Turning in the Time Language
The National Democratic and Republican National Congress was held separately, and the presidential election was in full swing.As in four years ago, from the perspective of polls, President Trump's chances of winning most people's votes are minimal.The key to his re -election is to win several swing states with a faint majority, thereby winning more than half of the electoral votes.
The crown disease has caused serious economic recession and large -scale unemployment. Trump's chances of victory are quite unfavorable, but his political appeal among low -education white people is still quite strong.Various signs show that Trump ’s re -application of racist skills, including publicly claiming that there are good people in the three -K party demonstration team, as well as the dog whistle hints used by the Republican Party in recent years.
For example, Trump recently protected the promise that housewives in the suburbs will not be threatened by low -income groups. They oppose changes to the name of the military base named after the leaders of the southern rebels, claiming that they have been killed by the police.Harris, Vice President of Democratic Party, and so on.
In all fairness, Trump, who grew up in the international metropolis, is hard to say that he has profound racial discrimination, but he is keenly noticed that the profound racism of low education for white people is an extremely effective political tool.This racism has a greater and urgent sense of urgency, and it also has the advantage of the battle of sorrow.
At least from the tea party movement until Trump's alien emergence, American populism has been promoted by racism.However, this is different from traditional racial prejudice based on skin tone, but is driven by economic competition, and has a social Darwinist atmosphere.This can explain Trump's low -education whites, because white people who have received good education have not strongly felt the pressure of competition between immigration and globalization.Trump's governance center is protectiveism plus immigration.
The green mountains can't cover it, after all, the east flows.Among the adults in the United States, white people are still temporarily living, but in each presidential election cycle, their ratio has decreased by two percentage points.In 2016, more than half of the non -white people in American newborns.Today, there are more than half of the public education systems from kindergartens to high school.In the eyes of many Republican voters, in 2020, it is possible that they rely on a swing state with a low proportion of ethnic minorities in the central region and get the last chance to get more than half of the electoral votes.
A major election strategy of the Republican Party in recent years is to increase the voting threshold as much as possible and reduce the voting rate, because this is the most effective means to reduce non -white and low -end population votes.This year is no exception, so major controversy around the post office appears. The cause is that Trump's appointment in the US Post Office attempts to weaken the post office's delivery capabilities to obstruct mailing voting due to high epidemic.
This year's wonderful highlights are not only a clear winner that may not have a clear winner on the night of the election, but also many lawsuits may also occur.Due to the obstruction of the Senate controlled by the Republican Party, Obama left a large number of judges in his term. Trump was able to appoint more than 200 federal judges at all levels, including two Supreme Court Justice.This is another advantage of Trump this year.
The author is engaged in scientific research in North America
