Taiwan Strait situation
Although the Bayeon government in the United States has strongly denied that Perosi's visit to Taiwan has caused any crisis, experts believe that Plose's trip has indeed pushed Sino -US relations to the cliff, and the Taiwan Strait's nervousness.The situation has also been upgraded to the highest level in nearly 30 years, and the risk of military conflicts has also increased.
(Washington Composite Electric) Sino -US relations are highly tight because of Perosi's visit to Taiwan. Analysts said that the scale of military and political reactions in Beijing foreshadows that the relationship between the two super -powerful powers may fall into a trough.lasting.
Perosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives, persisted in visiting Taiwan regardless of the Chinese opposition.After Pelosi ended his visit, Beijing announced that it had implemented countermeasures to the United States, including the suspension and cancellation of cooperation between China and the United States in military, judicial, climate change and other fields.
Although the Bayeng government in the United States has strongly denied Perlus's visit to Taiwan, experts believe that Perlis's trip has indeed pushed Sino -US relations to the edge of the cliff.The risk of military conflicts is also increasing.
Ge Laiyi, a Chinese expert at the Marshall Foundation in Germany, said that Sino -US relations are now very bad.She bluntly stated that Perosi was out of time to visit Taiwan. Although she did not know what the consequences would be in the end, the countermeasures taken by Beijing so far are enough to worry."We don't know what will happen to China next, and it is not clear whether all this is just temporary."
Former Asian analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency of the United States believes that the military exercise of mainland China in the Taiwan Strait is designed to change the status quo."I think this will be a new normal. China wants to show that the visit of the US Speaker has gone through the border."
He believes that China can also change the status quo through the fields of diplomacy, economy, information, and networks, and these changes will have a great impact on the longer long -term cross -strait and Sino -US relations.
However, Timothy Heath, a senior researcher at the US Think Tank's Corporation, pointed out that if the status quo is changed, it will be Beijing, so it will not want to fight."We are likely to enter a long period of tension, but I think that Beijing will not be willing to break with the United States because of Taiwan's issue ... Chinese officials do not really want to fight us."
Joseph Torigian, a professor of international relations at the University of America, also believes that China does not want to upgrade the tension to a military conflict. Military exercises only need to convey a message, that is, as long as China wants to do it, it has the ability to change regional power balance."China believes that the United States does not respect the interests of the Chinese side on the Taiwan issue, so signals are sent through the measures that have not been taken in the past, indicating that they can respond by changing the status quo."
Commonly dealing with climate change, China and the United States stop cooperation.
In addition to political impact, Beijing's stop cooperation with the United States is also interesting, especially to deal with climate change.
The two major discharge countries last year at the 26th UN Climate Change Conference held in Glasgow, UK last year, unexpectedly reached an agreement and agreed to strengthen cooperation in response to climate change in the next 10 years.Today, this cooperation is doubtful.The author of the Special Commission of the UN Government Government, the author of the special committee, described that China announced that it was a "thorough disaster" to stop cooperation with the United States, which was comparable to the US withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement.
The senior analyst at the climate change think tank E3G also said: "China and the United States are the two major economies and emitted countries in the world. If the two countries do not take action, the climate crisis cannot be resolved."
UN Secretary -General Gutresz on Friday (August 5) has pointed out through a spokesman that Sino -US cooperation is essential to solve various "most urgent problems" in the world.
However, Vasco, director of the International Climate Action Plan of the World Resources Research Institute, believes that China's countermeasures "must not withdraw from the world stage on climate issues or refuse to take action on climate issues."
The founder of the climate and energy think tank "African Electric Power Reform" Mohada Adao agreed with this view.He said that Beijing's announcement did not say that it would abandon the promise because "China leads the United States in many ways in response to climate change."