Trump still believes that his US priority has made the United States strong, apparently he did not realize the rebound and away from the allies.(Reuters)
The US election in 2020 is approaching.Trump's first term should be summarized. Has his priority in the United States ushered in the United States again?
The Associated Press recently emphasized that as Trump's presidential term entered the fourth year, the global influence of the United States has become increasingly minimal.The Associated Press said that Trump's priority governance was a mess in the inside and outside.At the domestic political level, he abandoned the medical insurance policy of the Obama era, implemented a populist immigration policy, and built a wall on the US -Mexico border to build a tradition of subverting the American melting country.
More importantly, his controversial policies have strenuous American political parties, and also split American society.Trump's large tax reduction plan is not only considered to reduce taxes for the rich, but also exacerbates US fiscal deficits.The US debt burden is heavy, and it is difficult to assume Trump's large -scale infrastructure plan. The old American infrastructure and its power status are difficult to commensurate.
External, Trump's policy orientation has three points:
The first is to continue to retreat, not only withdrawing from the Obama era, the ambitious cross -Pacific partnership agreement (TPP), but also abandoned the Asia -Pacific rebalancing strategy.In addition, Trump's retirement group has a habit, whether it is the Iraqi multilateral agreement or the Paris Climate Agreement, whether it is the China -Guidance Treaty or the Powers' Post Union and the Human Rights Council.unfair.
The second is to start the trade war, from Europe to Japan, from ink to India to India, to China, Trump will fire all trading partners on the grounds of the United States priority.In particular, China and the United States are the two, and the trade war superimposed scientific and technological war, coupled with the geopolitical game, friction and overlay, and the full fire of the United States, which not only makes the United States a global enemy, but Trump has also become a symbol of unilateralism and trade protectionism.
What's more, the US trade war and scientific and technological warfare have not accounted for much cheap. China and the United States reached the first phase of agreement, highlighting that the trade war opened by the United States has become a double -edged sword for businessmen.The United States has not prevented the market share of Huawei 5G technology and equipment from expanding its market share.
Third, the United States continues to blackmail and protect the protection fee of allies.On the one hand, the United States requires NATO partners to expand military expenditure, requiring security expenses to increase security costs to 2%of GDP (GDP), and on the other hand, it requires Japan and South Korea to increase security premiums.The security commitment and responsibility of the United States' security commitment and responsibility have become utilitarian blackmail, which seriously alienated the alliances built in the Atlantic and Pacific after the war of the United States.At the 70th Anniversary Summit, which was closed in early December last year, French President Macron bluntly said that NATO had died.
If Trump ’s U.S. priority has achieved results, that is, the United States uses utilitarian means, so that the American allies and the world’ s world can see the suffocating and selfishness of the United States as a superpower, which has caused American allies to think about building without the United States.Global order.The United States -led global economic order has fallen into chaos. Under the global trade war initiated in the United States, no one believes that the United States is the responsible leader of the United States.Severe splitting can look at the clue.
The global military security system constructed by the United States is also gradually disintegrating. From the US, Japan and South Korea military alliances to NATO organizations, the United States has continuously urged protection fees to allies. Such a military alliance relationship alienation is a naked utilitarian relationship.South Korea's anxiety and France's indignation reflect the cohesion of the Global Military Union constructed by the United States.
During the 70th anniversary of NATO, Trump was ridiculed by Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau, causing leaders of other member states to laugh, indicating that Trump has lost its general respect in NATO and became an ally.The Associated Press believes that Trump has mistakenly abandon multilateralism and pursues bilateral relations that is more beneficial to the United States, but the efforts of the United States began to stay away from the core role of the world.
The priority of bilateral relations pursued by Trump seems to have achieved some results, such as abandoning the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), re -negotiating to reach the US -Mexico and Canada Agreement (USMCA) and Japan.EssenceHowever, the superimposed scientific and technological war between China and the United States has caused great injuries in the United States, which not only achieved the status of China's uniform power in the same name, but also became a bubble in the global surrounding Huawei.The consensus of the first phase of the Sino -U.S. The text of the agreement was more like Trump's compromise under the pressure of impeachment.
The core of Trump's priority governance is that he does not have a name and for benefits.However, the establishment of global leadership in the post -war of the United States relies on both strong hard power, but also inseparable from attractive soft power.Soft power is not the name of Trump's misunderstanding, but the appeal and influence of the United States.Of course, the accumulation of soft power must be paid, and more responsibilities and obligations must be assumed to allow allies to accept and convince allies.
The process of Trump's constant retreat and abandonment of responsibilities, in his opinion, is to reduce the burden and remove the virtual name. In fact, it is abandoning the soft power of the United States.Without the support of soft power, the United States pursued the United States priority has become bullying and blackmail.Such the United States will naturally make allies disturbing and doubt, and it will gradually keep the United States away from the center of politics of the great power.
Trump still believes that his US priority has made the United States strong, apparently he did not realize the rebound and away from the allies.In addition, when it decided to withdraw troops from Syria, the United States betrayed the Kurds' discarding, which not only caused the Middle East to fall into turmoil again, but also damaged the long -term strategic layout of the United States in the Middle East.From the evacuation of the Middle East in the Obama era to Trump's Syrian withdrawal, the United States' strategic chaos in the Middle East has severely reduced damage, and it also reflects the embarrassing facts mdash; Mdash; Trump's abandonment of multilateralism in the United States, perhaps the United StatesThe helpless choice of strategic strength.
The Democratic Party is disappointed by impeachment, anyway, to reverse the governance of the United States, which reverses Trump's utilitarianism.However, in addition to highlighting the anxiety of American political elites, the Democratic parties have also demonstrated the weakness and ineffectiveness of traditional American governance to the world.After all, Trump is very likely to be re -elected and completely turn the United States to be isolated in the United States.
(The author is a senior researcher at the China Chahar Society, a guest researcher at the Chongyang Financial Research Institute of Renmin University of China)
