Source: Bloomberg
China, Russia, and the United States and their allies are trying to win other countries to join their own camps. A competition for global influence has become more and more intense.
Today's multi -polarized world structure includes many opposing factors, and the different positions of various countries against the Russian and Ukraine War are the most obvious example.It is expected that at a series of high -end political conferences in the next few months, this will be even more revealed. First, the seven -nation leader (G7) summit held in Japan on May 19.According to the documents seen by Bloomberg News and news from people familiar with the matter, G7 and EU leader Huai Bei launched a special plan for specific countries to fight against China and Russia.
This strategy involves cooperation with so -called intermediate zones such as Brave, Vietnam, South Africa and Kazakhstan. The goal is to achieve high interaction with these countries, improve the coordinationNational Custom Action Plan for Key Partners.
This move is tantamount to admitting that compared with Western countries, China's scattered dotted diplomacy, investment in overseas infrastructure, and Russia's supply in weapons, nuclear energy technology and fertilizers are more attractive to middle countries.People familiar with the matter said that the core of G7's efforts has shifted from valuable -oriented intangible output to tangible presence of trade and security.
Assistant Secretary of State Brian Nichols, the United States responsible for Western Hemisphere Affairs, said, "What is important is to provide choices for our hemisphere and countries around the world. Washington needs to provide clear ideas and visions to countries to explain how to achieve economic success. At the same timeIt is vain that some of countries like China will not be fulfilled. "
Although the G7 allies have all worked sanctions against Russia and they basically have concerns about China as national security as the United States, it is not only them who can "good conditions" to the middle country.When Biden and other G7 leaders sat down in Hiroshima, Chinese President Xi Jinping will hold a China-Central Asian Summit in Xi'an in the next two days.
In July this year, Russian President Putin will receive African leaders in his hometown St. Petersburg.The Russian side blame Western sanctions that have attributed the inflation caused by the increase in energy prices and the shortage of food shortage of African countries, instead of Russia's aggression on Ukraine.It is expected to emphasize this view in Putin, St. Petersburg.
By August, the BRICS five countries consisting of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa will hold a meeting in Johannesburg. So far, 19 countries have proposed to join the organization. South Africa claims that the BRICS countries will discuss during the summit period.Common currency plan.These two things are good news for Beijing, because China is the first to properly expand the BRICS countries, and it also supports other currencies other than the US dollar outside the BRICS countries.
Two government officials from the middle country said that in recent years, the world structure has undergone tremendous changes, and Western powers have lost their political and economic influence that can be pressured to develop countries in the past.An official says more straightforward: Rather than saying that we need the West, it is better to say that they need us.
What happened last week can see the sensitivity of this relationship.The US Ambassador to South Africa accused Billeria of supplying weapons to Russia. The Rand against the US dollar immediately reached a record low, and the two sides had to quickly take action to extinguish contradictions.Although South Africa is a frequent visitor to the G7 Summit, this this year, Japan also invited representatives of the African Union representatives that are currently in the Rotent Chairman of Koimoro to attend the G7 summit.
G7's allies have previously tried to fight against China and introduced some measures that hopes to be divided into court, but the result is halfway.However, a person familiar with the matter said that Russia's war on Ukraine has injected a new sense of mission to these efforts, especially when Moscow has intensified the spread of false information, using Africa, Latin America, and the wider "Global South" region of anti -Western emotions in the regionThis is the case when making contradictions.
"The international community is at the historic crossroads and enters the era when cooperation and division are intertwined," said Noriyuki Shikata, an official of the Japanese Cabinet House, "This makes G7 and emerging and development.The country's strategic cooperation in global affairs has become more important. "
U.S. Secretary of State Brosky said at a joint press conference held with Japanese Prime Minister Kishida on April 18, "I think we spend about two -thirds of the concern for the concerns of the" Global Southern "country."
Given the current common distrust and even resentment, the challenges faced by the G7 are daunting.
A person familiar with the matter revealed that India, who served as the G-20 round of chairman, hopes to maintain strategic autonomy and adopt the "transaction method" of businessman when dealing with the United States.If India wants to choose a border station between China and the West, New Delhi will stand on the sides of Washington and Sifang.But if it is made between the West and Russia, New Delhi will be more preferred to Moscow, but it will only be covered by taking a neutral route on the surface.
