(Washington Composite Electric) analysis pointed out that when President Bynden was coming to the presidential election, it was a political betting against Yemen to launch a military blow.Biden hopes to establish a strong country in the United States at home and abroad, but the attack may not be able to stabilize the situation. Instead, there is greater risk of upgrading, allowing Bayon to be trapped in political and military difficulties in the election.
Analysis said that the US military's crackdown on Herhay was criticized by Republicans as a policy mistake. Former President Trump criticized Biden "throwing bombs again around the Middle East."The former governor of South Carolina, who has become the presidential candidate of the Republican Party, and the governor of the South Carolina, the governor of the state, and the governor of Florida, Desandis, both criticized Biden for weakness in foreign policy.
Martin, a scholar at Washington University, believes that as long as the crackdown on Marcer is limited, it will not allow Biden to benefit or be hit politically."President Biden does not want to be dragged into another conflict in the Middle East, as is many of his predecessors. But if Bayeng does not take any action, the authority of the United States will be considered challenging."
He pointed out that the impact of the Red Sea Shipping is a bigger problem.Because of the continuous attack of the Houthi armed forces, the prices of food and gasoline in the United States have soared at a critical moment when Bayeon seek re -election.Martin said: "This year is the year of election. The Bayeng government is particularly nervous about this topic, which is not surprising."
Experts: It is impossible to eliminate the security threat to the Red Sea
Some experts believe that the recent cracking down on Houthi armed forces is unlikely to eliminate the threat of Marcer's security on the Red Sea.
Jon Alterman, director of the Middle East Project of the United States Strategy and International Research Center, predicts that the next attack of the Hassas armed forces will decrease, but the threat to shipping is still there.He said that the difficulty of military blows is to make Huscelon understand that he has no chance of winning and in the end. "But it is unclear whether they have reached such conclusions."
Schwarz, a retired Lieutenant General of the United States Army and a senior researcher at the US Think Tank Rand Company, also believes that the attack on shipping will continue.
He said that the U.S. military has attacked military infrastructure so far, but if Marcelon continues to attack the ship, the US attack target may shift to the Hersey armed leader.
The senior researcher of the Middle East Research Department of the US Foreign Relations Commission, Aiblames, said that the attack of the United States and the United Kingdom seems to be a fierce attack on the Hassas, not a symbolic blow.He is likely to launch an attack again, but the frequency and intensity should be reduced, and Iran, who supports Hassas, will ask them not to exacerbate the situation.
However, some analysts believe that the military strikes of the United States and Britain not only cannot be deterrent to Hassy forces, but they are counterproductive.Former Ambassador to the United States, Felstan, even believed that the United States was involved in the war and was armed in the middle of Hassas.
Ferntein said: "They (Hassas) is confident to resist the blow of the United States, and to win more widespread support."
Scholars: Iran will not be involved in conflict
In addition, scholars who specialize in Iranian issues believe that Iran will not join the conflict, and the bottom line is that Iranian territory is not attacked.Sources from Iran pointed out that Tehran did not want to be involved in it.
The analyst of the Eurasian Group of Political Risk Consulting Bruce believes that Tehran is still cautious about the expansion of conflict and does not want to "be rejected by potential revenge."He said that other Iranian agency organizations in the Middle East may respond, but Iran is unlikely to take some moves to upgrade the situation.
