Special
Looking forward to 2021, the incense land property market will continue to be in the two -day situation of ice and fire, that is, good and bad factors coexist.The emergence of immigration trends or pressure on property prices; but the low -interest environment and market liquidity, coupled with the trend of Hong Kong stocks, will be optimistic, which will bring support for property prices.
The Hong Kong Government announced that the price of private buildings in Hong Kong fell for two months, and the property price index hit a new low of seven months.Scholars say that the performance of property prices and the performance of the transaction in the next two or three months is very critical. The market is expected to continue to be affected by the epidemic. The rise in unemployment rate will also impact the capacity of the building.Large space relaxes spicy tricks.
The crown disease epidemic situation, the rise rate of unemployment, and the operating environment of all walks of life have been challenged. Many Hong Kong people who want to "get on the car" (buy the first house) originally expected the property market to be as in 2003.During the Sriors, the property prices in Hong Kong were still high, which caused the dreams of these Hong Kong people to end.
Looking back at the beginning of 2020, Hong Kong has just pant from the storm and enters the year of the mouse, but he must worry about the outbreak of the epidemic, coupled with the implementation of the China -US wrestling and the implementation of the Hong Kong National Security Law, Hong Kong's financial center statusAt one time.At the same time, many countries and regions opened the door of convenience, so that the Hong Kong people's immigration tide was resurrected.
When many people worry about flowing out of Hong Kong, the phenomenon of "water flooding Xiangjiang" appeared, showing that although Hong Kong may lose its leadership position in regional finance, Beijing still strives to protect its financing center function.
Hong Kong's M3 currency supply in 2020 has at least eight innovation highs, which continues the low -interest ring.
In addition, the Guangdong -Hong Kong -Macao Greater Bay Area has further developed, and the epidemic sealing can only delay the torrent of the Greater Bay Area. Markets expect that in 2021, the Greater Bay Area will show the economic power of the new generation. At the same time, Hong Kong will enter the wealth effect.In the third issue, the change of the building will dominate the market.
Under many favorable factors offset many unfavorable factors, Hong Kong's private property prices in Hong Kong in 2020 are quite stable, and even the rent is not lowered, it is just short -term adjustment.On the contrary, the epidemic has severely cracked down on the retail industry, which caused the rent of shops and office buildings to fall sharply.
There are vacant street shops in multiple districts in Hong Kong, and the rent of the core area will return to the level six or seven years ago.According to the Data Data, the overall capital price of the Grade A office building in 2020 fell 20.5%, the street shop price fell by 32.8%, while the price of layered industrial buildings fell 7.5%.
As the number of entry passengers decreased greatly, the Hong Kong hotel industry is not downturn, and the industry has its own conspiracy. In addition to the current measures such as layoffs, unpaid leave and other throttle, "internal circulation" has also been launched.Change to quarantine isolation hotel.
Changshi Group, a wealthy Li Ka -shing Group, had applied for reconstruction of Tianshuiwei Jiahu Haiyi Hotel into a residence earlier as early as 2019.Chengxuan Hotel is converted into a house.This approach only needs to make up for the small price to obtain cash flow, which is praised.
In this situation, Chief Executive Lin Zheng Yue'e announced the withdrawal of the double stamp duty in the policy report in November, but she also emphasized that the residential building still has no "withdrawal" space.Chen Maobo, the director of the Financial Secretary, explained that the property prices in Hong Kong's private property are still more than doubled compared with the first time in 2010, which is far higher than that of ordinary Hong Kong people.
Looking forward to 2021, the fragrant land property market will continue to be in the two -day situation of ice and fire, that is, the coexistence of good and bad factors.The emergence of immigration trends or pressure on property prices; but the low -interest environment and market liquidity, coupled with the trend of Hong Kong stocks, will be optimistic, which will bring support for property prices.
However, Xu Zhiwen, a professor of the Department of Building and Real Estate, Hong Kong, is concerned that the rise in unemployment rate may affect the capacity of Hong Kong people's building, especially small and medium -sized units.Selling the building at a reduced price.
He pointed out that there are not many cases of negative assets at present, but if the market has emerged in the market, it will continue to fall in prices or low prices, and property prices will continue to fall, which may make owners' mortgage (property mortgage) loans hit the red line and become negative assets.
