(Beijing News) Chinese disease control experts say that no matter how the epidemic prevention and control policies are adjusted, most people will inevitably be infected with crown diseases, and it is expected that 80 % of the people will eventually be infected.
According to the China Youth Daily report on Wednesday (December 7), Feng Zijian, a member of the expert group of the China Crown Disease Control and Control Mechanism, made the above judgment on the development of the epidemic in the special report speech on Tuesday (6th).
He said that according to the calculation of mathematical models, when the first wave of large -scale impact of the epidemic reaches the highest peak, the infection rate in the crowd may reach about 60%, and then it will gradually fall to a stable period, which may eventually 80%to 90 to 90%Of people will experience infection.
In order to deal with the first wave of large -scale impact, Feng Zijian said that there are three things that need to be done well, including taking appropriate measures to suppress the peak of the epidemic infection; the medical system is prepared in advance;Elderly people with chronic diseases.
Feng Zijian pointed out that the measures to suppress the peak include reducing personnel gathering and flowing, entertainment activities and eating food, and encourage non -critical jobs to live in home and office.Bring greater pressure. This requires weighing every city according to its own situation. "
He believes that the need to do a good job in the process of medical services, the preparation of the model conversion, and improve the management model of the hospital to protect other inpatient patients and reduce the infection of medical staff, and reduce the pressure facing the medical system.
He also suggested that the elderly who have not yet completed the vaccination vaccination as soon as possible, "the effect of vaccine is very significant for reducing the risk of serious diseases in high -risk elderly people."
