Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridge Water, believes that China and the United States are already on the "Brink of War", and the situation will worsen as the United States enters the 2024 Presidential election season season.Essence
According to Bloomberg, Dalio, who visited China on Wednesday (April 26), wrote on Wednesday (April 26), saying: "Due to the arrival of the 2024 election season, the political influence of the American eagle will be inIn the next 18 months, we will put more pressure on relations between the two countries. "
He wrote:" This will be a period of great risk, because China and the United States are now on the edge of war."
Dalio believes that although the war is not inevitable, many" red lines "will be pushed to the edge, including Taiwan issues, China -Russia relations, and the United States' semiconductor lifeline.One has risks, and they constitute a lot of risks together. "
Dalio said that both China and the United States clearly show that they know that economic decoupling or military confrontation will be disastrous., But they are testing each other's limits.
Taiwan will hold a presidential election in January 2024, and in 10 months will be the US presidential election.
Dalio, 73, founded the world's largest hedge fund. He abandoned the control of the bridge last year.