Ming Pao News Agency
The 2019 coronary virus epidemic has a major turning point. Although the Chinese epidemic has a slowdown in the near future, there have been large -scale communities in many countries around the world. South Korea has increased sharply. At least 12 people in Iran have died.EssenceThe World Health Organization admits that the opportunity to block the epidemic is getting lower and lower. Some international experts believe that the global Pandemic may be greater and larger.The global epidemic has moved to a new stage, and the strategy of preventing epidemic prevention and epidemic has also faced changes. The neighbors are not unable to do it. The international community needs to work together to focus on the medical pressure and social impacts brought by the epidemic.The development of the epidemic is closely left, and the strategy is adjusted due to timely system.
Japan, South Korea, Central and Eastern Europe, and Europe
Global epidemic enters a new stage
New viruses are raging, and about 30 countries and regions in the world have found cases, and the number of diagnosis is more than 79,000. East Asia, the Middle East and Europe have recently reported large -scale explosive news.Following a large number of confirmed cases of Diamond Diamond Princess, South Korea also reported a serious epidemic situation. In just a few days, the diagnostic cases increased by nearly 10 times in just a few days.In the Middle East, Iran diagnosed 66 cases, and at least 12 people died. Nearly, Kuwait and Barin have successively discovered cases.The mortality in the new type of pneumonia is about 2%. Foreign experts estimate that the number of Iranian infection is far more serious than imagination.In Europe, the epidemic in northern Italy is equally severe, and the authorities have ordered 11 towns to seal the city.Although the epidemic in mainland China has slowed down in the near future, the confirmed cases of Wuhan in Hubei have declined. However, as the provinces in the Mainland resume economic production one after another, many health experts pay attention to whether the Mainland epidemic will be repeated.
Although there are relatively limited diagnosis cases outside China, the source of many cases of infection is not clear, and those infected do not travel to China.WHO pointed out that this means that the local epidemic is independent of China, and the spread of viruses has nothing to do with Chinese epidemic and Chinese immigration operations.Earlier, Liang Zhuowei, an expert in Hong Kong, told foreign media that if China ’s large -scale sealed cities could not curb the spread of immune prevention, all parties would face the reality that the new virus may not be able to block the limit.Looking at the latest development, some foreign experts believe that the world has come to this turning point.Lawrence Gostin, a global public health expert in the United States, believes that people must be prepared, and new viruses may be popular in the world and affect various continents.
Occupibles are spreading around the world, and people in various places are inevitable. However, the popularity of epidemic disease does not mean the end of the world.First of all, experts have not yet determined how fatal the neoous virus is.It is known at this stage that the new virus is severe than the general influenza, and the fatal rate is estimated to be about 10 times or even 20 times higher. It must not take it lightly. However, compared with the 10 % fatal rate of SARS and Middle East Breathing syndrome (MERS), there are also, and there are also.There must be a gap.The existence of invisible infected people means that the neoous virus is more likely to spread, but also means that its toxicity is significantly lower than that of SARS. Infected people may not have symptoms. If there are many people, it will further lower the mortality rate.Experts talk about new types of pneumonia global popularity. The purpose is not to scare the ordinary people, but to remind governments and people of various countries to grasp the latest development of the epidemic and appropriately adjust the strategy of epidemic prevention and epidemic.
WHO said that in the past two or three days, the epidemic has changed significantly, and global prevention and control methods may be concentrated from the previously blocked virus and concentrated to reduce the impact of the epidemic.At that time, the experts successfully dealt with SARS with a blocking strategy. The reason was that the infected person only broadcast poison after the symptoms of the infected person. It was found that early isolation was effective prevention and control. However, the new virus was quite different from SARS in this regard.American infectious disease expert Michael Osterholm pointed out that it is impossible to use the method of blocking the limit to prevent a virus that is spread like flu.This strategy cannot be successful at all. The virus is already there. I don't think it can stop it from being closed around the world.
Italy was the earliest EU member states to implement severe tourism restrictions in China, and earlier than the United States presented restrictions on entry.At the end of January, after the first diagnosis case in Italy, it immediately announced that all flights between Italy and the two sides of the strait were stopped.Guarantee, but the development of the epidemic is expected to run under the Italian side.In the past, foreign studies have pointed out that Fengguan Locking Port cannot prevent the virus from spreading. Taking the pig flu more than 10 years ago as an example, many countries carried out strict tourism restrictions to Mexico that year.Even a few weeks.
Epidemic diseases are global, which means that epidemic prevention strategies and goals must be adjusted.Harvard's infectious disease expert Marc Lipsitch pointed out that when the disease has spread, it is not a feasible choice. New countermeasures must be taken.In order to stop the spread and exchange more time to cope with the development of the epidemic, such as mastering the way of diagnosis and treatment and accelerating the development of drugs and vaccines.Adhere to the inexplicable practice, even politically resist the politics, and anger outsiders incite, but hinders international cooperation resistance.
The blocking strategy is difficult to block and spread
The government needs to prepare for a long time
In the face of the threat of epidemics in Hong Kong, it has been in a highly alert state for a long time to avoid large -scale activities and people on multiple occasions. In contrast, many Western people have no psychological preparation in this regard, and even if they have strict restrictions on entry measures, the virus will not be criminal.As for developing countries in Africa and other places, even basic medical supplies are lacking.If the global anti -epidemic shifts from blocking to slowing and spreading, it means that the epidemic duration lasts, and the pressure on the medical system will also be spread. The long -term combat of medical care will inevitably be hard.risks of.In the face of a long -lasting war, the government must respond to deployment early, including ensuring that medical staff has sufficient protection equipment and maintain the effective operation of the medical system. The business community and the general public must also think about the way of response.
