Xu Zongyu: The US national strength has declined rapidly

Author: Xu Zongyu

Since Trump (Trump) has taken over the President of the United States, he emphasizes the United States priority and describes the economic benefits of other countries in the past as the cheapness of the United States, but also pointed out that the preferential measures in mainland China are the debt trap.In other words, accepting the United States discount is to take advantage of the United States, but the discount that accepts mainland China has fallen into a trap:.In the same way, Islamic radicals attack the United States is a terrorist, but attacking mainland China has become a free warrior, and can also receive Congress's support and so on.This kind of arrogance and arrogance, left and right contradictions have no persuasiveness to the world, but just highlight the hypocrisy of the United States.

At present, the United States is facing two biggest challenges, the Sino -US trade war and Iran issues. The former is the beginning of the long -term contest of the national strength of China and the United States.The overall economic strength of mainland China is currently not as good as the United States. In terms of scientific and technological creativity, folk vitality, and the tolerance of political systems, the United States is still better than mainland China.Nevertheless, compared to mainland China, there are some fundamental weaknesses in the United States.

The United States has the world's number one cutting -edge scientific and technological capabilities, but in the manufacturing industry of the middle class, the original production system in the United States has almost been industrialized. Infrastructure has encountered legal and politically obstacles.The California High -speed Railway is planned for 20 years and cannot be done, which is an obvious example.In this case, Trump hopes that the manufacturing industry will return to the United States to seek fish for Yuanmu. The problem is not the tangible capital cost, but also the invisible legal and social costs.

In addition to cutting -edge technology, another large pillar that supports the US economy is a living consumption that has been habitual for many years. This is the biggest difference between China and the United States.Chinese (Mainland) people will find ways to control consumption and do some individuals and families savings; Americans will spend when they have money, and young people will support economic growth.

The problem is that when you have money, you ca n’t change the habit of spending money when you have no money. You can only find a way to borrow money to spend money.The US economic bubble not only in the financial policy of banks and government, but also in the consumer habits that the people are difficult to curb. This kind of economy will inevitably cause a regular bubble phenomenon.Great ups and downs.As long as the United States cannot restore past industrial production capacity, compared to the solid and complete industrial manufacturing capabilities of mainland China, the long -term trade war will inevitably appear a turning point between the two parties. In fact, this turning point appears earlier than expected.

Then there was an Iranian problem. In fact, as early as the King of Palesta, despite the traditional Sunni and Shiites, Iran did not have any anti -American tendency.) More pro -American, the problem is in the United States to promote Western -style democracy in Iran. As a result, Palestine collapses. It is not Western democracy, but the basic doctrine of Shiites.Evil representative.

Today's Iran is not Iraq. It has a considerable number of short -range tactical missiles, and it is clear that once they are attacked, they will fight the United States.Iranians are not like Chinese diplomacy as if they were playing Tai Chi. Sometimes the lotus steps moved lightly, and sometimes the pious Islam is not so complicated. They love and hate, and they are not ambiguous.How could Trump anxious to withdraw from US and soldiers from Iraq and Afghanistan, how could it be involved in another more fierce long -term war?

From the Sino -US trade war to the Middle East situation, it clearly reflects that the US national strength is significantly recession, and the forces of the international bureau have not been arrested. The re -distribution of international power will inevitably have fundamental fluctuations. It directly impacts Asia and Cross -Strait relations.