Israel's "October Adventure" action this this this this year is not part of the "October surprise" in the United States.However, once this October, the results of the US presidential election were released. No matter who the two parties won, the two parties may not be so tolerated or even condoned the adventure operations of Israel.Israel's "October Adventure" operation obviously has high risks, and has caused great pressure.
Every time the US presidential election, there will be a so -called "October surprise" phenomenon, that is, before the vote in early November, the election teams or interest groups will make every effort to create some unexpected events to help the candidates who support their support to obtain the support of their supportable candidates to get obtainedPay more attention and votes.In October this year, the "October surprise" in the United States has not been significant, but foreign allies have presented corresponding actions, especially the various amazing events launched by Israel, which is enough to affect the US election.When many people think that this is an Israeli Prime Minister Negatrou in his own way and giving an old friend Trump, Israel's "October Adventure" action does deserve more attention and vigilance.
Around October, Israel suddenly began to increase its blow to surrounding rivals.On the basis of basically ending the military operations of the Gaza Strip, Israel's transfer of military deployment focuses on Lebanon's dozens of commanders, including the Sasrola, the supreme leader of the Ozo Party, to weaken their grass -roots command systems with call machines and intercom bombs., And formed a great psychological deterrent to ordinary people; another ground military operation in southern Lebanon has been launched since 2006; remotely strike the base of the Hussean armed forces, and vowed to launch revenge on Iranian missile attacks.
The world is paying attention to where these adventures of Israel will go, because this is likely to trigger direct wars between Iran and Israel.The two comprehensive wars between the two biggest opponents are not only unbearable in the Middle East, but the world is also unbearable.
These adventures of Israel are understandable.After all, this severe conflict, the war between Israel and the surrounding Arab world, has not stopped since the founding of 1948. It is an eternal goal of Israel as a country as a country.At the same time, this "October Adventure" operation also responded to Hamas's initiative to provoke the "Aksa Flood" operation in the same period last year.The days when the New Year starts, seize the opportunities brought by the crisis, and Israel is by no means the main strategic consideration of the right -wing group.
In fact, choosing October as the best time for military adventure is by no means unique to Israel's operation.Looking back at the six Middle East War, Israel is one side, Palestine and allies are the other.), The third (1967), the fifth time (1982) is May, June, and the second (1956), the fourth (1973) and the latest (2023) are allIn October.I want to come to these two time points has specific significance. May and June should be the UN General Assembly of the UN General Assembly to confirm the time when Pakistan and two countries have established. It is significant. It is worthy of promoting the goal of the entire founding of the country to build the country.Realization; October is the end of the Muslim fasting month, the time of the start of the Jewish New Year, and the lazy time of the holiday holiday, which is often the best window period identified by all parties.
Israel's "October Adventure" action this year is difficult to say that it is not part of the "October surprise" in the United States.In the current October, the two parties in the United States did not dare to offend Israel. Not only will they not stop their adventure, but even have to give strong support, just like what has been done and helping Israel to intercept Iranian missiles, including commitments, also includes promiseIt will support Israel, including Iran, because any candidate in the United States dare not offend a strong Jewish lobbying group at this time.However, once this October, the results of the US presidential election were released. No matter who the two parties won, the two parties may not be so tolerated or even condoned the adventure operations of Israel.
If Harris came to power, the Democratic Party has always been more inclined to use international law, UN platform, allies, etc. to deal with regional disputes.It may not be able to have too high expectations for this old friend, because Trump, who emphasizes the priority of the United States, may consider the cost and income of continuing to invest in the chaos in the Middle East.Trump was prohibitive and left Israel to fight against the entire Arab world alone by his own strength.Therefore, this year Israel's "October Adventure" operation has to use the "October surprise" period of the United States to increase its efforts to seek breakthrough progress in this month in order to solidify the existing results.
Israel's "October Adventure" operation is obviously high risk, and it has already caused great pressure.Israel showed contempt and disregard of the United Nations and international law systems. For example, to create large -scale humanitarian disasters in the Gaza Strip, and protests and condemnation of humanitarian institutions such as the Red Cross; limited ground operations in Southern Lebanon have caused hugeSurgery, the United Nations peacekeeping forces who have been stationed for many years at this time; claiming that the United Nations Secretary -General Guterres is an unpopular person, ignoring the international legitimacy of this institution, including the Security Council, including the United States.This approach.
Such actions have also aroused dissatisfaction among many countries, especially some great powers and countries that have had good relationships with Israel, including South Africa, India, China, etc. have publicly condemned Israel's unscrupulous military operations; French President Macron has called on Western developed countries in the West, Jointly promote the weapon embargo on Israel.In other words, Israel's "October Adventure" action must be successful under tremendous pressure, or it must achieve its own goals before the pressure cannot withstand.
Neutanahu, known as the "undead bird" in politics, has set the longest record in Israel's governance. Now he is still trying to create history to completely change Israel's security environment.The group's political destiny is also for the future security pattern of Israel and the entire Middle East.However, it may not be much time for him and Israel. This October may be the last chance.
The author is Yangzhou current affairs commentator
