The voting date of the Taiwan election on January 11 was getting closer and closer, South Korea ’s Yu, Tsai Ing -wen and Song Chuyu successively made four contests at the television political opinion presentation and debate.

In addition to the use of the Republic of China cards to force Cai Yingwen to make a statement on the issue of Taiwan independence, South Korean Yu also played a clean card and a special investigation group related to this.He accused many people of corruption under Cai Yingwen's leadership, but this was publicly discredited by the Cai government.It should be said that the strategy has a certain effect, which can increase some people's negative impression of the Cai government.

South Korea ’s Yu will also attack the new trend department of the Democratic Progressive Party and call it cancer cells in the party.The new trend is not only criticized by the Blue Camp, but also the representative of the white power and Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe also shouted that the new trend will not fall. Taiwan will not be good. Even a deep green and independent people do not like the new trend.

The Democratic Progressive Party also has factions that are opposed to the new trend, such as the Parliament.Therefore, South Korea ’s Yu wants to bring this election from hating South Korean Yu and hate Tsai Ing -wen, and leads to a confrontation that hates South Korea Yu and hates a new trend. There are some new ideas.

In Taiwan, those who hate new trends may be more than those who hate the DPP and Tsai Ing -wen.South Korean Yu attacks a new trend, or can use the DPP's internal contradictions, and attracts some of the support of some Kefan and even the middle voters.In addition, the new trend of attack is also criticizing Tsai Ing -wen from another perspective, that is, she has been overhead, and her leadership ability is a problem.

In contrast, Tsai Ing -wen is not very powerful on these issues.In the early days of her ruling, she was used as an old blue man represented by Lin Quan, which caused some green camps to dissatisfy.It should be said that her employers have been carefully considered or learned from the lessons of the Chen Shui -bian era to avoid serious corruption in the ruling team.

However, later, she became more and more obvious in accordance with the parties in the party, and re -treated the trend and the Soviet system that had a good relationship with the faction.The DPP is a political party of factions and co -governance, and Taiwan, under the entire governance of the DPP, has also become a place where the factional governance within one party.However, Tsai Ing -wen may not be completely in his heart for many officials and fat cats.This is also an important reason for her difficulty in defending these issues.But it should be pointed out that attacking the new trend is not enough to make South Korea Yu win.

In the TV debate on December 29, it is worth noting that South Korea ’s Yu criticized the media Apple Daily, Central News Agency and Sanli TV.The deputy editor -in -chief of Apple Daily mentioned that South Korea ’s personal and Miss Xinzhuang Wang had money. South Korea’ s Yu could have taken this opportunity to clarify the scandal, but he did not answer it positively.Eat.

As for how the editor -in -chief of the Central News Agency asked how to establish a good relationship with the other side without losing national dignity, he could have taken this opportunity to explain his cross -strait policy and fight back the questioning of the green camp, but he did not do so, but approved the Central News Agency.The problem tied himself up in Taiwan's narrowing and ideology.

Trump attacked the American media during the last presidential election. At that time, he and the Democratic Party Hillary fought five or five waves in the election campaign, but finally won in the insurance.Now that South Korea ’s Yu has attacked the Taiwanese media when the election is obviously lagging behind Tsai Ing -wen.South Korea ’s Yu can be verbally refreshing or consolidating its basic disk, but this does not help the middle voters and young voters.

In the 2018 Kaohsiung Mayor's election campaign, one of the main reasons why South Korean Yu could win is that he won the middle voters who were dissatisfied with the DPP's long -term governance, and moved a lot with the return of Beidiao Youth to return home.Young voters.In this presidential election campaign, most of the middle voters and young voters left South Korean Yu, and they would rather choose Tsai Ing -wen, who is less annoying.If South Korea ’s Yu hates South Korean Yu and hates the media showdown, supplement the confrontation between Korean Yu and hate Tsai Ing -wen, it is basically not helpful to attract him to the middle voters and reverse the disadvantages.

At present, it is too late to reverse the victory, unless he can seize the major disadvantages or scandals of the Tsai Ing -wen government, or there is still a chance to come back.But he was overwhelmed, but was worried that the green camp had detonated other unprepared bombs Mdash; MDash; Korean Yu's colorful life and Li Jiafen's local tyrant family seemed to have hidden unblied bombs in the past.

To reduce the credibility of its future breaking news.

However, whether it is attacking the media or some other changes, it is difficult to make South Korean Yu win.

The author is the scholar of travel and Canada

Doctor of History