International Financial Association (IIF) believes that the performance of the global economy next year will be as weak as 2009 after the financial crisis.Maximum growth momentum.
According to Bloomberg, the Economist Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun of the International Financial Association wrote in a report in a report in a report on Thursday (November 24) that 2023 Global in 2023Economic growth is expected to slow to 1.2%.After adjusting the base effect, economic materials are as weak as 2009.
Analysts wrote: "The degree of impact of Global GDP depends mainly on the trajectory of the Ukrainian war. Our baseline context forecast is that the war will be dragged until 2024, because this war is for PutinDecided on life and death. "
The International Financial Association predicts that the decline in European economy is the most obvious, and the region is also the most affected by the war.Following a sharp decline in consumer confidence and corporate confidence, the euro zone economy will shrink by 2%.For the United States, IIF expects that GDP will increase by 1%, and the Latin American economy may increase by 1.2%.
The International Financial Association believes that the biggest motivation to promote the global economy next year will be China, because China is likely to relax epidemic control.