Taiwan ’s largest in the National Congress of the Kuomintang of the Wild Party on Sunday (July 23) with a thunderbolt applauding method, she nominated the New Taipei Mayor Hou Youyi to run for the 2024 presidential election.Regardless of the suspicion, cooperate with the unity drama.Unexpectedly, "Zun Han" slowly slowly changed the sound of "changing Hou" in the party for less than two days, and the "little knife" of the CEO of the election office of the election office of Hou Youyi waved to the comrades in the party and shouted with the party chairman Zhu Lilun.Pred in the illusion of solidarity.
Hou Youyi's campaign office originally hoped that the whole generation would sprint through the formal nomination and set it up after one.The Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun threw the "Governor of Governance" in the whole generation that made Jin Xicong and Hou Youyi the second King Kong who couldn't touch it; pan -blue people were worried that Hou Youyi was too weak, and Lai Qingde, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party who passed the governance, was elected., Triggering cross -strait conflicts, it is recommended to form a "political party rotation league" to make Hou's preparation pressure.
Professor Wang Yeli, a professor at the political department of Taiwan University, told the United Morning Post that the controversy of the "Government Union" shows that Zhu Lilun and Jin Yicong and Hou Youyi have no communication on major issues, or they have communicated without consensus.It is the alliance during the campaign. For example, the consideration and cooperation nominated by a single legislature will be the latter to win a majority of seconds to discuss how to form the cabinet. "
He said that after Jin Yicong's entry into the main office, there are still problems in the party's integration so far. Hou Youyi, who is in disadvantage, must make a difference and propose specific policies to support it.challenge.
A number of polls: 60 % of the people want political parties to rotate
The DPP has been in power for nearly eight years, and it is the best state of the Taiwan economy in the past 20 years, but its fairness and justice commitment has not been fulfilled.There are endless cases, and the results of a number of polls show that 60 % of the people want political parties to rotate.
At first, the Kuomintang thought that Hou Youyi could attract votes in pan -green, central and southern and middle, but did not expect Hou Youyi to perform unsatisfactory. Since May 17, he was called for less than a month to the president of election.Lai Qingde was lagging behind, and even lost to Ke Wenzhe, a presidential party president who had been established in less than four years to accompany the last seat.Guo Taiming's polls that have not been announced independently and Hou Youyi is between Bo Zhong.
Hou Youyi is stable and honest, but his mouth is not good and lacks the charm of the leaders. Even Jin Yicong believes that Hou's "image is blurred" and must quickly highlight the personality characteristics of the criminal police iron man and ground.Some political observers believe that Lai Qingde has experienced a complete political experience, Ke Wenzhe is humorous, and Hou Youyi's performance has shown that Hou has been "not ready" for more than two months.
Hou Youyi used to keep a distance from the Kuomintang in the past. The anti -green flag is not as clear as Ke Wenzhe and Guo Taiming. Many pan -blue voters may not want to vote, or they want to switch to Ke Wenzhe, who may be removed from the DPP.The voters were upset and refused to watch related programs.A driver named Chen told the United Morning Post that the Kuomintang was useless. Every time he was in the inside of the fighting, the layman was fighting, and it was useless.
The candidate for Pan Blue Legislative Council to understand that Hou Youyi has insufficient political energy. Not only is it unable to help pull up, it will even drag these chicks and fall into collective anxiety, so that they will seek Ke Wenzhe's aid or hope for Guo Taiming's note.The Party Central Committee and Jin Yicong blindly asked the comrades in the party to unite, but it was difficult to soothe their anxiety in their hearts.
"Party Rotary Alliance" has no consensus
Chen Changwen, a former vice chairman of the Sea base, made a joint newspaper of the Blue Blossom Blue, saying that Jin Xicong had a strategic error, saying that the party's rotation was the direction of the people.Jin Yicong's feeling to the outside world is that "even if Hou Youyi polls the bottom, he will never be divided into votes." It makes the outside world think that Hou Youyi regards his election more important than the well -being of the future people in Taiwan.
In order to remove the Democratic Progressive Party, Chen Changwen suggested that Hou Youyi actively invited a fair and prestigious third party to host Hou, Ke, and Guo "in the wild"; before the formal registration on November 20, through the fairThe institution conducts polls, and the winner is the auxiliary of the positive and losers to join the president in the wild.
