A survey by Reuters shows that in the decision maker's promise to strengthen its support for the economy, China's economic growth may rise to 4.9%in 2023.
Reuters on Thursday (January 12) quoted 49 economists to accept the medium value of growth proposed by the agency, due(GDP) growth may only be 2.8%, which is lower than the 3.2%growth estimation of October last year, and is significantly lower than 8.4%in 2021.
Chinese leaders promise to stimulate China's economic growth this year while facing the factors such as "dynamic clearing zero" sealing and control measures and the severe decline of the real estate industry.However, the Chinese government suddenly announced that the "dynamic clearing zero" epidemic prevention measures were suddenly announced in December last year, causing a surge in the infection rate of epidemic, which is causing short -term pain to the economy.
Reuters quoted the UBS chief Chinese economist Wang Tao analyzed that it is expected that after March and April this year, thanks to the re -release and additional savings after the crown disease epidemic, the Chinese economyActivities and consumption will rebound strongly.However, the lack of large -scale income and consumer stimulus supporting facilities is likely to limit the rebound.
It is reported that China's growth rate in 2022 is expected to be far below the official 5.5%target.The growth rate of 2.2%in the early days of outbreak in 2020 will be the worst economic performance of China since the end of the Cultural Revolution in 1976.
It is reported that in response to the intensified epidemic prevention measures, China's GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 may increase by only 1.8%year -on -year, far lower than the growth rate of 3.9%in the third quarter.Calculated in quarter -quarter, compared with the growth rate of 3.9%in the third quarter of July to September, China's economic estimation may shrink 0.8%in the fourth quarter of 2022.
The Chinese government will release the GDP data for the full year of 2022 and the fourth quarter of the next Tuesday (January 17), and the economic activity data in December.