Harvard University Outstanding Honor Professor Joseph Na on Thursday (November 7) predicted at the "Far View Summit" held in Taipei that in the future Trump 2.0, the United States has geography, population, technology, andThe advantages of soft power and international alliances will still take advantage of competition in the United States and China.
Former US President Trump US -eighth time on Wednesday (November 6) won the US presidential election again.Joseph Naita made the above -mentioned representation when he delivered a video speech on "The New President of the United States on the U.S. era and the world".
Joseph Nai believes that after Trump's reunion of the White House, the world will face the Trump 2.0 era, which will have a greater impact on Europe.Too big changes.
He takes the Russian and Ukraine War, which lasted for more than two years, saying that as Trump took office, the US military support for Ukraine will weaken. "Trump claims that he will resolve the war in one day,This is obviously a bit exaggerated. But the negotiations of war mediation are imperative, which also means that (President Ukraine) Zelezzky's negotiation position will be weakened. "
The competition between the United States and China and Russia is also the focus of Trump's second term.Joseph Naito judged that competition in the United States and China is likely to expand, but the United States still has an advantage.
He said that Trump believes in auctible businessism, and its international trade consultant includes the well -known conservative Robert Lighthizer. "The degree, we cannot judge, we just hope that we will not develop to a comprehensive trade war. "
Joseph Nai said to Taiwan at the same time that Trump ’s attitude towards Taiwan’ s second term will focus more on “trading” interaction and will not move significantly for Taiwan military sales, but “Taiwan in TaiwanIt will face more pressure, including tariffs and technical ban on China. "
Wu Yushan: The entire United States will Trump'sization
Wu Yushan, an academician of the Taiwan Central Research Institute, further pointed out at the same forum that the United States has been quite Trumpist.Trump not only led the voter votes, but also won an overwhelming victory about 52%to 47%. It was almost the same as the current US President Biden Biden's winning voter. He won the history of the United States.The second high votes were second only to Biden at the time, showing that Trump's basic market did not break in the last election.
Wu Yushan analyzes the root cause of Trumpism from the perspective of hegemony competition, high businessism and right -wing populism, respectively, Trumpism has across three elections since 2016. From many aspects,The US Vice President Harris is also a "Little Trump", and after the entire United States Trump, the biggest victim will be the liberalism and its allies in the United States.
Looking forward to the future, Wu Yushan believes that China will continue to expand forces to challenge the US hegemony; the American industry will also continue to be challenged by trading opponents, especially under the rapid development of the AI high -tech industry, the United StatesThe gap between the rich and the poor is expected to continue to expand.
He also said that with the continued existence of the factors that promoted Trump's growth, Trumpism will continue to develop, forcing Republicans to accept its program, even for the attractiveness of the public, evenGuide Democrats to move closer to their policies.