Society
January 1, 2020
2019 is a year of disturbance and uncertainty.The conflict between protectionism, identity identity, and political aggression caused by anti -globalization waves, and the anxiety and anger that expanded the gap between the rich and poor gaps and the income gap, superimposed and intertwined to make the global economy shadow.The international order is also crumbling.
In terms of specific incidents, the tug of like tariffs on tariffs, the twists and turns of Brexit process, and the violent demonstrations of Hong Kong and the world have occupied media reports.During the one -year activity of Lianhe Zaobao, Hong Kong and Ran ranked first and second in readers' sea election, which reflected people's concerns about the chaos.
Singapore is an export -oriented economy country, and it is inevitable that the uncertain peripheral economy and geopolitical impact are inevitable.
The US -China trade war affects the exports of Singapore and manufacturing. The economic growth season in the second quarter of last year appeared negative. Fortunately, the growth of growth in the third quarter rose positive numbers and avoided the technological economic recession.However, the economy of 2019 is expected to only achieve low growth between 0.5%and 1%.In addition, although the total number of employment has increased, the number of unemployed people exceeds the number of vacancy.
The low economic growth also highlights the tension of Singapore, which is both an international city and the country.As an international city, Singapore must open the portal to attract talents in the four seas and the seas of seas, and accept the game rules of survival of the fittest.However, the public opinion survey of the Singapore Policy Research Institute and the Harmony Resources Center of the Race shows that in the five fault lines of race, religion, class differences, immigration, and homosexuality, immigration and class differences are the most worried topics of the Chinese people.Treatment will affect the trust of the government.
In terms of geographical politics, the spread of the US -China trade war to scientific and technological warfare reflects the strategic competition of the two major economies.The fierce competition between the two countries, the greater the risk of small countries to choose to choose the border stations.Singapore has a close relationship with China and the United States in various fields. In addition, my country's ethnic structure and the geographical environment in Southeast Asia, if we are forced to choose the border stations, we will set up a dilemma.US -China relations worsen last year, making Singapore worry.
Nevertheless, Singapore can be said to be an oasis in the chaos.Compared with the chaos in other countries and regions, my country's political and social stability and the education level of labor have stronger attraction to foreign capital.The United States and China science and technology giants have settled in Singapore to expand the business of the region, reflecting the traditional advantages of Singapore's transit stations.In addition, the flow of funds in the chaos also highlights the status of the Singapore Financial Center and the Wealth Management Center.In the foreseeable future, Singapore's traditional advantages will continue to support the economic development of this island country.
2020 was the beginning of the 1920s.In the next 10 years, the international power pattern will change huge changes; the development of science and technology will also enter the era of 5G and artificial intelligence.This will fully change the structure of the workplace and exacerbate the anxiety of work guarantee and income gap.On the other hand, Singapore will respond to the challenges of periodic and structural issues under the leadership of the fourth -generation leader.Compared with the second and third -generation leadership, the runway of the fourth -generation leadership is short. They must establish a social contract that conforms to the new era with the Chinese people in a very short time in the environment of drama.
In the process of founding, we have gone through several rounds of economic transformation to climb the higher value chain.The speed of science and technology development is getting faster and faster, and the pace of economic transformation must be accelerated to slow down structural unemployment.However, just like climbing high mountains, the higher the more difficulty, the higher the difficulty.By 2030, two -thirds of the labor population is expected to be professionals, managers, executives and technicians.How to quickly improve their skills and cooperate with the rapidly changing workplace needs, it will determine the prospect of Singapore's future economic development.
Secondly, the problem of aging population is increasing.In 2010, one of the 10 people was 65 or more.By 2030, four of each of each of them were older.The aging of the population will increase the expenses of medical and social facilities, and may have the contradiction between intergenerational fiscal transfer.
Third, the fertility rate has declined year by year, from 1.2 in 2011 to 1.14 in 2018, which is less than 2.1 replacement level.Among the 5.7 million people in Singapore, about 1.68 million people are non -citizens, and about 530,000 people are permanent residents, while Singapore citizens are 3.5 million.The 200 -year history of the port shows that Singapore is an immigrant society.However, in the process of founding, how to achieve a balance between how to make a balance in accepting the foreign population and the shape of the country will continue to be a long -term challenge faced by urban countries.
In any case, Singapore has demonstrated our ability to adapt to adversity since the founding of the People's Republic of China for more than 50 years.Although the peripheral economy and geopolitics are full of uncertainty, Singapore has considerable reserves, long -term vision and layout, coupled with social stability and policy continuity, we can be cautious and optimistic to welcome 2020 and the new decade.
