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Although there was a very pessimistic prediction of the coronary virus epidemic at the beginning of the year, the development of nearly three months has made too many people, including politicians from various countries have fallen below glasses.It is from the local incidents of a country, with the help of global Dongfeng to set off a giant of society, economy and politics around the world.
To this day, although the Chinese epidemic has greatly eased, Europe, which has far from seeing virus ebb, is still struggling.The huge impact on the world's future pattern has gradually emerged.
In the long history of human beings, peace is never the norm. We are very lucky to live in a period of rare global plague, war and famine, and enjoy a rare economic prosperity.But now this decades of prosperity, especially the global feast enjoyed by developing countries, is coming slowly.
The endless epidemic situation will not only cause huge casualties in the population of the world, but also the secondary disaster caused by the epidemic is also emerging.EssenceWhether this epidemic will lead to the Great Depression of the global economy will be a huge question mark that is shuddering, and it is also a realistic issue that leaders of various countries must face carefully.
However, more and more signs show that the golden period of globalization for decades is over. If the concept of Earth Village is not as small as it is, it will face more doubts.We no longer take the international division of labor as a matter of course, and it is suffering unprecedented setbacks.In the past, capital was the biggest beneficiary of globalization, and it sought the high -efficiency combination of capital with the lowest labor costs worldwide.
However, with the ideology of industry and trade, and in the reality, more and more countries have discovered that the foreign industrial chain and industrial products, such as this time when the plague is out of the plague.The international supply competition and blockade will eventually cause people to reflect on relying on foreign industries, sometimes causing another disaster.The self -sufficiency of the finished product of the industry has become the focus of consideration from the national level.
Since the network can be blocked and the product can monopolize. In the past, the outdated globalization process was completely exposed.Although globalization will still be a vision that humans should pursue together, intensification of globalization will also be an inevitable trend in the near future.
In the past few years, the major transfer of the industrial chain has begun, and this global epidemic may accelerate.In addition to trying to maintain the advantages of its financial industry and scientific and technological innovation, the United States will also strive to revival the manufacturing industry.In such a chaotic situation, the more autism and population of society will be a global problem we are going to face.
The current epicenter is Europe.The European Union, a huge bloated and too many heterogeneous ingredients, does not do much in this epidemic, which will further intensify the differentiation after Brexit.In addition, European countries will also examine its open foreign immigration policy.All of this will further raise new isolation and conservativeism around the world.We will also be more conservative. After the disaster, people will be more inclined to think that the transfer of individual freedom and rights from the country and collectivism is a more acceptable choice;Essence
The ideological dispute between the country has long been revealed in this epidemic, and it may have been intensified since then.State teams between countries are becoming increasingly obvious, and globalization has slowly allowed politics in the circle of friends, or regional politics and economic alliances.In other words, each country must weigh whether the social and economic dependence of their non -friendly countries can resist the impact of disaster.
Perhaps 40 years ago, all countries considered completely separating politics from the economy, seeking common ground while deposit differences, and only seeking economic common connections.However, more and more politics now finds that there is no common civilized values economic and trade cooperation, and globalization with only emphasis, diversification and inclusiveness, often becomes fragile and unsustainable when facing disasters.A crown disease exposed the background color of various countries.
From the perspective of the East, through the Belt and Road Initiative, the AIIB, regional integration, and digital currency, it can weaken the West, while the western elite has begun to plan, re -formulate a new global order with common values, and build various tangible and intangible invisibles.High walls, to defend the enemy outside the country.
This epidemic is like pressing the restart key to the world. We don't know how the future prospects, but only know that it will be very different from now.
The author is local literary and historical lovers
