A Taiwanese friend who is similar to me in my academic qualifications has always been biased to support the Blue Camp candidate in the voting, so I have always supported the most supporting New Taipei Mayor Hou Youyi to choose the president.The Kuomintang can call Hou Youyi as soon as possible.
But after the "Shuangying" began the trip to the United States and mainland China last month, he began to worry about supporting candidates, and replaced it with Guo Taiming, who would also join the Kuomintang primaries.I asked him why, and he said, "The most influence of the presidential election is the country's cross -strait foreign policy. In this regard, I am not sure that Hou Youyi can have the ability to deal with cross -strait foreign affairs."
It can be said that although the Kuomintang's Ma Ying -jeou continent has been affirmed on the polls, the support of the Kuomintang's re -positioning the "Here" route that will not be reflected in the same party is not reflected in the same party's partyHou Youyi chose the president's support.
The problem lies in the competition of Shuangying. Although it has awakened voters' attention to Taiwan's future cross -strait and foreign policy, it also reminds voters that in the increasingly fierce international environment of the United States and China, Taiwan's most important in the future Taiwan is the most important in Taiwan.The task is likely to propose a reasonable and convincing cross -strait and foreign policy to obtain Taiwan's maximum interest under the strong confrontation.
But Hou Youyi's personal governance style is just highly focusing on the internal affairs and rarely talks about diplomacy. Just as he is in the New Taipei City's governance slogan, "Hou Hou is doing great ambitions" (that is, Fujian dialect "doing good things"), emphasizingIt is to do a good job of citizens' concern, and avoid expressing their expressions on cross -strait and diplomatic issues that are easily caused by tensions between municipalities and parliaments.However, because of too little statement, voters certainly felt doubts about whether he had the ability to deal with cross -strait and foreign affairs.
For Taiwanese society, even if the DPP chairman Lai Qingde holds the Taiwan independence position, because it may cause war, at least his position is clear, so it is easier to predict.As for Hou Youyi, in addition to the statement of "not being a strong country for a strong country" at the beginning of the year, and detonating the controversy of "suspicion theory", everyone is actually unclear. What is his position on both sides of the strait and foreign policy and whether it can reasonably strive for TaiwanIs the interests under the strong confrontation?
In such a social atmosphere, even if Hou Youyi has not made any big mistakes in New Taipei City's governance, his polls have fallen quickly. At present, the support rate with Guo Taiming has been within the scope of the error. Of course, Lai Qingde has lost Lai Qingde.There are more.
A key issue of hiddenness is that the questioning of Hou Youyi in Taiwanese society also includes professionalism and education, which has caused everyone not to believe that he has the ability to deal with cross -strait and foreign affairs.
It is different from Tsai Ing -wen, Ma Ying -jeou, Lai Qingde and others. Hou Youyi graduated from the police school.Although he also obtained a doctorate degree through his career plan, his doctoral research did also do his familiar police business -related business, which is a relatively narrow and professional field.Of course, during the process of studying, it is unknown to outsiders through the university system to supplement cross -strait and diplomacy. However, his related academic experience is difficult to convince voters to believe that he has the ability to deal with cross -strait relations and diplomacy.
Of course, many people in the Kuomintang have the ability to have this, so the easiest way is of course to extend the relevant person to enter his campaign team, but this takes time to organize it, which will not help the impact of the decline in polls in the short term;The short -term poll is the key to affect whether his primary election can be qualified in the Kuomintang.
Therefore, in this context, whether Hou Youyi can use access to Singapore to launch the opportunity of international exchange in the municipal municipalities, and to discuss the problems of cross -strait and diplomacy in moderation to respond to external doubts, it becomes very important.After all, this may be the most important diplomatic trip before he was nominated by the Kuomintang nominated presidential candidate and arranged for visiting the United States.
If he insists on "Hou Hou as a generation" and avoids talks with cross -strait diplomatic issues, it is foreseeable that his poll trend may not be reversed.Under such circumstances, whether it is Guo Taiming (representing the blue camp) or Ke Wenzhe (representing the confession camp), the probability of the president will eventually be greatly increased.
On the contrary, if Hou Youyi can fully show stable and meticulous diplomatic capabilities during the appropriate interaction process during the visit, and take this opportunity to propose to think about Southeast Asia and the general direction of cross -strait and diplomacy, there will beOpportunities have recovered a city in the recent polls.
Don't forget. Before his visit to Singapore, he also caused controversy because he helped the current legislators of the Kuomintang who dismissed the challenging of the primary election in the party.In polls.Therefore, Hou Youyi's visit to Singapore has become very important.
The author is a columnist in Malaysia and Taiwan
