01 Viewpoint
On Wednesday (December 18) in the United States, the House of Representatives had impeached President Trump before the live broadcast, making it the third place in the United States that has always been impeached by the House of Representatives.There is no suspense in continuing development. The Republican Senate will veto the proposal to keep the position of President Trump. Is this impeachment be destined to be a farce?
Trump was impeached by the House of Representatives for allegedly requesting Ukraine to deal with his political opponent Biden.There are two proposals. One is to accuse Trump's abuse of power, and the other is to obstruct the operation of Congress for his insufficient investigations. He obtained 230 votes in favor, 197 votes, and 229 votes, and 198 votes.All the Democratic members who voted for the votes were almost the Republicans who opposed it. One of the two Democratic members of the Democratic Party intended to switch to the Republican camp.In the United States, which is political and social, this voting result is unexpected.
It is also expected that in the Senate where Republicans accounted for the majority, the impeachment proposal will be rejected. The Democratic Party and their supporters will accuse Republican members to cover the president. Republican and supporters criticize the Democratic party abuse of impeachment power and make political attacks.Two to three months later, the third impeachment case in the United States will end in the form of farce.
Very different expectations for the next election
The last time the presidential impeachment case was the Laiwinsky incident from 1998 to 1999. At that time, Clinton's policy was supported by the people. Even if its personal ethics became the target of public criticism, he still maintained high people's hope during the impeachment of the Congress, and the polls displayed the display of the polls.Americans oppose the impeachment proposal.This time Trump was impeached by the House of Representatives. Many Republicans took Clinton as an example. They claimed that Democrats would eat their own fruit and lose public support for their political operations.The pro -Republican newspaper Wall Street Journal issued a social review after passing the House of Representatives, pointing out that Trump will be ruled by the Senate as the accusation, and Republicans may help Trump to win re -election.
On the other hand, the Democratic Democratic Newspaper New York Times said that Trump was impeached and Republicans fell aside.Vote to drive them away to protect American democracy.The Wall Street Journal and New York Times, CNN and Huoshi TVs presented in parallel time and space.According to polls, more than 80 % of Democratic voters in favor of impeaching Trump, but Republican voters only support.In other words, it depends on which party supporter you are.
For the two political parties, the result of the impeachment bill is already doomed. It is not important. It is important how it will affect the trend of public opinion, and even whether it will change the pattern of the next year's election.Republicans refer to the example of Clinton, but the two impeachment cases cannot be fully analogy. In addition to because the people of Clinton were far higher than today's Trump, but also because of the nature of the Ledsky case, the President's private life and ethics, but TrumpThe universal case is to deal with political opponents with power.Furthermore, the Senate rejected the impeachment case that year, and the people of Clinton fell for the next half a year, and the Democratic Party of the Presidential Election of the following year was even more defeated by the Republican Party.The political perception of impeachment and even the trend of public opinion has always been floating, and no one can say accurately.
The ultimate ruling Mdash; mdash; voters
And this is the norm of democratic society.The mechanism of impeachment president is often high. For example, it is not easy to pass by the support of the Senate and Two -thirds.Comparing the constitutional scholar Tom Ginsburg recently pointed out that 63 democratic countries in 1990 to 2018 had occurred in the impeachment of the executives of the Congress, and only 10 impeachment proposals were approved.Unless it is as serious as the Watergate incident of the Nixon, even the partymates in the Congress are difficult to support, making Nixon's resignation to avoid embarrassment. Generally speaking, members of Congress voted in accordance with their political positions, and whether they are against them againstPersons will do it, and in the end election, the people will express their votes.
Understanding this truth, the Republican Party, Wall Street Journal, Huoshi TV, etc. should ask themselves, are they confident that the Trump administration has recognized by voters?In particular, although the 2016 election Trump got more votes, the general votes he received were actually less than the Democratic candidate Hillary, showing that more than half of the American society did not support him.As for the Democratic Party, the New York Times, CNN, etc., we must also understand that most of the supporters supporting the impeachment proposal and opposing Trump are Democratic supporters. Those who are willing to vote for them are also these voters who have not been voted to Trump.Republicans can cover Trump, not because they are strong, but because they still get some voters support.If the two camps only know how to please the original audience and fail to break through the same temperature and fight for new supporters, society will not move in the direction they think, and change like their wishes.
The development of democratic society must have a fair and fair election, allowing voters to be transformed into representatives of the people, but also to have corresponding political culture, tirelessly strive for the support of others, and even condense consensus.If this theory can be manifested, a farce may also be a lesson, not a bad thing.
