Deng Qingbo
The results of the Kuomintang presidential voters have announced the results recently that the average support rate of Kaohsiung Mayor South Korea Yu is 44.8%, and it will win an overwhelming victory.However, South Korea Yu subsequently stated that he did not have a little joy.The Kuomintang representatives that have long supported South Korea ’s Yu also said that for us, there are only more difficulties to face.
What are the difficulties of South Korea ’s Yu to face?This can be described as many.For example, he faces the difficult integration of the party camp.There are many competitors in the Kuomintang primaries, and there are many contradictions in the primaries. How South Korea ’s Yu resolves the knot of Guo Taiming and Wang Jin's equal people. It is difficult to unite them. It is also related to the success or failure of the election.For another example, South Korean Yu must try to resolve Kaohsiung's grievances.He just was elected as the mayor of Kaohsiung with a high voter, and then he was going to fight for the presidential election. The attacking mayor's attack must be indispensable. Many Kaohsiung voters were difficult to understand, and voters in other regions would feel poor.
South Korea ’s Yu has many difficulties in proper coordination and dealing with the relationship with the Kuomintang institutions.The current Kuomintang chairman Wu Dunyi went to He Cong, whether South Korea ’s Yu agent party chairman, the future Kuomintang campaign machine and how to interact with the Korean Yu campaign team, etc. The trouble is also a lot of trouble.
South Korea ’s Yu must cope with the unfavorable environment of the DPP’ s governance.Tsai Ing -wen ’s DPP has the advantage of governing. In Taiwan, he has strongly adopted a series of decree in Taiwan to cover alien media, block cross -strait exchanges, and empty the Kuomintang resources. Especially the CCP’ s agents who are pushing the law will further create a green and terrible chilling effect in Taiwan.EssenceThese will adversely affect the publicity and discussion of the Korean Yu election.
For another example, South Korean Yu will face more cruel pursuit of political opponents.Former Kuomintang legislator Cai Zhengyuan recently issued a post saying that Tsai Ing -wen's means to deal with Rai Qingde in the party, South Korea ’s Yu will face Cai Yingwen's overwhelming moves.The bloody election of the means.At present, the Kaohsiung Democratic Party has forced Korea, and whether the Tsai Ing -wen authorities will use relevant laws and governance to create more traps for him. The answer is self -evident.
South Korea ’s Yu also faces uncertain changes such as whether Ke Wenzhe ran for election.Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe used to be graceful in South Korea's Yu in the past, and he was also good at atypical election campaigns such as online publicity. His candidates were not only stressful for Tsai Ing -wen, but also for South Korean Yu.challenge.
For another example, South Korea ’s Yu must properly eliminate the interference of the United States for election factors.At present, Tsai Ing -wen has been able to turn back to the United States by visiting the United States. The United States is also using the series of Taiwan -related bills, military sales, and allowing Tsai Ing -wen to transit activities to express their support for Cai Yingwen and the DPP authorities.In the large pattern of the Sino -US game, the Cai Yingwen Democratic Progressive Party obviously meets the needs of American politicians at this time.South Korea ’s Yu advocates the 1992 consensus, opposition to Taiwan independence, hoping for the peaceful development of cross -strait relations, and strengthening economic and trade. It is necessary to spend strongly to resolve the suspicion of American politicians and prevent them from secretly helping Cai Yingwen through various tricks in the election.When Ma Ying -jeou was running, whether he held the American green card became a trump card in the hands of the US authorities affecting the results of the election.Is there a handle in the hands of Korean Yu in the hands of the United States?Must be guarded.
For example, South Korean Yu itself has many obstacles that must be overcome.Although his popularity is still high at present, on the one hand, he was elected as the mayor of Kaohsiung, and his ability to govern has not been recognized. Before, he exposed some shortcomings such as empty cavity, unfamiliar situation, and lack of rigorous and feasibility arguments mentioned.Compared with Ke Wenzhe, Cai Yingwen, who has many years of policy experience, is a disadvantage; on the other hand, the Korean rolling is also facing a crisis of gradually declining freshness.South Korean Yu's language style, etc., may be suitable for the tastes of the citizens of Kaohsiung in the south, but is it popular in Taiwan?Will Tsai Ing -wen DPP have learned the lessons that Kaohsiung defeated in the hands of South Korea ’s hands before?These are unknown numbers.In addition, as the mayor of Kaohsiung, the just -elected mayor, how to deal with the relationship between municipalities and elections, and whether they can lead their duties, have faced some practical problems.
Korean Yu advantage in cross -strait relations
There is not much time to make the presidential election in 2020. There is still a lot of difficulties in front of South Korea ’s Yu to overcome it. Any difficulty may lead to his failure.In this case, in order to break through the difficulty, he must give full play to his own advantages and continue to play unconventional election campaigns to achieve surprising victory.
Despite a lot of difficulties, South Korea ’s Yu also has some advantages that Tsai Ing -wen does not have.For example, in terms of cross -strait relations, South Korean Yu is still promising.Compared with Tsai Ing -wen's loyalty to the United States, South Korea ’s Yu is not comparable to that, because the Tsai Ing -wen Democratic Progressive Party’ s resentment of the mainland and catering to the United States is obviously more in line with the needs of the United States in strategic competition with China.However, Tsai Ing -wen has been on both sides of the strait, and South Korea ’s Yu can continue to take a big step in this regard.
He can even take the initiative to visit the mainland again after the Cai Yingwen Democratic Progressive Party promotes the so -called CCP's agent and other laws and regulations before the Cai Yingwen Democratic Progressive Party promotes the so -called law.The banner of development.This will be a new breakthrough in cross -strait exchanges, and its level is even similar to that of Ma Ying -jeou and the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China ... The meeting in Singapore allows Taiwanese people to see the dawn of cross -strait relations.The hatred atmosphere and election issues that the party authorities deliberately shaped.
Even in the cross -strait relations, Ke Wenzhe, which has a positive statement, joined the election campaign, it is impossible to have this breakthrough of South Korean Yu.Therefore, further development on cross -strait relations to avoid the predicament of the Kuomintang candidates to take the incense and worship of the DPP in the past, and grasp the initiative. It is not only the opportunity to surpass Tsai Ing -wen by South Korea.EssenceSouth Korea ’s Yu has a lot of challenges. Compared with Tsai Ing -wen and Ke Wenzhe in all aspects, they do n’t have obvious advantages, and they are even at a disadvantage. Only by breaking through cross -strait relations and using this to drive the entire election discussion is the opportunity to win.
Observing from the regional situation, it is obvious that compared to the Cai Yingwen DPP is trying to promote the Taiwan independence routes such as de -Chinaization, cater to and even incite the competition confrontation between the United States and mainland China.Yu is demanding Taiwan's safety, and people have money. If they are elected, the situation in the Taiwan Strait must be relatively stable and will not become a new detonation point between China and the United States. This should be a good factor in peace and stability in the Asia -Pacific region.
Whether South Korea ’s Yu can overcome difficulties and win the election campaign is not only related to his personal political life and the life and death of the Kuomintang, but also related to the fundamental benefits of the Taiwanese people and the peaceful pattern of the Asia -Pacific region.
The author is Chinese current affairs commentator
Taiwan Strait Relations and Public Opinion Researchers
Further development in cross -strait relations, to avoid the predicament of the Kuomintang candidates to take the initiative to take the incense and worship of the DPP in the past. It is not only the opportunity to surpass Tsai Ing -wen by South Korean Yu, but also the only place he has more advantages than Ke Wenzhe.
