Su Yonglin: Luzha Trade Barrier Counterattack Decodion of Cross -Strait

Source: Taiwan Zhongshi News Network

Author: Su Yonglin

The Ministry of Commerce of Mainland China recently announced that it will start a trade barrier investigation to Taiwan's restrictions on the import of 2,455 products in the mainland.The timing of this action is sensitive, not only followed by the continental military exercise and sanctions after the "Cai Maihui", the end of the investigation is also over the end of the Taiwan election vote on the next year. Therefore, the outside world interprets it., But is this really the case?

This year, Beijing blows the owner of Taiwan, emphasizing that "to communicate, cooperate, and develop" is the mainstream public opinion. It also responded to the demands of Taiwan ’s industrial and commercial, agricultural and fisheries groups on the obstruction of Taiwan products.According to media reports, when the businessmen met in Beijing in March, the other side agreed to no longer require the input of land to marker "Taiwan, China" and restore the original "Taiwan".If the mainland official decides to "sanction in Taiwan" at this time, it is quite abrupt.

Similarly, if the investigation of trade barriers is regarded as a "retaliation measure" for Cai Yingwen's visit to the United States, it seems difficult to establish a direct contact.In August last year, Perlis, Speaker of the House of Representatives of the United States, visited Taiwan. The mainland has suspended the import of food, agricultural and fishery products in Taiwan for various reasons. Instead, these actions have a greater impact on Taiwanese operators.However, looking back at the trade barrier survey, since the two sides of the strait are members of the WTO, the investigation process is lengthy and complicated, and the impact on Taiwanese enterprises will take time to ferment.Compared with the sanctions that strive for "fast and fierce", it should be two different things.

After this military exercise in the mainland, the news of the "northern Taiwan painting is set up".The temporary control measures of the too mission were finally shortened by the Taiwan Ministry of Transport and regional countries, and the ban on navigation was shortened.Therefore, today, when the cross -strait situation is sensitive and tight, any wind and grass related to Taiwan may cause "the most extreme" speculation and even misjudgment.Therefore, what is the intention of the Taiwan trade barriers to investigate, it is necessary to make a clearer explanation through the media and scholars.

However, if you return to non -political and transactional levels, look at the trade barriers, but you can find more directions worth thinking and inspiration.First of all, a spokesman for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council emphasized that the 2455 ban is a measure adopted by Taiwan's "unilateral". These three words were not mentioned by the Ministry of Commerce's announcement.The "unilateral" ban first does not comply with the rules of the WTO. Whether it is adjusted depends entirely on the evaluation and actions of the Taiwan government, and it has nothing to do with cross -strait consultations.Therefore, the Cai government jumped with a needle to respond to "no pre -consultation" for the first time, and it seemed that the donkey head was not right.

Secondly, the mainland's investigation of the Taiwan trade barriers is not so much a counterattack on the "decoupling theory" on both sides of the strait.Green Camp often satirizes the mainland, and Taiwan chips are banned when there is a ability.However, the latest Cross -Strait Economic Statistics Monthly reported that in January this year, Taiwan ’s“ motor and equipment parts ”on the largest export of land exports fell to 30%of the staggering, of which the accumulated circuit fell 27%.Under the pressure of the US -China science and technology war, the Taiwan industry seems to have followed the US strategy. It is not difficult to understand the mainland to take such measures to respond.

In the end, it is the most interesting point that in Taiwan's long -lasting egg wasteland and medicine shortage, the people suddenly discovered that the eggs and some medicinal materials of the mainland were the object of restricting imports.The mainland requires Taiwan to remove trade barriers. Of course, local operators will be dissatisfied, but they are just interest groups that a few people control.What about it?

(the author is a researcher at Taiwan think tank)