Early
Point
Fangsheng said
After protesting rally occurred on weekends in many places in China, Beijing, Chongqing, Guangzhou and other cities have densely announced the relaxation of epidemic prevention policies in the past week.For the first time, the pathogenesis of Omikon virus has weakened and emphasized that "epidemic prevention and control faces new tasks and new tasks."
The official statement of the official statement re -ignites the hope of open factions at home and abroad. Some public opinion believes that China's dynamic zero policy has begun to appear "U transfer".
This rising optimism has also appeared in the middle of November in mid -November; however, in just two weeks, the prevention measures for various places tightened again, and the people's dissatisfaction reached a boiling point.
The signal of the official adjustment of epidemic prevention is clearer, but the experience in the past year has shown that China has to continue to test and call back in the process of adjusting the epidemic prevention policy.It is difficult for China to have a one -time clear policy U -transfer. The policy adjustment will be more like "W Turning". In the process, it will inevitably face the ups and downs of large and small bumps.
In policy adjustment, the death and severe rate of elderly people will be the core challenges.
According to official data, as of November 28, 86.4 % of the elderly over 60 years old in China have completed the full vaccination and 68.7 % have been strengthened.The vaccination rate is only 40.4 %.
In the past year, many people have used the death figures in Taiwan and abroad. After the mainland is open, about 1 million people may die, of which the elderly are the main.
What is the concept of 1 million?According to statistics from the data analysis agency Statista, as of November 28, the United States, with the highest number of deaths in the world's crown, has a cumulative number of deaths 1.1 million, and the second Brazilian death toll is nearly 690,000.If 1 million people die, it means that China may become the second largest country in the world with crown diseases.
Chinese officials are obviously strictly preventing large -scale severe and death.Caixin.com quoted the "Multi -Party Xinyuan Source" report on Thursday that the official has issued a working indicator of the vaccination of the elderly. Before the end of January 2023, the first in vaccination rate of the crown vaccine over 80 years old will reach 90%; 60Eligible target groups in the age of 79 are 95%of the vaccination rate and strengthening the immune vaccination rate.
How can I have a sudden acceleration in just two months in just two months?This will be the most tricky problem.
Some people may not understand why the official attaches great importance to the seriousness and mortality of the elderly.In the middle of this month, the death of old crown diseases in the middle of this month, and most of them suffered from severe basic diseases for a long time.At that time, many netizens questioned that even these years, even if they were infected with ordinary colds, they could die. Whether it is necessary to require most people to adhere to strict epidemic prevention in order to protect a small number of high -risk people.
These netizens may not realize that if the severe and death of the elderly people occur, it is not just a matter of older ethnic groups, the overall society will also feel the impact.
The most direct impact is that the medical resources are crowded. At that time, non -coronary patients may face the lagging of medical services. The secondary disasters in the society may not be less than that of the sealing period.
The official has continued to use the large -scale infection abroad in the past three years as a demonstration of dynamic clearance. The number of deaths of more than one million in the United States has also become a negative textbook for official media to criticize foreign epidemic prevention.If China is out of control in the process of opening up and the number of deaths is close to the United States, there may be voices in the society questioning China's epidemic prevention policy and official discussion in the past three years, and doubt whether the Chinese people's patience and sacrifice are worthwhile for many years.
This kind of questioning is more dangerous than protests in the past week, because it is not only aimed at the current control and economic situation, but a comprehensive denial of China's three -year epidemic prevention policy.
The above -mentioned challenges are not unique to China. Increasing the vaccination rate of elderly people, preventing medical resources crowding cause secondary disasters, and various questioning of the society to prevent epidemic prevention policies. Almost all countries must be in the process of opening up.The triple challenge.
Differently, China's population is larger, the population is more diverse, and the regional differences are more obvious. In addition, the implementation of strict prevention and control policies is longer; the longer the problem suppress, the greater the recoil facing the recoil.
The larger the population of China, the more complicated the population. The more precise and detailed the top -level design of the open path, and at the same time, it must leave greater elastic adjustment space.This undoubtedly tests the official governance ability and the toughness of Chinese society.
China's open road cannot be smooth, but from another angle, it is thought that China has successfully reversed the external criticism of the outside world in the early days of the epidemic, and once became the world's epidemic prevention excellence.Nearly three years later, China once again faced more severe epidemic prevention challenges than other countries in the world; if China can face up to the current lack of epidemic prevention policies, listen carefully to the people's demands, keep pace with the times, and show the effectiveness and organization in the process of clearing the zero zero.Isn't China a chance to reverse domestic and foreign questioning at home and abroad?