The "Party Rotary League" is the common voice of many people in the blue camp.Lan Camp people believe that Lai Qingde, a "pragmato Taiwan independence worker", has faced the risk of war on both sides of the strait. To be removed from the Democratic Progressive Party, cooperation in the field is a must, not a problem, but how to do it.
Jin Yicong accused the "political party rotation alliance" to destroy his prestige, longing for others' ambitions, and disadvantageing the morale of the military.How can the Kuomintang candidates be deputy, "must have the party and the soul of the party."He emphasized that the worst situation was "falling down his chest."
Jin Jicong agrees to talk to the people's party, but you can't show the cards first, otherwise it will make the opponent grow faster.However, Jin Jicong's auxiliary target at this time was not the former president Ma Ying -jeou, and there was no good and objective conditions such as the Kuomintang Party.
Zhu Lilun put forward the concept of the "Non -Green Alliance" as early as the beginning of the year, and proposed the three -stage integration theory, that is, to carry out intra -party integration, and then cooperate with the Pan Blue Friends, thereby integrating all non -green parties and jointly removed the DPP party togetherEssence
The situation of calling Hou Youyi is not as good as expected. The attitude of the Party Central Committee has turned into ambiguous. First, the "Ko Ke and Guo Guo" clause of "prohibiting invitations to other party platforms" was sacrificed.Zhu Lilun also said that cooperating with his party "everything is possible", and the high -level opinions are different, but they will be aimed at the legislator candidate to be friendly with Ke Guo.Guo Taiming's Kuomintang legislator Chen Yuzhen pointed out on Facebook that "I hope that the efficiency of the Democratic Progressive Party is as fast as the chicks who hit their own, and continue to wear the king's new clothes."
Guo Taiming has repeatedly emphasized that "public opinion is greater than the party's intention."He will go to the United States to pray for a blessing of Taiwan on Sunday (July 30). "I hope everyone will give Taiwan a chance and give Taiwan Aming a chance."
In other words, Hou Youyi has only one month that he is the strongest candidate, otherwise Guo is likely to enter the election campaign.The outside world believes that Guo Taiming's election violated the promise of Hou Youyi, who claimed to support Hou Youyi at the beginning, and damaged integrity, and the support of the two was almost the same. Guo could not be elected, but he would become a sinner of the Kuomintang.
Former Legislative Council of the Kuomintang: Hou Youyi has no chance of winning
Cai Zhengyuan, a former legislator of the Kuomintang, asserted to this report that Hou Youyi had no chance of winning. Guo Taiming's possibility could not be ruled out. Once Guo Taiming was put into election campaign, as long as there was a 10%support rate, he had the capital and Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi.
He analyzed that Guo Taiming's supporters were mainly economic voters and people who had benefited Guo in the past to donate Germany Pfizer BNT crowds.Basic voters, the Kuomintang's social support is less than 30 %. Hou Youyi, who has maintained a distance from the Kuomintang in the past, only received 60 % of the party's support.
Cai Zhengyuan pointed out that Ke Wenzhe, Guo Taiming, and Hou Youyi each represent the social attributes. If they cannot be converted into a force, they will be defeated.The biggest influence is Ke Wenzhe. From the perspective of the polls, Ke was affected by 8 percentage points. Hou would lose 2 percentage points. Guo was forced by war.Ke Wenzhe did not sing, so there are too many variables in the future. "
If Guo Taiming puts on the election campaign in September, the president's election will be more confusing.
"Blue and White" 踟蹰 difficult to move forward for a long time to be better than Lai Qingde
Taiwanese voters have been thinking about the world. Many polls show that although 60 % of voters in Taiwan are looking forward to "party rotation", unless the National Democratic President Candidates Hou Youyi and the people's party presidential candidate, Lai QingdeIt is expected to be elected president in 2024.
The Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun called the Kuomintang to unite the Democratic Progressive Party to unite the Kuomintang Communist Party "Non -Green alliance". I did not expect Hou Youyi to fall too fast.Blue votes all turned to Ke Wenzhe.
