Popularists do not like themselves unpopular.Because of this, they were proved to perform very badly in responding to the covid-19 (COVID-19, that is, the 2019 coronary virus disease).The new crisis brings only terrible news: death, economic destruction and freedom.
US President Donald Bull; Donald Trump and Brazilian President Yail Bull; Jair Bolsonaro is the most well -known populist leader in the West.The catastrophic results that they respond to the way of the new crown epidemic are increasingly emerging.Last week, Brazil became the second country in the world after the United States with more than 50,000 deaths in the world.
The obvious feature of Trump and Bosonaro should be fatal to the reality of the COVID-19 epidemic way.Throughout January, February, and the first half of March, Trump almost ignored the new crown epidemic.He had proposed on different occasions that this virus disappeared like magic, and injection of disinfection agents may be a good therapy.As new cases and death tolls continue to soar, Trump's latest high move is to propose that the United States should simply stop testing. It is hoped that as long as you do n’t ignore it, the reality will disappear.
Bosonaro's irresponsibility attitude is even more arrogant: a lightly described by COVID-19, saying that it is just a cold; delivered a speech to the anti-blocking protest;
Both are now paying major political costs for their incompetence.Before the US presidential election in November this year, Trump was greatly lagging behind polls.Bosonaro's support also declined. Some people said that he might be impeached, and his core circle was investigated by anti -corruption.
In the UK, Boris Johnson respects more scientific consensus.However, in the early days of the new crisis, the British Prime Minister did show one of the biggest flaws of populist methods: dangerous to take action on bad news.When other European countries entered the blockade, he declared that we lived in a free country and did not take action.To a certain extent, Britain has become the country with the most COVID-19 deaths in Europe.Within two months, Johnson's support fell from a record level to negative.
In contrast, Angla Merkel, who was disgusted by Trump and many other populist leaders; Angela Merkel performed well in this crisis.Germany is one of the countries with the lowest per capita crown per capita in Germany.Last week, Johnson argued in the parliament that none of the countries had effective contact with those who followed the application. At that time, the opposition leader Kirl Bull; Sir Keir Starmer responded with a word: Germany.
A contrast between Merkel and these populist performance proves that the ability to understand evidence is a useful characteristic of leaders.German Prime Minister has a doctorate degree in chemistry.In contrast, Trump is a real estate developer, Bosonaro is the former captain of the army, and Johnson has a second -class degree in classical literature.Merkel can calmly and clearly explain the mathematical calculation of the infection rate and take action accordingly; Trump even complained that the United States has done too much testing.Merkel's support in polls has risen sharply, reaching the highest level in many years.In contrast, the support rate of the new German selection of the party (AFD) of populism has a sharp decline in support; the party has traditionally opposed all the positions of the internal camps in the system, from the European Union to vaccination.
After observing this situation, the Francis Fukuyama of Stanford University;The national populism: Matthew Goodwin, Matthew Goodwin, which is a Matthew Goodwin, which is the National Populism: The Revolutionst Liberal Democracy.The tone of world politics in the next few years.These incidents include Trump, Posonaro and Johnson failed in the election. French President Emmanuel Macron was elected again and a decline in the support rate of the new party in Germany.In general, Goodwin believes that this means the return of liberalism.Popularism is out.
Trump's defeat has a global potential impact because he is a national populist mdash; MDASH; including Bosonaro, Hungary and the Polish government, as well as radical right -wing MDASH in France, Germany, Italy, and other countries;Soul of the soul.
Liberals have a legitimate reason to expect that populism will be seriously damaged by the COVID-19 epidemic.But they should not celebrate too early.Trump has experienced a few months of sadness.However, the prospects of the cultural war in the United States (focusing on sensitive issues such as race and national symbols) may help his campaign.
In addition, the power of the initial ignition of populism did not disappear.As Gudewin pointed out, some social groups that are most likely to incite in populism (groups with no college education and low income) will be particularly serious in economic recession.
There is also such a possibility: in a crisis, the criteria for democratic politics may collapse completely.Trump has repeatedly claimed that the November election will be manipulated, which has made many political observers feel uneasy.Bosonaro inserted several generals in his cabinet, and stated that the military would ignore the absurd ruling of the presidential president, obviously implying that the military would refuse to accept the successful impeachment in Congress.
After the COVID-19 epidemic, voters may indeed refuse populism.But it is impossible to guarantee that populists will walk away quietly.
Translator/Liang Yanchang
