conducive to boosting market confidence, nor does it meet the "14th Five -Year Plan" and achieve the need for the long -term viewing target of 2035.The growth rate.
"On the other hand, considering the decline in external demand exceeding the expected decline and the real estate market has not yet recovered, the consumption has not yet appeared significantly. Next year, the economy will still face many uncertain factors. It is not easy to achieve a 5 % growth."
Yan Yuejin, research director of the Think Tank Center of the E -House Research Institute, pointed out that the Politburo Conference clearly made efforts to expand domestic demand and give full play to the basic role of consumption and the key role of investment.Combined with the frequent mention of housing consumption demand at various meetings, it is expected that the Central Economic Work Conference will have a new method for housing consumption demand next week. Some subdivided heavy policies that stimulate housing consumption will also be introduced densely.
