Zhongshi Society
Over the past year, internal politics, cross -strait relations, and US -China relations have undergone major changes, which will have a significant impact on Taiwan's security situation and future development.However, inspecting what the DPP government has done, it is not keen to detect the emergence of the new situation, nor does it propose a global response strategy. It seems that only the interests of the election and the gains and losses of the party can be worried about the future of Taiwan.
President Tsai insisted on maintaining the status quo, but the status quo has long changed.With the rise of China, the United States felt strong pressure, and President Trump strongly launched a trade war, hoping to delay the development of the high -tech industry in mainland China, the mainland was not willing to show weakness, and trade conflict continued to rise.The hostility caused by the Sino -US trade war has extended to the conflict of strategic interests, and Taiwan will bear a strong impact.
On the other hand, the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (the 19th National Congress) of the Communist Party of China in October last year, the leader of the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China, who is also the President of the mainland, proposed two hundred -year discussions on national rejuvenation and cross -strait issues.The demands such as the treatment of prospective national people have made every effort to expand the hearts of the people of Taiwan.
In February this year, the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council issued 31 to Taiwan. In September, the Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan residents' residence permits began to provide convenient treatment equivalent to the people, and the policies of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China were specifically implemented.
The far -reaching impact of the Sino -US trade war is not the increase or decrease of the number of imports and exports in a single country, but the migration, change and reorganization of the global supply chain.In order to avoid the tariffs and other risks brought by the trade war, many manufacturers have considered the production line and even all of them to other countries.
Taiwanese businessmen investing in the mainland are mostly exported, and with the United States as the export community, there must be a lot of manufacturers who need to avoid risk after the tariffs.Bicycles exported to the United States.
If Taiwan can successfully attract Taiwanese businessmen who need to find another production base for hedging, it will inevitably have significant benefits to increasing investment, driving economic growth, and increasing employment opportunities.The government also shouted the slogan to attract Taiwanese businessmen's return, but companies looking for investment factories can not only rely on the benefits, and they must have a solid profit.
However, in the inventory of Taiwan ’s investment environment, the five -lack of problems in the corporate community's repeated reactions have not yet been resolved, especially the problem of electricity shortage, which has always made it difficult for the business community to be at ease.At present, the power supply capacity rate rate is often circled at low points below 6%, but it is about to increase several semiconductor factories with high power consumption. In addition, it is a lot of questions whether Taipower can provide sufficient and stable electricity.
Another example is that the marginalization of Taiwan's economic and trade has been unable to break through. During this wave of supply chain, one of Vietnam became the first choice for enterprises. One of the important reasons is that Vietnam has CPTPP (Cross -Pacific Partner Comprehensive Progress Agreement) blessing.For other issues such as low domestic administrative articles and policies, the government must have improved, otherwise it is difficult to attract many Taiwanese businessmen to return.
Of course, based on marketing, production costs, technical levels, cluster effects, etc., some companies may not be able to migrate production bases; but no matter what, for Taiwan, the Sino -US trade war is indeed a good opportunity to attract Taiwanese businessmen's return.It depends on whether the government can get a method and bring out a solid policy.
For the continuous announcement of the people's equivalent treatment, including the Taiwan policy and residence permit, the DPP government has proposed some one -sided anti -blocking, cracking down on political opponents, and hurting their compatriots in addition to criticizing the mainland.Can't get a strategic plan for Taiwan.
Taking the policy of Huihuai as an example, Lai Qingde announced two weeks on the other side. He only said that this was not a Taiwan policy but a policy on Taiwan.Most of the subsequent 39 corresponding measures are the re -combination of the original policies of various ministries, and there is no new idea.
Regarding the residence permit, the positive response after the silence of the Executive Yuan for many days, it was actually a Taiwanese citizen who received the residence permit from the mainland. It will regulate and restrict citizenship. At present, it is actively collecting opinions from all walks of life and studying the degree of control.When the other party extended an olive branch to the people of Taiwan, the policy that the DPP government can think of is only to restrict and suppress their citizens.Essence
Faced with the fierce changes in the relationship between the three sides of the United States, China, and Taiwan, especially the conflict between China and the United States, cross -strait relations will deteriorate, Taiwan needs to avoid risk, and more insightful political leaders need to lead Taiwan to face the next 5The forward -looking policies of challenges in the year and 10 years, rather than just playing with their mouths, seeing tricks, and suppressing their citizens' election operations.
