Observe Southeast Asia: Vietnams economy is higher?

Vietnam has risen in Asian football in recent years. Last year, he won the Eastern Games championship and replaced Thailand's Southeast Asian football hegemon.In the economic field, the country that rose from the war in the war also performed well. Last year, the growth of GDP in China broke more than 7%. The ambition was among the 100th anniversary of the founding of the country in 2045, ranking among high -income countries.

Vietnam seems to be China in the past 20 years, and his feet are stepping on a new starting point of the economic explosion.

In December 1986, the eight years after China proposed the reform and opening up policy, the sixth National Congress of the Vietnam proposed the Doi Moi route to open the road of Vietnam's market economy and opening up to the outside world.In 2006, Vietnam issued many restrictions on foreign investment to cancel the new investment law; in 2007, he joined the World Trade Organization to attract foreign capital inflows.After more than 30 years of innovation and opening up, the Sino -US trade war has made Vietnamese fishermen gain profit. In order to avoid quota and anti -dumping, international groups such as Olympica, Samsung, Adidas, Nike, etc.increase.

Data show that between 2000 and 2017, Vietnam GDP achieved a seven times increase.At present, this outgoing economic growth train is manufacturing and processing.In the next stage, with the expansion of the middle class, the advantages of the demographic dividend, and the emergence of science and technology, Vietnam's stamina is highly optimistic.

The Business Times recently quoted Mickey Middot; Marco Breu said: Vietnam will enter the golden period in the next five to 10 years.

He analyzed that Vietnam's middle class will increase from 20%of the population to 50%. During this period, consumer goods companies, retail companies and banks will be promising in Vietnam.

Economic performance is strong. Vietnamese Prime Minister Ruan Chunfu confidently stated at the central and local video conferences on December 30 last year that the global economy is dense, but Vietnam is sunny.He once again stated that Vietnam would strive to become a high -income country in 2045.

According to reports, Ruan Chunfu said that Vietnam's per capita income is close to 2,800 US dollars, and the national threshold of 3996 US dollars is in front of the country. Therefore, Vietnam will continue to maintain a high growth rate of GDP in recent years.If it can continue to be maintained in the next 20 years, Vietnam will become a high -income country in 2045.

According to the 2019 standards of the World Bank, if the annual income of the national per capita income is higher than $ 12,376, it is a high -income country.Vietnam still belongs to low -income countries. If it wants to reach the goal of US $ 2,376 per capita income from 2045 to the national per capita income, the economy will increase by 342%.

This is not a matter of night.According to Sina Finance Network, if it can grow at an average of 6.5%per year, Vietnam can become a high -income country in 2045.

But the question is, can Vietnam's growth lasting?Some analysts point out that the world situation is unpredictable, and there are many uncertain external factors that Vietnam will jump to the four Asian four dragons.After all, only after World War II, only Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, etc. obtained admission vouchers in developed economies.Most countries, including Latin America, Brazil, Argentina, and the four Asian tigers struggling in the middle income traps.

Vietnam wants to overcome all kinds of challenges, including high external debt, seriously relying on foreign investment to stimulate the economy, support the economy by low -end manufacturing, and be restricted by low labor productivity and educational constraints.

Le HONG HIEP, a scholar at the Institute of East South Asia of the State University of Singapore, analyzed when answering the Lianhe Zaobao inquiries, whether Vietnam can become a high -income country in 2045 mainly depends on two major factors: 1. Improve labor laborProductivity; 2. Climbing on the global value chain.

Li Honghe judged: The Vietnamese government has recently emphasized the importance of industrial 4.0 many times. Presumably, it must be based on the power of science and technology to achieve the grand wish in 2045.

He pointed out that improving the education system, encouraging innovation and curbing corruption are also key measures.

Vietnam draw on the Singapore model?

Compared with other countries in Southeast Asia, the Vietnamese political bureau under the Communist Party of Vietnam is relatively stable, which is conducive to promoting economic reform.

VOA recently reported that Vietnam hopes to become the next Singapore because Singapore has long -term one -party governance and is economical and attractive.In the eyes of the Chinese media, does Vietnam of Huawei's teacher now go to learn from the Singapore model?

Li Liangfu, a senior researcher at the East Isa East South Asian Research Institute, pointed out that Vietnam has always been open to foreign scriptures, and it can often retain Vietnamese characteristics in the process.

Li Liangfu believes that Vietnam is interested in how Singapore's economic reorganization and economic upgrade, especially the Sino -US trade war brings Vietnam various opportunities and challenges.

Xinyue cooperation is quite close. Singapore is the third largest source of investment in Vietnam. As of the end of 2018, Singapore has invested nearly 63 billion yuan.Large -scale enterprises in the two countries established Vietnam MDASH in 1996; Singapore Industrial Park (VSIP).Singaporean government investment company -based consortiums invested in the retail arm of Vietnam Vingroup JSC last September, which is mainly responsible for the operation of supermarkets and convenience stores.

Li Honghe pointed out that in the economic or political field, Singapore has inspired Vietnamese leaders.

He said: In terms of economy, Singapore, as a diversified and developed high -income economy, has always been the goal of Vietnam's leaders.In terms of politics, although Vietnam has never publicized lsquo; Singapore model RSQUO; but many Vietnamese officials privately believe that Singapore, especially the DAP, is the target of Vietnam.And strengthen the bureaucracy.