Shen Dawei, a well -known American issue in the United States, reminded that many Southeast Asian countries are actually contradictory of the mentality of closer to China: they are unavoidable on the one hand that they are aware of the scope of being attributed to the scope of the Chinese forces, but also feel a deep anxiety.This uneasiness originated from some acts in China that is regarded as cross -border.
Shen Dawei, a well -known American issue in the United States, described that Southeast Asia is like the center of the Sino -US game, and Southeast Asian countries have moved closer to China in various fields in the past three or four years. On the one hand, these countries are aware of the inevitability of this, but they also feel deeply uneasy.
With the decline in the influence of the United States in Southeast Asia, he called on Southeast Asian countries to actively speak to Washington, otherwise silence will be exchanged for continuous neglect of the United States. China may eventually establish a 21 -century version of the tribute system in this region.
George Middot; David Shambaugh, a professor at the University of Washington, yesterday (January 9) at a regional outlook forum held by the Southern Institute of Easos East South Asia, Singapore, surrounding the China -US game and its game to Southeast Asia.Affects the publication.
Shen Dawei believes that the current Sino -US game is shrouded in Asia and even the world. Although many Southeast Asian countries may not recognize or realize it, Southeast Asia is like the epicentre of this game.Although Beijing or Washington did not require regional countries to clearly choose the edge, both countries were secretly pressureing or inducing.
The US influence on Southeast Asia is reduced to China more space
When Shen Dawei evaluated the influence of China and the United States in Southeast Asia, the United States' attention and influence on Southeast Asia have decreased in recent years, which has gone to China more room for China.It has been closer to China to varying degrees in the past three or four years.
However, Shen Dawei reminded that many Southeast Asian countries are actually contradictory of the mentality of closer to China: on the one hand, they realize that it is inevitable that they have been attributed to the scope of the Chinese forces, but on the other handSome of China have been regarded as cross -border behaviors.
For example, he said that Indonesia and Malaysia have complained about the environmental impacts brought by some Belt and Road projects. Some lower reaches of the Mekong River have expressed dissatisfaction with the built -in dams in China, and even Cambodia, which is regarded as a vassal country in China, has also expressed that it is uneasy to over -reliance on China.Essence
In Shen Dawei's view, Southeast Asian countries actually have questioned the expositions proposed by China and the United States. For example, the concept of the Indo -Pacific strategy advocated by the United States and the concept of human destiny community proposed by China.Hellip; hellip; they believe themselves (what), but others may not believe it.
In the context of the United States and China in Southeast Asia's influence, Shen Dawei called on Southeast Asian countries to speak more actively to Washington.He warned that if Southeast Asia maintains silence, it will be in the United States. China may eventually establish a 21 -century version of the tribute system in this region, which is what many parties do not want to see.
As for the role that the United States should play, Shen Dawei believes that the United States should not require Southeast Asian countries to choose border selection stations, but to support the Asianianan support, with respect for the promotion and practical freedom of promotion and practice at home and abroad.
Professor Jia Qingguo: The best strategy is to refuse to choose the side station
Jia Qingguo, a professor at the School of International Relations of Peking University, suggested that the best strategy of Southeast Asian countries is to unite and refuse to choose between China and the United States.He also called on Southeast Asian countries to cooperate with China to complete the negotiations of the South China Sea Code at an early date, which will eliminate the root cause of the conflict between one of China and the United States.
Talking about the trend of Sino -US relations, Jia Qingguo said that although China and the United States reached the first phase of trade negotiations, Sino -US relations still have deep troubles, and will continue to deteriorate before they improve.
He explained that the United States held the presidential election this year. According to historical experience, the two parties in the opposition and the opposition will attack each other's policies that are not tough enough, which may accelerate the deterioration of Sino -US relations.However, in the long run, from the perspective of national interests, the two countries must find ways to manage differences and launch necessary cooperation.
