After the United States and Iran confronted their tensions, they also showed restraint. Two interviewed Middle East experts believed that both countries had no intention of war, but Iran may still impact US interests through a series of non -traditional hybrid tactics, including fake neighboring agents.
After the U.S. forces killed the Iranian Revolutionary Special Forces general Suleimani on the 3rd of this month, the already intense relationship between the United States and Iran immediately heated up.
Some analysts pointed out that when the US President Trump provoked Tehran high -profile when the presidential election was approaching, he might have followed the former President Bush Bush to fight for re -election in 2004, and invaded Iraq on the grounds of Iraq with large -scale killing weapons.However, some scholars believe that the United States and Ievy will not be clear to the fire, but it is inevitable in secret.
The two Middle Eastern scholars who were invited by the Middle East Institute of the National University of Singapore to participate in the Seminar of the Middle East situation believed that the United States and Iraq had computing and it was impossible to fight.
Turkey's vice chairman of the Global Relations Forum, Memduh Karakullukcu, said outside the seminar that the United States and Iraq said that the United States and Iraq were screaming and aggressive, but both countries actually had no intention of fighting against each other.
Karakuruch believes that unless the interests of the United States are seriously threatened, the Trump administration will not officially declare war on Iran in the election of the re -election, and Iran is also unlikely to start war because of internal factors.In recent years, the Iranian economy has been embarrassed because of the US sanctions. The Iranian people have experienced many years of hardships, and they will not be willing to see or accept the country's fall in a comprehensive war.
Yitzhak Shichor, a professor of East Asia Research, Jerusalem, believes that in resources and force, Iran is not an opponent of the United States, so it will not run rashly.Iran cannot be compared with the United States in many ways, and they know this themselves.
Iran expected to impact the United States
Hoho said that since a series of anti -government demonstrations broke out in November last year, in November, he had a constraint on its military functions to some extent.The Iranian government revoked fuel subsidies at the time and triggered national protest demonstrations. The authorities launching the most bloody suppression operation in the past 40 years have killed about 1,500 people.
However, these scholars and experts believe that even if Iran dares not to blame the United States, Iran will still pressure the United States through agents in Syrian, Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen and other neighboring countries to impact the interests of the United States.
After the Iraqi Parliament was killed in Suleimani, the proposal was expelled to the foreign forces including about 5,200 U.S. forces.Karakuruch said that this is the beginning of Iran's implementation of non -traditional hybrid tactics through agents.He expects Iran to conduct more such low -intensity offensives through a variety of ways, such as launching cyber warfare during the US election.
Hoho also predicts that Iran will launch sporadic attacks from the United States from time to time.The object is not necessarily in the Middle East, or it can be the facilities in other regions hell; hellip; however, Iran will avoid causing casualties to American members in the process, which is their bottom line.
However, experts warned that the balance was still risky.Karakuruchi said: What we currently see is that the two countries constantly test each other. If Iran crosses the bottom line of the United States, the United States is likely to fight against Iran again.