The Kuomintang with a century -old Kuomintang cannot accept the expected "blue and white" into a "white and blue harmony" led by the people's party, not to mention that the Kuomintang has 14 counties and 38 legislators.The lack of grass -roots organizations and even regional legislators nominations are under difficulty.
People before the party: Double party senior officials have not officially discussed cooperation
However, the reality is that after the Kuomintang united on July 23, the results announced by the TVBS poll center on Thursday (July 27) showed that Lai Qingde still led 32%of Ke Wenzhe slightly ahead of 33%.Back to 25%, still ranked third.
Ke Wenzhe's close relatives and the former legislators of the party, Cai Qiru, said to Lianhe Morning Post: "If Ke Wenzhe still leads Hou Youyi 8 to 10 percentage points, voters may abandon Hou Zhan Ke; but if the gap is within 3 to 5 percentage points, the gapWith the Big Brother's mentality of the Kuomintang's century -old party, the DPP, who is good at election, will inevitably create the case of the Kuomintang and the people's polls, making it difficult for votersClean, so this game is very difficult, you can only watch while walking. "
She said that the two -party executives have not officially talked about cooperation, and they all know that only cooperation can achieve the purpose of party rotation, and it is difficult to act in actual operation.
She explained that the Kuomintang's supporters include deep blue, economic blue, and Korean fans (former mayor of Kaohsiung Mayor Korean Yu fans), Guo Fan (fans of the founder of Hon Hai Group Guo Taiming).The middle voters and young people, because when Ke Wenzhe was the mayor of Taipei, South Korea ’s Yu was the origin of the general manager of the Taipei Agricultural Communication and Sales Company.1+1 = 2 may still be offset each other, it is difficult to expand. Instead, the brothers are working hard to climb their own efforts. Finally, voters have decided to invest to the Presidential Candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party. "
Wang Yeli, a professor at the political department of Taiwan University, said in an interview with this newspaper that Song Chuyu, chairman of the People's Party Chairman Song Chuyu in 2004, is stronger than the Kuomintang. There are dozens of legislators under his men.The deputy of the Kuomintang Chairman Lien Chan, today Ke Wenzhe's situation is not stronger than Song Chuyu. The Kuomintang and the People's Party may have to comprehensively discuss how the cabinet is formed and the arrangement of legislators nomination.
But before the communication between the two parties, the Kuomintang Party Central Committee and Hou Office regenerated the gap for Zhu Lilun's "Governor of the Governor".Zhu Hou said slowly, Jin Jicong said that he hoped to be better. He was unity.He emphasized that in many issues of the Legislative Yuan, they must cooperate with the people's party. In terms of the staff of the staff and the planning of the legislators, do not cause the love and hatred, first stack the goodwill, and finally work hard to achieve the goal between the blue and white and the wild.
If Hou Youyi has not improved in August, the contradiction of "蹭 蹭 <<" is bound to reproduce
Zhu Lilun does not forget to remind that all party members have the responsibility to support the president and legislators nominated by the party. In particular, the nominated comrades of the legislators must abide by the code of behavior during the election period they have approved.If you persuade you not to listen, you must deal with party discipline.
If Hou Youyi's election has not improved significantly by the end of August, the contradiction between the Kuomintang legislators Candidate, Ko Ke to find Guo, will have to reproduce.
Ke Wenzhe mentioned the future co -government of the government as early as April and May of this year, and the outside world did not take the third place at the time.Now that Ke Wenzhe's voice is different, he also said that if he has won in the future, the three party legislators will not be half a second.This was interpreted for him who did not rule out the DPP Cooperation Group Pavilion.Ke Wenzhe did not explain this more, and he was suspicious.
Wang Yeli said that the Constitution does not stipulate that the Pavilion is composed of the largest party. Ke Wenzhe's view on the political and constitutional system of the political party and the constitutional system makes the outside world confuse.State, value and budget, etc., are very different from local councils, such as unified independence issues and nuclear power policies, which cannot be composed of the Taipei Municipal Government. "
Because the Kuomintang and the people have their own calculations, the prospects of "blue and white" are unknown. Guo Taiming's trend is unpredictable. Therefore, Lai Qingde is still the most popular presidential candidate in Taiwan.
