In October, China, Russia and Russia and North Korea will usher in bilateral high -level talks that have received great attention from the outside world, which has aroused the attention of China and Russia to the alliance.Interviewed scholars analyzed that China -Russia and North Korea currently focus on their own needs in bilateral relations, which does not mean that the three countries are jointly establishing a new three -sided mechanism.

However, scholars point out that there are uncertain factors in the development of the three sides of China-Russia and North Korea. It does not rule out that North Korea may be strengthened by strengthening North Korea -Russian relations , seeking to reduce dependence on China.

China, Russia, and North Korea have been in close contact in the past two months.Russian President Putin is scheduled to visit China in October ;This will be the first visit to Putin to visit Putin for the first time after the International Criminal Court issued a arrest warrant in March this year.Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov also expected to visit the DPRK this month; it is generally believed that this may be paved for Putin's visit to the DPRK.

North Korean leader Kim Jong -un visited Russia from September 12th to 17th. He met Putin at the Eastern Space launcher in Alumul in the Far East and invited Putin to visit the DPRK.During his visit to Russia, Kim Jong -un also inspected the local military factories and released a strong signal for the two countries to strengthen military cooperation.

Member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China, director of the Central Foreign Affairs Office, and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, then visited Russia from September 18th to 21st.

In terms of relations between China and DPRK, Li Hongzhong, member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China and vice chairman of the Standing Committee of the Chinese People's Congress, led a delegation to visit North Korea at the end of July and attended the 70th anniversary of the Korean War of War.Less than two months later, Liu Guozhong, a member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China and vice premier of the State Council, also led the Chinese party and government delegation to visit the 75th anniversary celebration of the Korean National Day in early September.

The hidden interaction between China and Russia's high -level and high -levels allows the outside world to see flowers in the fog.Some opinions believe that the China -Russia North Korea is stepping up a group, and the three parties may accelerate the formation of quasi -alliance relations. Northeast Asia may reproduce the new cold war.

However, all interviewees believe that bilateral talks are becoming more and more frequent, which does not mean that China -Russia and North Korea is jointly establishing a new three -sided mechanism.

In an interview with Lianhe Morning Post, Ryu Yongwook, an assistant professor at East Asia International Relations at the National University of Public Policy, said, said that except for diplomatic cooperation between China and Russia, it has not achieved meaningful three -sided cooperation. ThereforeThe three -sided alliance is formed, and it is still premature.

However, Liu Yongyu does not rule out the possibility of China -Russia's promotion mechanism for three -sided cooperation in the future. If the United States adopts a similar tough policy for the three countries, they may see their future closely connected and unite to resist the pressure of the United States.

Zhang Bohui, a professor of the Department of Government and International Affairs of Lingnan University in Hong Kong, said in an interview that the bilateral relations between China, Russia, China, and Russia and North Korea have different motivations.Sino -Russian relations are driven by global political forces. The basis of China -DPRK relations is that Beijing needs North Korea as a security buffer, and the improvement of Russian -DPRK relations is because Russia needs more ammunition in the Russian and Ukraine War.Pursue a new three -sided system.

Zhang Bohui pointed out: China is particularly alert to the emergence of the three -sided mechanism between China and Russia.

He said that when Beijing turned to the United States and Japan in South Korea, it was seeking to improve the relationship with Seoul.If China and Russia established a three -way mechanism and North Korea, Seoul will be fully pushed to Tokyo and Washington.

Analysis: Uncertainties in the three -sided relationship

US Japan and South Korea The cooperation in the Asian region is becoming more and more vigilant. The United States, Japan, and South Korea have signed three documents such as the spirit of David Camp in August to achieve the institutionalization of the Three Kingdoms Alliance.

After Kim Jong -un visited Russia, military cooperation between Russia and North Korea was particularly concerned.The United States, Japan, and South Korea have made a serious concern about the discussions between Russia and the DPRK's military cooperation, and said that the United States, Japan and South Korea agreed to resolutely respond to any behaviors that violate the security of the Security Council and threaten regional security.

Experts speculate that during the visit of Kim Jong Un, North Korea and Russia were discussed in the discussion of prohibited weapons transactions and other military cooperation measures. North Korea may seek military support from Russia through military support in the Russia and Ukraine War.

The United States Broadcasting Corporation quoted anonymous US officials this week that North Korea had begun to transfer cannons to Russia.It is also reported that the Russian Minister of Defense, Shogu, proposed to Kim Jong -un during his visit to the DPRK in July, and China -Russia North Korea held a joint maritime military exercise.

Many analysts believe that the trend of the Russian and North Korea's group will cause China to be regarded as an embarrassing situation in China, which is regarded as the elder brother in China, Russia and North Korea.China has spoke cautiously since the Russian and Ukraine War to avoid being divided into the Russian camp by the international community. In the past month, it has also appeared on public opinion that it has appealed to China to achieve influence and avoid Russia and North Korea to deepen military cooperation.

The Japanese media reported in September that Kim Jong -un's first foreign visit after the epidemic chose Russia, which euphemistically expressed his dissatisfaction with China.

Liu Yongyu believes that the Russian and North Korea leaders are believed to meet their own urgent needs, not driven by greater strategic considerations.However, it does not rule out that North Korea may seek dependence on China through this. North Korea has used the differences between the two communist powers to seek its own interests, which has precedent in history.

Liu Yongyu judged that if the Russian -DPRK relations have further developed and deviated from Beijing's diplomatic direction, this will cause Beijing to concern.But so far, Beijing believes that it does not oppose Russia and North Korea closer, and is committed to uniting them in order to resist the increasing pressure of the United States to Beijing.