Chen Guoxiang: 12 obstacles on the road of President Hou Youyi

Source: Meilimao Electronic News

Author: Chen Guoxiang

Hou Youyi has been summoned by the Kuomintang's call for election, and his public opinion support has recently weakened, but there are still polls showing that he has a fighting strength, but there are a lot of obstacles on the presidential road., And get the support of the non -green camp, otherwise it will be very difficult to remove the DPP.

At present, there are at least 12 possibilities in front of the horizontal stalk:

1. The recruitment is not smooth: the recruitment must be based on the results of the polls, and it is necessary to coordinate with the relevant persons to obtain a general consensus in order to complete it smoothly.In the process, Hou Youyi must maintain a passive position, and he must eliminate interference forces. People in the party are not allowed to deliberately spread their offensive remarks, and even create false polls to confuse audiovisual, otherwise calling his credibility and appeal will be harmed.

2. Blue Camp is not uncomfortable: Although the blue camp is not yet better for the candidate, it is questioned that their loyalty and combat effectiveness are located, especially some deep blue people have a low acceptance of him. They have strong wordsThe destructive power generated during the process will be considerable, and the image of Hou Youyi will inevitably be harmed.

3. Non -green non -integration: The current proportion of resources is small, and the non -green camps are in a disadvantage even if they are united. Besides, Guo Taiming has not retreated.If the integration cannot be completed, it will lead to the differentiation of the votes, and there will be high hopes for the victory of the green camp.

4. The central government is not coordinated: If the relationship between Hou and the Kuomintang is out, there is also a distance from the Party Central Committee. How to work closely with the Party Central Committee in the future and operate in one -piece operations, it is not easy to use integration combat power.Regardless of the promotion, organization, legislators nomination, and even what the party do, the campaign headquarters and the party department must be highly coordinated, otherwise they will inevitably weaken their combat power.

5. Unsuccessful transformation: Hou's past experience is mainly due to the police government and local heads. It has its limitations. The positive image in the minds of the people in Taiwan is a trusted good person and a successful person.The leader still has a gap. Compared to Lai Qingde, in addition to the local head, he was a legislator, the president, deputy president, and the chairman of the ruling party. His experience gap is not small.

6. Political opinions are not familiar: Hou's past governance scope rarely involves all -time sexual affairs, and major policies in Taiwan are rarely discussed.The policy and claims of affairs are limited and confident, how to construct systemic policies to build systemic policies in all aspects of political issues, and widely obtain public recognition, and is convinced that he has indeed a handsome manner for Taiwan's political policy, which is also a top priority.

7. The deputy hand does not add points: Hou wants to win the public's confidence in his political leadership, so you need to strengthen the vice presidential candidate.It can be added as a tiger; Lu Xiuyan is a strong, but there is doubts of "running a double group"; Ke Zhien has both knowledge and locality, and is also a good deputy candidate.If you can find Junyan, which makes people's eyes bright, it can make up for the weakness and strengthen people's confidence.

8. The United States does not bless: The United States is the most important partner of Taiwan's security. Whether it is a blessing to the United States is an important criterion for judging whether the presidential candidate is appropriate.The Democratic Progressive Party has a lot of problems from Tsai Ing -wen to Lai Qingde. The Kuomintang and Hou Youyi are not comparable. Even if they cannot catch up in the United States, even if they cannot catch up, at least let the people treat the United States for the United States.Whether there is no doubt.

9. Young people disagree: The old image of the Kuomintang is not loved by young people. The DPP almost includes most young votes, and Ke Wenzhe also has many young fans.Hou Youyi's conditions and style are more traditional, and they are attractive to young people. They must reshape their image and make the image younger.

10. Do not buy it in the middle: The basic market of the Kuomintang is not as greater as the DPP, and the enthusiasm for Hou Youyi is not as good as the DPP supporters, so it must seek more support in the middle position voters.If the middle voters are indifferent to him, or they can't grab Lai Qingde and Ke Wenzhe, it will be difficult to win by the basic market.

11. Blue Camp is not strong: Hou Youyi is not considered the Kuomintang's orthodox politicians. In the eyes of some deep blue people, there are even "blue skin and green bones".Their enthusiasm, which increases their appeal and voting rate, is difficult to raise the number of support.

12. The change of party does not expect: The DPP has been in power for nearly seven years of evaluation, but cross -strait relations have deteriorated to such a murderous war.And the Democratic Progressive Party's anti -land route will attract war or defend Taiwan's security, and there are also general doubts.Such security doubts and negative evaluations of the Democratic Progressive Party's governing performance are not sure whether it is great to look forward to changing party governance.If most people cannot evoke the psychology of changing the party to change the party, it is not easy to replace it. Hou Youyi's challenge will be defeated.

Although the Democratic Progressive Party was defeated in local public office elections, the central level election still has an advantage, and there is another long -time candidate to stand on the pitcher hill. His image and strength are very considerable.As far as the current situation is concerned, Hou Youyi obviously has not yet obtained the advantage, and he has faced more obstacles and difficulty.He must quickly increase the height, expand the pattern, organize a strong team, and support the strong support of the party organization.