(Beijing Comprehensive News) In the face of China's rising pork and vegetable prices in recent months, some Chinese scholars predict that the consumer prices of Chinese residents this year will be in a gentle and steady upward trend, but there is no risk of inflation, and the pressure of price regulation is relatively light.
The China Official Media Economic Daily published an article by Zhang Qianrong, deputy director of the Finance and Finance Research Office of China National Information Center yesterday.He said that prices in the past two months have increased year -on -year, but the increase is still significantly lower than 3%of the regulatory target, which is mainly affected by factors such as the last year, tail tail and seasonality.
The Securities Daily quoted the high -frequency data monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Ministry of Agriculture and Rural, and pointed out that as of May 31, the year -on -year increase in pork prices in China in May this year continued to expand from the previous value.At the same time, due to the comprehensive influence of weather factors, low inventory and other comprehensive influence, the price of vegetable prices and fruits has also increased greater.
Zhang Qianrong believes that the structural characteristics of the rise in prices are obvious, but they do not have the foundation of a comprehensive rise.The contribution rate of non -food prices to rising prices is significantly higher than that of food. Although the recent rise in pork prices has led to the expansion of food prices, non -food prices have maintained smoothly, and prices do not have the foundation of a comprehensive rise.
He said: At present, the factors that support price rise and inhibit the rise in prices are intertwined.Affected by factors such as the African swine fever epidemic, the number of live pigs has declined, and the price of pork has risen in recent times.However, the overall supply capacity of Chinese pork has a strong capacity, and the early warning mechanism of pig price regulation is established.Although the possibility of recovery in the later period is more likely to rise, it does not have the foundation of a significant rise.
The National Bureau of Statistics of China will announce the May Consumption Price Index (CPI) and industrial producer factory price index (PPI) data tomorrow.According to the Shanghai Securities Journal, affected by the rise in food prices and tail -tailed factor, many institutions are expected to rise in May in May, and generally expected to rise by about 2.7%.At the same time, with the weakening of the tail factor, the PPI increase in May is expected to narrow year -on -year.
