Source: Taiwan China Times Society
If a person's will and calculations, if you get the help of power, will have a key impact on the World Bureau and History. US President Trump is an example.The worst period of the United States and China has fallen into the most serious collision in the past 70 years. Behind it is actually the will and political calculations of Trump alone.Following the withdrawal of the medium -range missile treaty, the United States announced that it will deploy land -based medium -range missiles in Asia, and the great sophisticated suppression of China's force is suppressed. Mainland China will also pay back to the United States and will take countermeasures.The deployment of medium -range missiles has expanded the US -China confrontation from trade and science and technology to military affairs, adding new pressure on the situation in East Asia.
The United States has never had such obvious and big movements in China. Even the frozen period after the Korean War was still actively seeking communication. From 1954 to 1970, the two sides held 136 ambassadors -level talks in Geneva and Warsaw. Until 1972, in 1972, in 1972The Nixon interview ended, and the United States began to adopt a policy on China.But since Trump came to power, the United States completely turned the basic policy of friendship in China, but instead regarded China as an enemy who must fight against it.
Many people underestimate Trump's hostility to China, but the situation has changed.The new situation includes: Inciting anti -Chinese card markets, China's strong rise threatened the US hegemony position, and China ’s unique and successful development model has shocked Western superiority.The United States hit China is not just for trade, but also greater intentions.
In fact, Trump's national security strategy report when he first came to power made his position, changing China's positioning from the previous dynasty's partners to strategic competitors. He withdrew from Russia's medium -range missile treaty.Russia violates regulations, and the second is that China is not a signing country and is not restricted.Pentagon officials revealed that in August, the test range of the land -based cruise missiles will be tested by a range of 3,000 to 4,000 kilometers in November.The deployment of land -based medium -range missiles can be completed within 18 months.
US Secretary of Defense Esper recently said that he hopes to deploy land -based medium -range missiles in Asia, which is obviously targeted at China and does not cover up.For the Asia -Pacific situation, it was a shocking declaration, and it immediately triggered a rebound in China.In addition to stating that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Mainland said that it would not stand by, it would take countermeasures, and warned neighboring countries to act with caution and not allow the United States to deploy medium -range missiles in its territorial deployment.
South Korea first expressed no intention of accepting it. After all, it once offended China for the Sade system and was severely punished. Australia also expressed rejection.As for Japan, which has always been the first American horse, although it has not been explicitly expressed, the Abe government has recently actively seek improvement of China -China relations, and it may not be willing to take this hot potato.
However, the United States does not have to worry about it. Whether the target to be intimidated is China, Russia or North Korea, because the range of medium -range missiles is long enough, you can place it in Guam. You don't have to put it near China.The reaction time.In addition, the United States already has thousands of kilometers of ships, sub -fire and air -to -air -fire cruise missile capabilities, and then strengthen the land -based missile capabilities that have stagnated in the past due to medium -range missile treaties, and should quickly build a powerful missile firepower network.
The medium -range missile on the field is strong, but it does not mean that the United States really wants to fight against China.Deeply, the source was the growth of Chinese forces. The construction of the South China Sea Island and the travel of aircraft carriers broke the United States for many years to block China's island chain defense lines and also changed the political situation of Asia -Pacific.In the past, the United States was the only strong power in this area. Japan has followed the second, but the rise of China has changed the status quo. Not only does the Japanese advantage no longer, but the status of the American elder brother has gradually collapsed.The Belt and Road Initiative of China made the United States feel the first time that others were rewriting their own territory.The land -based medium -range missile settled in the Asia Pacific, and it was to set out the strong military power of the United States. Just like taking out a greater gun in the battle, it was showing the muscles and consolidating the existing hegemonic position.
This is the wrestling process of the two new and old power in the Shuxidd trap.The United States can borrow tariff punishment and technology cups to slow down China's growth, but it cannot completely suppress China's rise, nor can it change the status of China's Asia -Pacific brother.The United States takes both obvious hostility and targeted practices. The conflict between the United States and China will become sharp than in the past. Both sides have come to the new world that has not reached in the past, but after all, they have to test and see a new balance.Trump's anti -Chinese card is good for the election, so it will not change the tone, but it can be talked about. Therefore, the US and middle -to -laws will be a vast war stringed from many battles.
The adjustment of Sino -US relations will be long and difficult, and the United States attempts to delay China by arms competition. However, the Chinese economy is not as wither as the Soviet Union that year, and the Soviet regime disintegration model cannot be copied.The United States is completely standing in a self -interest to choose a strategy. Taiwan cannot support the US military reserve competition policy, let alone imagine the deployment of land -based medium -range missiles in Taiwan in Taiwan.Think about the best strategy of the future.
