When leaders of 10 countries such as China and Russia gathered Kazan for the first time, the United States was also increasingly attractive changes.That is: Former US President Trump, the third time the White House, has recently risen, support surpass Harris, and the probability of returning to the White House seems to increase day by day.
In this U.S. presidential election that is abnormal, any result can not be considered unexpected, but for the United States' European partners and traditional East Asian allies, such as Japan, South Korea, and Australia, the use of isolationist Trump is definitely in the United States.Not good news.If Trump is elected, it is more difficult to protect the United States to achieve peaceful transfer of power. At this moment, everyone may be keeping an eye on the situation.
According to recent investigations released by many major media and polls in the United States, Harris's support in the United States is still slightly ahead of Trump two to three percentage points.However, in the seven key swing states that really determine the victory and defeat, the two were fighting for difficulty, regardless of Xuan Xuan.What makes Democrats anxious is that Harris' support has been spreading for two months, as if encountering the ceiling, so far he has not found a breakthrough.
On the contrary, the Trump camp is more and more brave. Some polls show that the Republican supporters are returning to the team. For example, in the latest polls announced by the Wall Street Journal on October 23, Trump's national support rate has surpassed HarrisTwo percentage points.Considering that in the last two elections, Trump's ultimate votes were higher than polls. How can this situation make the Democrats anxious?
The US presidential election adopts the "election group" system. The number of votes in the states is different. Candidates won in the general election in a certain state to win all the votes of the state in the state.There are a total of 538 votes in the country. Whoever grabs 270 can be the president of the United States.
Over the years, the voting direction of most US states in the presidential election has been very stable. There are only seven exceptions of swing states. Therefore, swing states are the real battlefield.Among them, the current most watched is the "Rust Zone" Pennsylvania. There are 19 election votes here, which is the best in swinging states.Since 1948, no Democratic candidate has been able to lose Pennsylvania and win the White House.Last Sunday, Trump staged the place of "selling fries", which was McDonald's store in Pennsylvania.
Musk, the world's richest man who is struggling to help Trump's selection, is also harsh money to condense the support of Trump.Musk announced in Pennsylvania last week that he gave $ 1 million (S $ 1.32 million) to the randomly drawn, participating in the partner who supported the freedom of speaking and holding guns, and called on them to vote.Musk also really sent two million dollars to two lucky people under the magnesium. His lottery will continue until the voting day, limited to seven swing states to participate.Holding the gun is a political opinion of Trump, and many comments believe that Musk's activity has been on the edge of illegal tickets.
Shopping mall tycoons are so naked to smash money to support candidates, but this American election is puzzling, and Trump, as the first former president in criminal conviction in the history of the United States, may be elected and breakthrough.Many people's cognition.
Trump's opponent -Democratic Party Harris is in another dilemma.In order to raise her election, she recently interviewed TV frequently. Unexpectedly, she not only did not add points but also lost points, highlighting her prosecutor's experience in politics, insufficient familiarity with internal and external policies, incomplete thinking, and vague positions.Old problems.Although Harris's campaign expenditure is three times that of Trump, she is still struggling; she has an advantage among female voters, but she has lost the support of workers and traditional black men's traditional voting warehouses.
Of course, not all observers are pessimistic about Harris.The famous election analyst, American historian Allan Lichtman always believes that the Democratic Party will win.Since 1984, Li Qiman has estimated the results of 10 presidential elections with a model and only missed once.This year, Li Qiman was afraid of showing his unique prediction, but he received a lot of slander and intimidation, and even the personal safety of his family was threatened.Li Qiman said in an interview recently that he has "not seen such a strong hatred" in 42 years.
It is these trivial stories that make people feel the complexity and tear of the status quo of the United States.Candidates who have crimes, the transfer of the voter sector, the confrontation of the society on the issue of immigration and abortion, the dissatisfaction of the workers in the economy, and the continuous breakthrough of the upper limit of the national debt scale.It is God, but in the reality where the current society is complex and diverse, and the population structure has changed dramatically, the United States must truly maintain the traditional spirit such as immigration, personal freedom, respect for different opinions, and political compromises.
A comment recently by British economists saying that no matter who was elected as the president of the United States, it would be Trumpism, which includes internal vision, no longer supporting free trade, which is not as open as the past, and whether the debate is debating whetherResponsible for maintaining international order.From here, it is not just the sway states of the United States, but the United States that the outside world knows, and what happened in the United States may also be a sign of other parts of the world.
UN Secretary -General Gutres has recently described that we are entering a multi -world but not yet reached, but we have reached the "diverse purgatory."In a "multi -purgatory" world, people are more eager to play a role in great powers, afraid that most countries will fall into purgatory, and there will be fewer and less stable anchors.
