Author: Qiu Shiyi

After a long procedural debate, the US Hurasian finally approved VS. 198 votes against the impeachment case.As the 45th president of the United States, Trump has set a number of historical records, including the fourth voting of votes in history in history in 2016, but the election winner of the election votes, since the 21st centuryThe first president to bring the United States to the President of isolation and the third in history to pass the impeachment in the House of Representatives.

Because the House of Representatives can prosecute only one -half thresholds, it is not surprising that more than half of Democratic members of the Holdings of Democratic Party members; however, they will be sent to the Senate for trial.Senator turned into a jury. At this time, two -thirds of seats were needed to let the president step down through impeachment.However, the Republican Party accounted for 52 seats, and the Democratic Party accounted for forty -six seats. It is difficult to pass the 67 seats.In fact, there are never as many examples of presidential impeachment cases in history.

The focus of observation is actually McConno, the leader of the Republican Senate, how to deal with the impeachment case passed by the House of Representatives, which involves the complicated rules of the Senate and the constitutional responsibility of the Senate.

First, McConno has let go of it first.In fact, when the Collinton case was sent to the Senate in 1999, the Senate also voted for an impeachment case for the DISMISS. Although it was later voted, the rules of impeachment did exist in the ginseng.The Options of the Court of Congress through the impeachment case is not given.

Second, the trial of the presidential impeachment case is not small. At this time, all senators should play a fair trial who transcended the interests of political parties and take the future of the country.Therefore, if McCono excuses to delay trial voting, for example, if you also investigate the abuse of authority and obstruct the new evidence of Congress, the cowardly performance of the Republican Senator will make Lanzhou's middle voters and enlightened Republican members dissatisfied.In fact, the latest polls show that even 60 % of the Republican members want to see this impeachment case, after the trial, and use most votes against impeachment to prove that Trump is innocent.On the other hand, McConno also had to appease the floating irritable Trump, fearing that his dog would jump the wall in a hurry, and accidentally entrusted some new evidence to pressure Ukraine with a consideration relationship.At the same time, McConno's direction of the impeachment case is equivalent to his face to face Trump's criminal behavior, which will make Trump unhappy.

Third, the individualism of the Senate is high. Any senators can be carried out in the coupons. There can be no discussion on the day and night. Only sixty votes can terminate the cup and pay for voting.Interestingly, to abolish the high threshold rules of 60 votes, in fact, only fifty votes are simple and most, that is, the so -called nuclear option.In the past, Trump asked the McConno -row nuclear option to force the Democratic Senator to force the Democratic Senator to a strong cup.In the past two days, many Republican Senators are talking about the rules of impeachment cases sent to the Senate by nuclear options, making Trump more easily escape.But whether McConno will handle it in mind is still unreasonable.

Li Qiman, a professor of history at the University of America, has successfully predicted the results of the nine general elections in the past. He is still optimistic about Trump's success in next year.It will increase greatly, but in terms of his formulas, there is still a lack of fatal evidence of the door.

(The author is an associate professor at the Department of Political Department of Donghai University)