Author: Liu Jincai
Since Trump's administration, despite claiming to change the Asia -Pacific strategy re -balance policy of the Obama administration, it is exactly the same as China's soft circumference, and even more intensified.In the three reports of the Trump administration's three reports of US security strategy, defense strategy abstract, and US nuclear military situation, China has clearly defined China as its main strategic opponent and amendments.As a global super hegemony, the United States is the first in economic and military power. As a regional hegemony, China is the third and third in military power.
Beginning in the 1990s, the theory of Chinese threats and the theory of collapse of China in the United States repeatedly emerged, while Chinese authorities have continuously advocated peaceful rise theory.China's foreign strategy has changed. From Deng Xiaoping, it has proposed to keep the light and keep it in a civilized and responsible country, emphasizing the diplomatic relations of the country.If the two major powers of China and the United States cannot escape the trap of Xushenda, they cannot avoid suspicion and suspicion of each other. The potential will be unable to cooperate and eventually go to war. This is definitely a global disaster with devastating significance.
First of all, the Sino -US conflict has expanded from the rise in trade war to the field of diplomacy, intelligence and political fields. Recently, Trump has recently criticized China's trade policy and interference in the United States in the United Nations.Trump ’s anti -China strategy has argued that there is a violin selection station between the internal parties of Taiwan. Should Taiwan learn from South Korea to seek elastic balanced multilateral diplomatic strategy or play the role of the Major horses who are softened by the American Indian strategy?
In the global strategy of the United States and China, Taiwan plays a limited role in the role of chess pieces. The regional security and peace of the United States and China on the Korean Peninsula have common interests.The consensus implementation of the Cultural Fair and the Special Gold will still need to rely on China's support regardless of the non -nucleusization and terminate state of the Peninsula. China and the United States are both competitive and cooperative in many international issues. It is impossible for the United States to support Taiwan without restrictions.
Secondly, following the continuous upgrade of the Sino -US trade war, the United States tried to shift from economic interests to political systems and the differences in the concept of democratic freedom.Trump has accused China of the United Nations Security Council who is interested in influencing the mid -term elections in the United States and interfere in the internal affairs.The mainland foreign minister Wang Yi immediately refuted the weakness, emphasizing that China would neither become the United States nor challenged the United States, and would not replace the United States.China will not repeat the path of national strength.U.S. imaginative suspicion is spreading, and it will magnify the existing contradiction effect.
The Tsai government pursues pro -American, friendly, and anti -mid -range routes. It is an unbalanced strategy, especially in anti -Chinese issues to maintain high consistency with the United States.On the basis of ninety -two consensus politics on both sides of the strait, Lianhe and Japan increased the confidence and chips in resistance. However, this imbalanced unilateral dependencies are full of risks.Taiwan should be adjusted to the main axis to avoid the deterioration of cross -strait conflicts once in China and the United States; or Sino -US relations tend to be gentle, but fall into the predicament of the betrayal.
(The author is assistant professor at the Department of Public Affairs of Fo Guang University)
