North Korea accused the South Korean drone from entering Pyongyang last week to publish leaflets, which caused a tension that has been brewing for several months.

North Korea described the behavior of "unbearable major provocations", which may lead to "armed conflict or even war", and has ordered the border forces to prepare for shooting.South Korea said that it would be ready to fight back and warn that if their citizens' security is threatened, it will mean "the end of the North Korean regime."

This week, North Korea bombed two roads that symbolized peace and connecting the two countries, and declared the next day that 1.4 million young people applied for joining or returning to the army.

This is the highest point of tensions since Kim Jong -un announced in January that South Korea was the "number one enemy country" and "primary enemy".

What happened?

On October 11th, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of North Korea accused South Korea of ​​sending drones over the past two weeks to fly over Pyongyang at night. A large number of airdrops were "anti -political black propaganda leaflets".Dignity and malicious slandering the socialist system.

North Korean leader Kim Jong -un, and the Deputy Minister of the Central Committee of the Labor Party, Kim and Zheng to warn Seoul that if similar events occur, there will be "unimaginable terrible tragedies".She later said that the evidence has shown that the South Korean military is the perpetrator of the provocative behavior.

North Korea has distributed fuzzy pictures of drones, and photos that are said to be leaflets, but the outside world cannot independently verify this statement.

South Korea ’s Ministry of National Defense took the“ do not confirm ”whether the military sent drones to Pyongyang.Locals speculated that drones were sent by folk groups, and they used balloons to send leaflets to North Korea.

In this regard, Park Sang-Hak, the leader of the "Free Korean Movement" and the northern part of the "Free Korean Movement", denied rumors that "we did not send drones to North Korea."

The Korean official media reported to the China News Agency that Kim Jong -un held a national defense and security department agreement on Monday to "indicate the current military activity direction and proposed that in starting the national defense force and exercising self -defense to safeguard national sovereignty and security interestsMajor tasks.

Lee Sung-Jun, a spokesman for the co-meeting of the Chief of Staff, said North Korea may launch a "small-scale provocation", such as a small explosion on the road connecting the two Koreas.

Soon after, North Korea bombed some traffic sections of the Jingyi Line and Donghai Line.This section is regarded as a symbol of peace between the two countries. The construction of highway construction is a follow -up measure of the Korean North Korean leader talks in 2000. It is also the most representative South Korea -DPRK cooperation project.

Analysts said that although the two roads have long been closed, North Korea's move shows that Kim Jong -un did not want to negotiate with South Korea.

26 years ago, Park Junghao fled from North Korea to South Korea.I heard that the North Korean people in Yellow Haidao lacked food. In 2015, he began to drift by bottle and other items filled with rice.

After the explosion, the Ministry of Unified South Korea has strongly condemned. The military said that it has launched weapons on one side of the border to show force and strengthen surveillance.

A few hours later, the Gyeonggi -do government surrounding Seoul announced that 11 areas in three cities including Pozhou, Kinpu, and Lianchuan County were classified as dangerous areas.thing.According to the law, offenders will be punished for less than 1 year in prison or a fine of less than 10 million won (about 52,000 yuan).

Jin Chengzhong, the first deputy member of the Gyeonggi government administration, held a press conference to say that the relationship between South Korea and North Korea has changed sharply and it does not rule out the possibility of the North Korean people's shelling when the Korean people exude the anti -North Korean leaflets.Regional people are safe.

What are the political interpretations?

Analysts said the drone incident showed that North Korea is consolidating internal support by making people feel that the threat of the country is being upgraded.

Professor Kang Dong-WAN, who teaches politics and diplomacy at Dong-A University, said that North Korea described vocabulary such as "separation countries" when describing South Korea, and no longer uses "compatriots" and "compatriots" and "compatriots" andThe words "unity" are part of this strategy.

He said: "The North Korean regime depends on fear of politics and requires an external enemy. Whenever the tension is rising, North Korea will emphasize external threats to increase loyalty to the regime."

Analysis indicates that the tit -for -tat of the two countries shows that the two sides are caught in a "chicken game", and no one is willing to blink first.

Professor Kim Dong-Yup of the University of North Korean Studies said that the two countries have refused to concessions. Because the two sides do not trust each other, Seoul "needs to think about how to manage the crisis".Essence

Will the two countries go to war?

Analysts believe that there will be no war between the two countries.

Scholar Jiang Dongwan said that North Korea's use of military confrontation to strengthen internal cohesion may not be upgraded to the level of war.

Professor Kim Dongzhang said that he questioned North Korea's ability to launch a comprehensive war, "the regime is clear about the serious consequences of such conflicts."

Professor NAM Sung-Wook, who taught North Korea from Korea University, said that the recent drone controversy is likely to be a "dispute between tongue". Both countries know that they cannot bear the cost of full war, so"The possibility of using nuclear weapons is very low."

What is the background?

North Korea and South Korea did not sign the peace treaty at the end of the Korean War in 1953. Strictly speaking, the two sides are still in a state of war.

Since the founding of North Korea, the authorities have always expressed unification with South Korea, although this proposition has become more and more out of reality.Until January this year, Kim Jong Il said that he gave up unification with South Korea.

Kim Jong -un has actively brought closer relations with Russian President Putin, making his relationship with the United States and Western countries (major allies in South Korea) more and more alienated.

As the most important ally in North Korea, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs has called on all parties to "avoid further upgrading of the Peninsula conflict" after the drone incident.

As the US presidential election enters the final stage, the tension of the Korean Peninsula is heating up.