Author: Zhang Deng and
Lenin once said that the strongest fortress broke from the inside.This principle is the same except for military and international order.
For more than a year, the main concern of Western international relations and diplomatic communities has long been limited to the new cold war caused by the US -China trade war, and has expanded the prospects of Western free international order after the war.In addition to the pure materialist school represented by J. Mearsheimer, he believes that the illusion of freedom international order has been shattered; and the new conservative American exceptions (American Exceptionalism) believes that unilateralism can make dominance forever forever.; Other cautious and gentle views believe that although the current Western order is on the verge of solution, the power has not yet reached the extent of the doomed war.However, if a country only wants to take chestnuts and take risks in fire, the cracks of order will inevitably expand, resulting in blessing that we enjoy the order of peace for 70 years.
One of the founders of Western Free Institutionalism, one of the special articles written by Joseph NYE this year is very representative.The subtitle of this article from Wilson to Trump is even more shocking.Because President Wilson proposed the 14 -point principle of liberals as a Guidan after the World War II.It is about 100 years from the Vienna meeting to the Paris Conference.If the Berlin Conference and the Kingsoft Conference are interspersed, there are few peaceful order after the war that can last for more than 70 years.One of the main external factors that Nai acknowledged that the current hegemony order was challenged was the rise of China, but the internal causes that had never been seen before were that the United States had solved Wilsonism and even fell into Anti-Wilson Moment to this day.The United States looks at the order it hosted, and such a big crack has occurred in 70 years.
Coincidentally, the article of the self -collapse of the US power of the well -known critic Fareed Zakaria was published in the latest foreign affairs.He acknowledged that there was no eternal hegemony in history, and the current hegemony order did not start 70 years ago, but only from the disintegration of the Soviet Union, and when Bushi launched the Iraq war, his authority was at its peak.
However, if it is just an external crack such as terrorism, it is not enough to subvert the order. It has repeatedly violated the core interests+the principles of Powell, which overcome the double insurance, and finally the authority of the order was splurked.He had died two years ago, hoping to use his words to turn back from his mistake.
Instead, we think that Nay and Zakalia are memorizing the principles of order that the Trump administration abandoned by the Trump administration. It is better to say that they are not only deviated from Wilson's lofty ideals and violated realist wisdom.
Stephen Walt, known for its conservation realism theory, looked forward to Trump's great strategy in Trump's period of U.S. Ying Paotai during the April issue entitled to end arrogance and open a new era of American self -control.Watt agreed that China's rise is a major challenge at this moment, but she is neither the only one, and the United States' response is not good.He also believes that the real trouble of the United States comes from the inside. Two major issues include: first, the liberal practice created by the party from the party from the party will be excessively expanded, and the second is the decline of freedom value and domestic governance.
Watt pointed out that the arrogance of liberal expansion has led to the endless regime transformation actions of Washington, but forced North Korea and Iran to nuclearize and extremeization;The relegated American democracy loses the credit to the outside world.Now Trump comes to the stage to benefit from his promise to govern the corruption of the institutional faction and reduce the overseas intervention of the teacher and veterans, but continue to act in the Eastern Europe, the Middle East, East Asia and Latin America.Dun and Obama.
Nei, Zakalia and Watt are all well -known famous artists in contemporary US international relations.They have different theoretical preferences, but they see the same way.The US hegemony is still the pillar of the Western international order. The rise of power has caused the international system power to start local transfer, but it only causes external cracks that cause changes in the western international order, let alone China has not yet reached the status of the Soviet concept and force that can resist the US trials that can resist the US trial.EssenceSo another larger gap that caused the current order endangered group, in fact, it has emerged as early as the beginning of the Cold War, and it has spread from the core of order.
The world can still be fortunate that there are many warning policies in the Western Fortress.In Taiwan, which is located on the outside of the order, how to restrain the local dissolved order section, it can only be said that peacefully depends on wisdom, and it is safe to rely on themselves.
(The author is a professor at the Department of Political Science, the National Taiwan University)
