Taiwans presidential election war warmed blue, green and white to run the people

The election campaign in Taiwan is heating up, the gap between the polls of blue -green and white candidates is close, and the DPP's DPP has increased its firepower and attacked on the wild party.

Taiwan will hold the president and legislator election on January 13, 2024 two and a half months. In the context of the tight situation of the Taiwan Strait and entering the Cold War of the Sino -US resistance, the cross -strait and the US route of the new government will affectRegional security and economic and trade situation has aroused attention at home and abroad.

Recently, a number of polls have shown the trend of blue -green and white polls. Among them, the data released by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation on Monday (October 23) shows that the continuous leading DPP (green) president Lai Qingde supportsDegree, from last month, fell 3.7 percentage points, below 30%to 29.7%.Ke Wenzhe's support for the Presidential Party (White) Presidential Candidates fell 1.8 percentage points to 25.6%from last month. The Kuomintang (blue) presidential candidate Hou Youyi rose 3.9 percentage points to 21.1%.

Professor You Yinglong, chairman of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, pointed out that the election situation is unprecedented and has formed a three -legged trend.He has judged that the increase in the recent disappointment of the ruling party is one of the reasons for Lai Qingde's public opinion.

In the promotion of the "Blue and White He" in the wild camp, the Catriot of the Blue and White Party revealed on October 20 that they were in the pre -election election alliance and created a joint government after the election.Lai Qingde's camp did not dare to neglect, and obviously improved its combat power. In the past few days, Ke Wenzhe mentioned on Saturday that "the most slower in scanning black people" in the United States was interesting.The proposal frozen national defense budget is to cooperate with mainland Chinese arts to attack and attack, and it is the act of selling platforms and pulling Taiwan's hind legs.

However, the prospects of Lan Bai are still unclear. Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe insist on choosing the president to the end, and never consider being a deputy.The two parties have no consensus on the plan to decide on the field candidates. Bai Ying will not allow persistence to win than polls. The blue camp considers polls and votes in parallel.However, after the talks between the two sides on October 14, the approval of each other lacked mutual trust, and the negotiations fell into a deadlock.

In accordance with the provisions of the Central Election Commission, all candidates must register before November 24.Professor Chen Luhui, director of the Department of Political Science and Election Research Center of the University of Political Science, studied and judged that if the negotiations have not progressed this week, the voting decisive method of voting will definitely be too late.However, if one of the two polls of pure mobile phones or mobile phone markets advocated by the people's party, Ke Wenzhe, who has obtained more young people, has obvious advantages. Most of them will win, representing the president of the wild camp.

Chen Luhui pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the key to whether Blue and Baihe can become a situation and victory is that Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe are willing to be deputy, everything is in the thought of the parties.If the two sides insist on not allowing, "Lai Qingde will be very happy."

In response to the view of the decline in Lai Qingde's polls that caused the fear of war caused by the conflict of Yha, Zhuang Wenzhong, a professor at the Department of Political Department of Chungza University, pointed out in an interview with the joint morning News that once the international situation affects the situation in the Taiwan Strait, it may indeed affect the judgment of Taiwanese voters' judgment.And the last choice.However, he also pointed out that if the Harbin conflict has recently obtained relatively successful treatment, it will increase the confidence of Taiwanese voters in the international processing conflict mechanism, and the impact and panic of the election will decrease.

Chen Luhui believes that Taiwanese voters are relatively not so concerned about external factors. Whether the fear of war caused by the conflict, and the pressure on the economic and trade of Foxconn's taxation of Foxconn, it is not enough to flip the election. The key is in the wild camp.Whether it can form a blue and white harmony that moves voters and mobilize young voters to achieve political party rotation.

He believes that the key to the success or failure of blue and white is not the distribution of the position but the combination of ideas. The two sides must propose a concept and vision that allows Taiwan to be better, the people on both sides of the strait, and the people can live in a peaceful and security environment.

Chen Luhui pointed out that the mainland's investigation of Foxconn's taxes may cause dislikes of Taiwanese voters and being interpreted as malicious intervention in Taiwan elections. To be involved in elections, it will cause anti -effects.

He also said that the recent ups and downs of Lai Qingde's support for polls is still within the sampling error, and further changes must be observed.