India relies on Russia to provide weapons, including deployment of border border with China.India's existing security and foreign policies have a deep prestige for the United States.Everything provided by the West has a price code, whether it is placed on the bright side or under the table.For example, once the situation needs, the United States will use India's human rights and news freely.People familiar with the matter said that India did not have such concerns when dealing with Moscow.
Vietnam is another intermediate zone country that the G7 summit is concerned about, and it is also a bone that is more difficult.Although Vietnam is conducive to getting rid of the dependence on the supply chain of China, American companies like Apple are still making products in China. In fact, Vietnam cannot ignore the huge consumer market in China just because of border disputes.Therefore, China is still the largest trading partner country in Vietnam. Although the United States is the second, it is a big gap with China.
At the same time, Vietnamese officials have been relatively silent to Russia's invasion of Ukraine because the country has a long -term security partnership with Russia, which can be traced back to the Vietnam War.Naledi Pandor, Minister of International Relations and Cooperation of South Africa, said that this is also a consideration of Africa, because Russia provides weapons to the liberation movement, and the entire "Africa knows this."
There is a document that lists the European Union to strengthen the connection with the four pilot countries, namely Brazil, Nigeria, Kazakhstan, Chile.However, it may be particularly difficult to implement in South America. With the increase in China's influence in the region, the traditional "territory" of the United States is becoming smaller.Costa Rodrigo Chaves, President of Costa Rican, who has always been the United States, said in an interview that Washington needs to "re -adjust" the attention of the region because the current alliance "seems to be more vulnerable than ever before, and the United States' stable allies in the local areaThere are few.
Brazil has become a vane, President Lula is trying to establish his position as a global politician.As part of the plan, the European Union will seek to restart strategic partnership with Brazil, reach a trade agreement with the Mercosur BLOC, and strengthen security and national defense cooperation.
Although Lulla's strategy to China and its Ukraine is also responsible for the war, the United States still announced its plan to use $ 500 million to protect the Amazon River.The United States Ambassador to the United Nations Linda Thomas-Greenfield visited Brazil this month, emphasizing that as part of the "strategic relationship" with this largest Latin American economy, the United States will invest and create employment locally.
Three familiar people revealed that Lula was hesitant when he was invited to participate in the G7 summit at the beginning. He didn't know where the organizer would arrange him.It is reported that the Lulla government has a general point of view, thenAlthough the G7 has an important symbolic significance, after all, it represents the old age and the decline.
German Prime Minister Tsutash visited Brazilian, Buenos Aires and San Diego earlier this year, and planned to hold joint consultations with officials in Lula Cabinet in Berlin later this year.One of the senior staff revealed that the agreement between the European Union hopes that the European Union will better reflect that Europe does not just want to simply import lithium and other raw materials, but will encourage the value chain involved in processing in raw material producing countries.
G7 and the European Union will also pay more attention to preventing and evading sanctions, especially strengthen monitoring of military -civilian products.Russia has been trying to import these banned technologies through third countries such as Kazakhstan, UAE and China to bypass restrictions.
Blocking the "vulnerability" of Kazakhstan is one of the key goals determined by the EU in the action plan.American and EU officials jointly visited Kazakhstan in April, and proposed to help the country to minimize the economic impact of the country's economic impact.
Bayeng government officials said that they were not asking these countries to choose one of the two from the United States and China, but to hope to create an international environment so that governments from various countries are not subject to great coercion.However, Xi Jinping accused Washington for "curbing" China's development, and even the American allies were forced to follow Washington to adopt export control operations to prevent China from obtaining advanced military and civilians.
At the same time, China is also playing a diplomatic influence in its own way. The epidemic period has laid a certain foundation. Now, according to a Western diplomat in Beijing, Chinese officials are "taking a big step."The Eric Olander of China Global South Project said that there is a key difference between China and the United States, that is, Beijing officials adopt a "small country diplomacy" strategy.Everyone was surprised.
"When we are still thinking about another way, Xi Jinping is talking to Prime Minister Dominica. This is a Caribbean island country with only 75,000 people," he said.
