Davidson: The US Speaker Election becomes long ＂continuous

Source: Bloomberg

Author: Laura Middot; Laura Davison

The U.S. House of Representatives fell into a deadlock. The Republican internal fighting caused the parliament to be difficult to produce for two consecutive days. Twenty anti -construction conservative Republican members opposed Kevin Middot; McCarthy served as the Speaker, saying that his contribution was not enough to win the votes.

Both sides no longer take care of their faces.McCarthy, who has long been in the core leadership of the House of Representatives, met allies on Tuesday evening to try to resolve the deadlock and fight for support, but the results were very small.Faced with the Democratic Party, which is united like iron plates, McCarthy cannot get the position of the speaker if more than four people vote in the party.

What are the options for solving this struggle?

First of all, McCarthy had to make a significant concession to the opponents, but this would weaken his leadership status.Secondly, he can also choose to let Xian and change to one person to run.It is unclear who this substitute may be, and it is difficult to carry out from a political perspective, unless McCarthy officially announced its withdrawal.Finally, there is a way that is not a way, that is, persuading the Democratic Party to vote for him, not a small number of party leaders Hakeem Jeffries.Essence

What do these conservatives want?

Twenty Republicans who oppose McCarthy hopes that their views can be more prominent in the House agenda.Many of these people come from the Right -wing Liberty Group. This party group has emerged from the Tea Party, and the Tea Party has long been with the Eric Cantor (Kangt), John Boehner (Bona), Paul Ryan, and other Republican leaders.The main opponents of McCarthy include Pennsylvania's Scott Perry (Perry), Florida Matt Gaetz (Gates), and Colorado Lauren Boebert.These people believe that McCarthy did not listen to their opinions and did not provide enough vocal opportunities to conservatives in the House of Representatives.

McCarthy and his allies believe that his opponents have been changing their goals during the negotiations.A few days before taking office in the new Congress, McCarthy released a proposal that allowed any five Republican Republicans to propose a removal of the removal of the Speaker and allow the House of Representatives to have greater diversity in ideology.Since then, some conservatives have said that they want to be at any one, not five people can propose to dismiss the speaker.They also demanded that specific members into the main committees, including fundraising committees to control taxation, trade and health policies, and appropriation committees responsible for allocation of federal expenditures.This requirement means that some conservative party members can get higher priority than the older Republican lawmakers, which may lead to more battles within the party in the future.

Scott Perry, the leader of the Liberal Party, also said before that in addition to voting for right -wing priorities (such as balance budget cases, reforming current tax systems and draft immigration), he also hopes to set up a term.There may be difficulties in politics.

Why are the elections so important?

The Speaker of the House of Representatives is the only Congress leader stipulated by the Constitution. In the order of the president's succession, the Speaker is the second heir, and it is also the controller of the House of Representatives.Before the official selection, the House of Representatives could not carry out other affairs, including voting voting voting to appoint the government's basic functions.Before the Republicans resolved the differences, the United States actually did not authorize the spending of federal government to deal with natural disasters, terrorist attacks or war behaviors.

Without the Speaker, parliamentarians cannot swore or formulate rules for the new Congress.The allies of McCarthy also believe that the time for the continued disputes over the candidates for the parliament will slow down the time for the Republican Party.Since winning the majority of the House of Representatives, the Republican Party has always claimed that there are many tasks to be completed, including investigating the Bayeng government.

Who can replace McCarthy?

I can't see who can ensure that most votes can be obtained.The discussion name includes plans to become McCarthy's second Steve Scalise (Scarlis), or Patrick Mchenry, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee.The backgrounds of the two are similar and both experienced, but the 20 conservative members who oppose McCarthy have not yet said that the two people have been elected feasible.

Moreover, it is not clear whether the two have their own desire to run.Especially McHenry, he may be in the same dilemma as Ryan. When Ryan was a speaker, he did not have a difference in the party because of the difference in the party.Just like when Ryan was promoted to the Speaker, McHenry in his 40s was more eager to be the chairman of a committee.

The 20 conservative members who opposed McCarthy had previously supported Jim Jordan (Jordan), chairman of the House of Representatives Supervision Committee, but his super conservative view may make him lose the votes of gentle schools, so it is unlikely to win the support of the Republican majority.Jordan himself is a strong supporter of McCarthy.

What does the Democratic Party think about this?

The Democratic Party is a bit of a good -looking attitude of the Republican party.The Republican Party has just confirmed the Democratic Party's opinion that the Republican Party's Republican Party was not good at governance in the midterm election.In the House of Representatives, where the gap between the seats is not large, the weak speaker and the inefficient Republican Party can give the Democratic Party a greater control.So the Democratic Party has no motivation to give up his own Jeffries and support McCarthy.The Democratic Party may try to make McCarthy make greater concessions. If this is done, McCarthy will lose the support of more right -wing people.

What does this mean to Biden's agenda?

Because the Republican Party won the control of the House of Representatives in the midterm elections, the Democratic Party has not been psychologically prepared for Bayeng's promotion bill in Parliament.A small part of the right -wing people can allow the actual description of the dispersion of the speakers to election. No matter who can be the speaker in the end, the voting of any important bill must be wrestled with these opponents.This means that in the future, whether it is the two -party cooperation bill or the seek cooperation with the Senate, the success rate is very low.In the future, the two parties will fight fiercely in terms of government expenditure bill and the debt limit bill.If members cannot increase the debt upper limit before the last period of the period, it will have a negative impact on the US economy.