Zhang Deng and: Slip of self -confidence in the United States and Western order

Author: Zhang Deng and

The annual Munich Safety Conference seemed to repeat the old tone of Oswald Spengler in the West again.Compared with the previous three years, this year's theme taste is heavier, and the media in major countries have paid more attention, but they have not attracted too much interest in Taiwanese media.The only exception is that the American delegation comes out of the party this year.Secretary of State Michael Pompeo, Minister of Defense Mark Esper, the House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi, and former Secretary of State John Kerry attended, and concentrated on all the games and sub -venues.The firepower criticized the threat caused by China's rise, and to European AIA strongly demanded to resist various technology, investment or infrastructure projects including Huawei 5G.Looking at it jumping, this is very similar to the indirect cold war and the world concept surrounding China, supporting Taiwan to enter the hellip; hellip;, should make Taiwanese society.

On the field and outside the field, the former ambassador to the Chinese side Fu Ying, the Ambassador to South Africa Lin Songtian and the Beijing Foreign Ministry spokesman and official media counterattacked by the level of asymmetric but firepower.Wall Street Journal's reporter in China.Another task of China ’s slightly thin delegation is to work hard to justify the government’ s efforts to prevent and control the new crown virus epidemic.Representatives of the WHO, the International Red Council and other units also affirmed that the Chinese side worked hard to resist the epidemic, which brought Beijing to relieve the pressure.In short, the United States and China staged a confident and mutual approval, which is very in line with Taiwan ’s political preferences and social atmosphere tastes in recent years, which has aroused some interest in Taiwan media this year.

In fact, Mu An will be worth more attention to the depression that it is full of European college style for four consecutive years: where is the West going.This idea seems purely European, because Donald Trump believes that the United States is strong, and Pompeo claims that the United States is victory in Mu'an.Not only is the United States, but in recent years, the opponents of all defense and strategic reports in the United States have also sang four confidences into the cloud.

The author believes that of course, the senior officials of the United States and the middle and middle school must be a whistle at night.However, I only saw the concerns of Samuel Huntington more than ten years ago.To crack down on European Liberals, you can know that the United States is by no means at ease.In mainland China, which has long been stable and worried, and the economic downturn, and the new crown virus exposes the modernization of the governance modernization, the CCP will not only be firm and confident, but also the CCP will not only be firm, but the CCP must not only be firm and confident.EssenceThis shows that the depression of Munich has a certain universal nature, but the position and position are different. Therefore, Western Europe, which was proud of normative power in the past, was particularly worried in the competition of the United States, China and Russia.

The depression symptoms of the first three years of Mu'an can be seen from the theme.The theme of the 2017 conference is post-truth, post-Truth, Post-West, Post-Order.After more than ten years of research in the Western and cultural history and social sciences, it has echoed the theme of POST-MODERN.Because post-modernity is already global, it is no longer on non-Western.As for the post -truth and post -order order, of course, Trump came to power and the response of controversial words and deeds.

The 2018 meeting was covered with the peak of the United States and Russia. The theme was the edge of the abyss or the cliff?(To the brink and back?) The meeting believed that the North Korean nuclear, Iran nuclear, climate crisis, and network security all made international order more turbulent.The depression in 2019 has not improved, because the international order seems to be on the verge of crushing, so who will be to clean up the theme of the conference?(Who Will Pick Up the Pieces?) This session is shrouded in the US -Europe, the United States and China trade conflict with the United States, and the United States withdrawing from many international agreements. In the Munich Security Report, the US Piria Excellence (PEW) showed that only the American people did not recognize China.Economic rise is a reality, but most of the American allies' public opinion believes that Washington is also a threat of their country.Countries have different views on investment and expansion of China. Most of the public opinion of Japan, South Korea, India, and Australia believes that it is harmful to its country, and some developing countries are the opposite.This year, Britain was determined to Brexit. France and Germany signed the Aachen Treaty (also known as French and Germany cooperation and integrated treaty) to establish the French and German Defense Security Council.Since then, French President Emmanuel Macron has repeatedly advocated that Europe (of course no Britain) should have its own independent common strategy.

This year's Mu'an report themes have difficulty in Chinese translation. It only has a new word that is not available in the current dictionary: Westlessness.Some Lu media translated this into the lack of Western. The author believes that the word does not mean the advantages and disadvantages, and it should not be translated as a lack.There are Taiwan reports translated as gradually micro, but this word should not mean.The roots Less is usually no or lost, such as Countless, Endless, Homeless, etc., but the theme of the conference is not like saying that the world today is no West or lost the West.In addition, the end of the attribute is even more difficult.The author is not sensitive, and temporarily translates into Western absence, waiting for Gaoping.

To talk about the absence of Western nature, the first problem that first encountered is Westness (Westness) Beijing Ambassador to Britain, Fu Ying, on February 21, a review of the long article dates back to Greece, Rome, and Christianity.The report of Mu'an reports has a short three -element definition: political free and democratic system, economic market -leading system, and cooperation with international systems.It is based on these standards that the report believes that the lack of positions in the West is not just because of the rise of the non -Western world strength, but also the major powers such as Russia, China, and India prompt by Mark Hong, and the deepest source of the western group itself.NO Common UndersTanding of What is the West, making the West itself less West (The West is Becoming Less Western).

This phenomenon can although it can resort to material factors, that is, the influence of the system to the power transition of the system to emerging countries.Classical realism of international relations can better echo the conceptual factor proposed by the Mu'an report: Spiritual Disunity.

At the meeting this year, Pompeo and the host German Chancellor Angela Merkel (Angela Merkel) in the United States and Europe trade negotiations, Iran nuclear agreements, military expenditure sharing, climate change and other issues are opposite, but these unfounded appearances.In recent years, Washington has retired from the group to safeguard its own interests; right mockery European immigrants, welfare and environmental policies; European suspected European theory and rights of all countries have won;The core of absence: spiritual inconsistency.The Mu'an Club reports specially uses right-wing extremism: Right-Wing Extremism: White and WRONG) Dedicated seal to dig into this absent core core, and pointed out that the community network, the population structure and the deterioration of the social economy, soReligious, race, class, region, age, racism, extravagant, anti -Semitic, anti -Islam and other non -tolerant, hatred psychology and tribalism further spread to more niche platforms.These diseases are far from the Western nature of the three elements.

Power transfer is just the material crack of the Liberal International Order that is still led by the West.If the conceptual cracks are drifted, it will not only lead to the absence of the West in the international order, but also likely to slide to the naked geopolitics with the confrontation with the large country: disorderly anarchy.This willIt is difficult to control the global non -traditional security issues that have strongly demanded multinational cooperation in climate, public health, military control, and Internet security.Once there are abnormalities in any corner, the low -cost countermeasures of the leading elite and the public are soon looking for others to take over the responsibility or even fall into the well.After the Cold War, the entire Middle East issue and the anti -globalized business and protectionism of anti -globalization since the 2008 economic crisis.If the world continues to cope with the lack of Western nature with selfish selfish prescriptions, and the vicious cycle in the past, the greater crisis of disaster is not far.

(The author is a professor at the Department of Political Science, the National Taiwan University)