According to the China CCTV News, the official members of the Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China in China and Li Keqiang made a public appearance in the news screen for the last time. It was the Ministry of Defense ’s Bayi Army's Military Day enrollment meeting on July 31.Since then, the Seven Politburo Standing Committee members have not appeared in TV news.
The Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Communist Party of China has no longer appearing publicly since August, which caused the outside world to speculate that the annual "Beidaihe Time" arrived.The analysis predicts that in addition to the discussion of the CCP's 20 major personnel layout this year, the Twenty CCP's personnel will also focus on issues such as Taiwan Strait and Sino -US relations.
According to the China CCTV News, the official members of the Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China in China and Li Keqiang made a public appearance in the news screen for the last time. It was the Ministry of Defense ’s Bayi Army's Military Day enrollment meeting on July 31.Since then, the Seven Politburo Standing Committee members have not appeared in TV news.
Prior to this, the WeChat public account of the Ministry of Transport issued the "Notice on Strict Summer Concentrated Resort Discipline" on July 29, which means that the summer vacation is coming.wait.This article and related reprints were deleted the next day, and it was guessing that this was related to the article that the "Beidaihe Time" was about to begin.
Beidaihe, located in Qinhuangdao City, Hebei Province, was once the "Xiadu" of China.From 1953 to 1965, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China was working while on vacation every summer.After the beginning of the Cultural Revolution in 1966, Beidaihe's office was interrupted and resumed by 1984.
After 2003, the CCP canceled the summer office system, but the convention of the current and former leaders of the Summer to Beidaihe Restaurant continued, and they would also meet together during vacation.Meeting".
TheBeidaihe Conference has always been a window for observing China's political direction. Especially before the National Congress of the Communist Party of China every five years, senior officials often brewed major personnel layout, coordinate the party's position and interests, and discussed conference reports in Beidaihe.However, as Chinese official media rarely directly disclose the news of the high -level high -level in Beidaihe, the outside world can only speculate on "Beidaihe Time" through other related reports.
In the early August report, there is usually a side that confirms the news of Beidaihe's "vacation party", that is, some senior officials of the Communist Party of China visit the summer vacation experts in Beidaihe.However, since the outbreak of the crown disease in 2020, official media no longer publishes relevant reports.
multiple users of social media posted a post saying that Beidaihe has improved epidemic prevention requirements
In addition, on the eve of the Beidaihe Conference, leaders of Hebei Province usually go to local investigations and inspections.
Although there are no public reports from Hebei Province to the Beidaihe investigation recently, there are news that Beidaihe has strengthened security alerts and tightened visitors.
A number of users on the social media platform "Little Red Book" posted a post saying that Beidaihe has improved the epidemic prevention requirements in mid -July. Visitors in regions in crown diseases have been persuaded to return.Only to enter the Beidaihe Scenic Area.
Wang Xinxian, a special professor of the East Asia Research Institute of Taiwan Politburo and deputy director of the International Relations Research Center, said in an interview with Lianhe Zaobao that if the Beidaihe Conference this year is held in accordance with the practice, it is expected to discuss three major topics: 20 major personnel, the 20th National Congress of the 20th National Congress, the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of ChinaThe report, as well as major events at home and abroad in the near future.
Wang Xinxian said that at the Sixth Plenary Session of the Chinese Communist Party at the end of last year, senior management should have made initial deployment of this year's leadership.The 20th National Congress report is also expected to be preliminarily fixed after the Beidaihe Conference, and will be considered by the central ministries and relevant groups.
Sino -US relations and Taiwan Strait situation are planned to focus on topics
In addition, the Sino -US contradictions caused by the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Pelosi and the tension of the Taiwan Strait's situation will also become a topic of the CCP's high -level focus.Wang Xinxian said that although Chinese official and US President Biden made a call before visiting Taiwan, he still could not completely resolve Perosi to visit Typhoon Bo.Next, how to develop Sino -US relations and how to adjust Taiwan's policies is worth reviewing.China's economic pressure has increased, local financial pressure, and weak property markets are also urgent issues that need to be discussed.
It is generally believed that candidates and overall personnel layout, including the list of members of the Standing Committee of the Politburo, and the Secretary of the Central Secretariat, will be based on the "Beidaihe Time".However, as China's official moves towards the third term, some analysts believe that the importance of the Beidaihe Conference is gradually weakening.
Lu Xi, assistant professor of the School of Public Policy of the National University of Singapore, analyzed in the interview that during the last period of Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao, the party management tended to decentralization. Beidaihe became a place for the forces of all parties to exchange interests."Since China's official administration, the trend of centralized power in the party has become increasingly obvious. The significance of the existence of a discussion system such as the Beidaihe Conference is getting smaller and smaller.
Wang Xinxian believes that although Chinese officials are in power, they are still not so large that they can make a noise. In the most sensitive personnel issues, they still need to do appropriate decentralization and interest exchange to soothe the forces of all parties.
He said: "The personnel issues discussed at the Beidaihe Conference will be specific to who will be suitable for what kind of location. For example, Li Qiang, secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee who was originally a high call for the prime minister, was influenced by Shanghai.The Standing Committee of the Politburo, where to put in the usual time, and who you will pick up, these require all parties to reach a consensus. "
