Early
Northern Remember
Former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated and died. Taiwan Vice President Lai Qingde went to Tokyo to Abe's Mansion on Monday (11th) to participate in the private home festival.Lai Qingde became the highest -level in -service officials in Taiwan in the past 50 years.Beijing has a serious negotiation against Japan, accusing this of being "engaged in political manipulation and small movements."
Abe's pro -platform position is well known.He and Lai Qingde and other Taiwanese politicians have many years of personal relationships. After he stepped down, he said at the end of last year that "there is something equivalent to Japan in Taiwan, and it can also be said that it is equivalent to the United States and Japan alliances."In the eyes of the green camp in Taiwan, Abe's title of "Most Prime Minister of Taiwan" is well -deserved.
After his death last Friday, his family quickly agreed to Lai Qingde to attend the family funeral, and Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Kishita also quickly turned on the green light to "release".Some analysis believes that this reflects that it is the personal will to give Lai Qingde's visa to Japan.Kishida also released the signal, indicating that after Abe's death, the route of Yosutai, Japan, unchanged.On the other hand, although Lai Qingde is the next Taiwan with the highest voice, it is not the successor of Tsai Ing -wen.Kishida has the effect of "buying tickets" in advance for "funeral diplomatic" gift.For Lai Qingde, this trip to Japan has become his rare exposure and extra chance of exposure.
However, the most concerned of the mainland people is not the relationship between Taiwan and Japan, but focusing on the sympathy effect of Abe's accident. Will the Japanese right -wing forces look up and stimulate the goal of Abe's life -modify the Japanese post -war peace.The goals of the Constitution are implemented faster.Public opinion is concerned that the Kishida government will follow the victory to complete the Abe's legacy, and then the next step, Japanese militarism will "resurrect".
Many people also mentioned that in the Senate elections held after Abe's death, the "Four Party amendments" supported by constitutional amendments now occupy two -thirds of the seats in the two courts of Japan, which has spanned the initiative to initiateThe threshold for the constitutional amendment.According to relevant Japanese regulations, the constitutional amendment also requires citizenship voting. It takes about one year to complete the procedure, and Japan will not have major national politics elections in the next three years. Kishida has three years of golden time to promote constitutional amendments.
What is said, but how is it easy to talk about in reality?Besides, whether to amend the constitution is actually not so important.
First of all, although the "constitutional amendment forces" occupy the majority, how to repair it, these four parties are not small.Secondly, although due to the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine War, the Japanese people in favor of the constitutional amendments have also reached a record high in polls, but they may currently think that the government's primary task is to save the Japanese economy and the mad depreciation of the yen.Furthermore, many people have misunderstood Kishida and Abe, who belongs to the same faction. In fact, the shore field belongs to the gentle school. He himself is also affected by the Liberal Democratic Party's largest faction Abe.Kishida stated after the Senate election that "will initiate constitutional amendments as soon as possible, but it may just talk verbally.
The so -called constitutional amendments not only modify the peace constitution formulated by the United States after World War II, mainly to modify the "tight curse" given to Japan in Article 9.Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution includes two sentences: "... (Japan) will always abandon the motion of war, force threat or force to exercise with national power, as a means to solve international disputes"; and "in order to reach the previous project, do not keep the land and sea.The Air Force and other war power do not recognize the country's fighting rights. "
The Democratic Party's discussion about the constitutional amendment is mainly for the second sentence, "Do not maintain the power of the land, sea, air and other war, and do not recognize the country's fighting rights."Constitution status.It is worth noting that even under the existing constitution, the powerful Japanese self -defense team also exists. Abe also passed the Security Act and the collective self -defense rights, and did not face the constitutional constitutional review.
In other words, even if the constitutional amendment does not hinder Japan's launch of a new military bill, let alone the old road of constitutional amendments to the return of the militarism in Japan, and there is still a long distance.The symbolic significance of constitutional amendments is greater than substantial significance. Japan's right wing believes that constitutional amendments marked the shadow of Japan to get rid of the shadow of the defeat country and bid farewell to the "self -abuse history" and become a "normal ordinary country."
Many people have forgotten that the Japanese "post -war system" that the constitutional amendments strive to get rid of the United States are formulated by the United States, so another resistance faced by Japan's constitutional amendment is actually the United States, and the subtle relationship between the United States and Japan is involved behind the constitutional amendment.With the famous Taiwan commentator Guo Zhengliang, the real key is to see if the United States should "put a tiger out of the cage".
From this perspective, whether it is Japan's constitutional amendment or the future of China -Japan relations, whether Abe is in the world, the United States is a decisive factor.When Abe was in office, Sino -Japanese relations also changed with the ups and downs of Sino -US relations.After Biden came to power and adopted the alliance's policy, Japan's attitude of resistance to China was even more prominent, and the status of Japanese American allies improved accordingly.
Chinese executives are also estimated to be in their hearts.There is a saying that China no longer regards Japan as equivalent opponents; although the people have a lot of rude statements for Abe, high -level high -level or Lai Qingde's visit to Taiwan is regarded as a more transcendent attitude.
Abe's death, without the "rear -seater driver" restraint, the Kishida government is expected to start amendments to the constitutional amendment, but it is not rushed to complete, and the general direction of the pro -beauty and tirler will not change.In the reality of the long -term wrestling of China and the United States, China needs to maintain such "calmness" to prevent the noise of war netizens and disrupt its own revival plan with East Asia peacefully.Recently, some Chinese netizens said that if Japan returns to the militarist road, China will have the opportunity to wash a century of shame, and this emotion is worthy of vigilance.
