Source: Russian Satellite News Agency
US President Trump will visit India for the first time from February 24th to 25th.It is expected that the trade agreement and military connection will become the main content of negotiations.However, experts from satellite news agency consultation believe that do not expect any major initiative or key protocols to the meeting.
During the visit, Trump will be invited to Prime Minister Modi's hometown of Gujeratan, the capital of Ahamamada Bad.After Modi's first Prime Minister in 2014, many heads of state visited here, including Chinese President Xi Jinping, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Middot; Neitanahu.
It is conceivable that tens of thousands of Indians will take the streets and welcomes the Trump team from the airport to the city center.It is worth mentioning that on both sides of the route, the fence will be raised to cover Indian slums.But the residents of the poor region hope that the US president can see the truth.
In view of this, Trump's visit caused a certain degree of internal affairs, debates and controversy.Of course, it is understandable that India does not want to lose face.On the one hand, India has something worthy of being displayed to the outside world, and there are things that do not want guests to understand.
Igor Middot, the person in charge of the Strategic Development Fund Expert Committee; Saudelov pointed out in an interview: It can be understood that because of the complex situation of Sino -US relations, Trump will encourage Indian leadership to participate in certain projects, and these projects will be, China does not always accept it positively.India is at least China's potential competitors.It is completely possible that Trump will imply the Indian leadership: due to the complex Chinese epidemic, India may take over the banner of the world's major factories from China.But what will the Indian leadership react?The Indian direction has adhered to the balanced policy.Although India and China and Pakistan have frictions, they cannot be said to be Chinese opponents.I think that China ’s visit to Trump will not be observed with some kind of nervousness as the US president expects.This visit cannot be unexpected to China.
Olegdot, an expert at the University of Higher Economic University; Matvicov believes that Trump has used a trade war with China to intimidate India: at any moment, the United States may close its market to India.
He said: Therefore, Modi will embrace Trump and lead him to visit the Taj Mahal.They will try their best to show their smiles so that China dizzy and increase their value.This is the main task of visiting.They are preparing to perform a certain kind of friendly drama, but all parties have their own interests.Trump wanted to show China that he had incorporated India under his umbrella and opened the anti -China Front in India.And Modi needs to maintain the status quo, that is, Trump does not threaten India to close his market, increase tariffs, and requires to purchase more American goods to make up for the trading gap.Therefore, in order to maintain the status quo, he will smile and wave his arms.
Director of the Indian Research Center (Shenzhen Humanities and Social Sciences Research Base) and the chairman of the China Indian Literature Research Association Professor Yu Longyu, in an interview, believes that one of the highlights of the interview is the trade agreement.
He said: Trump's late visit may be successful this time, or he may sign a trade agreement with India, but the amount of the agreement should not be too large, and it may even be a symbolic agreement.Because although the Indian side has this desire and needs, the United States is obviously unpredictable.The United States is currently facing a large number of returns to work. Excessive imported Indian products will conflict with domestic problems in the United States. Therefore, even if the agreement is signed, it is estimated that the implementation process is estimated to have a certain difficulty and will not be too smooth.As far as India is concerned, although its domestic economy is indeed in a difficult period of decline, I think it can be said to be a phased landslide in economic development, which is in line with the rigid law of economic development. It is normal.Not only did India encounter this problem, China has also appeared.Because the economy of any country cannot keep rising straight, it will always move forward in waves, and in this process, it continues to move towards its own goals.Therefore, I am very optimistic about India's economic potential and development prospects.
Objectively, China's influence is growing, prompting the United States to more actively build its own Indian-Pacific strategy.In other words, we are more actively looking for partners to restrict China.But in the eyes of the United States, India is only one of the tools that perform this strategy and pressure to China.
So, what kind of new trump card can Trump's visit to its anti -Chinese game?Expert Igor Middot; Saudelov explained his views.
He said: This is the strategy of the United States. India participated in it and was originally an important chess piece of the United States against China LSquo; Belt and Road RSQUO; initiative.This can be seen from various statements in the United States.But India does not look at this strategy like this.For India, the Indo -Pacific strategy is not a replacement of lsquo; the Belt and Road RSquo; but the opportunity to develop.I think Trump may issue a statement that he wants to issue, but he should be cautious. You know, he has continuously explained that he has understood each other with China, and trade negotiations are smooth.In my opinion, Trump will be cautious. The suggestions he make to India will not be anti -China.
Professor Zhang Jiadong, director of the South Asian Research Center of Fudan University, said in an interview: In fact, the United States and India have talked about this issue for many years. At first, India was a more positive attitude, but then the enthusiasm declined.Because India has discovered that although it has common interests with the United States, how to balance China, the two sides have also produced a lot of differences, and the interests are not completely consistent.Therefore, India has chosen to participate in the participation. On the one hand, it is closely cooperating with the United States as much as possible, on the other hand, it does not destroy the Sino -Indian relations, and at the same time does not act as the Majesty of the United States.I think this basic positioning will not change because of Trump's access, so the United States also feels that India has some three minds.In addition, India's most concerned is not to curb issues such as China, but its domestic economic situation.However, on this issue, the United States does not provide too much help to India, so India is a little disappointed in the United States.
Expert Oleg Middot; Matvicov believes that this visit will not bring the results of Trump's desire, that is, making India more in -depth in the Indo -Pacific strategic partner.
He said: Of course, the United States wants to treat India as a bridge head in the region.However, India is currently in politics, and they are very cautious about the ideology of Anglo -Saxon, which is quite difficult to do.In addition, in the Indo -Pacific Strategy, the economic bridgehead that has not appeared for it.It is not the best strategy that can be obtained by closing the threat to closing its own market and forcing India to buy.In the political field, this is not the basis for long -term cooperation, including in the process of promoting these strategic processes.
Experts emphasized that India needs a mutually beneficial trading partner like China, and Trump will not sign any large -scale trade agreement during this visit.The problem has not been resolved, and there are too many trade gaps, and it is difficult to make up for the expected military transactions.
The United States is India's second largest trading partner after China.In 2018, the trade volume of bilateral goods and services reached US $ 142.6 billion, a record.In 2019, the trade deficit between the United States and India was US $ 23.2 billion. At the same time, India was the ninth largest trading partner in the American commodity catalog.
