Former Australian Prime Minister, President and CEO of the Asian Association, Lu Kewen said that China is inevitably walking out of the "dynamic clearing" policy with the awkward "crab walking", which will be consumed in China.The demand has a major positive impact, allowing him to see the dawn of the Chinese economy.
Lu Kewen said on the Bloomberg Innovation Economic Forum in Singapore on Thursday (November 17) that mainland China has begun to test in Hong Kong models in Guangdong and other cities. If there is no new mutation, it is expected to be next year.Zhonghui successfully got rid of the current situation of epidemic prevention.
China's latest round of epidemic continues to heat up. Tuesday (November 15) has added 200,000 new local crown diseases.example.
As the epidemic rising rapidly, the Chinese central government issued 20 measures to optimize the prevention and control of the epidemic last Friday (November 11), announced that it has been significantly relaxed to epidemic prevention measures and obtained a warm response from the market and public opinion.
Lu Kewen predicts that China will go out of the "clear zero" by next summer, which will have a significant positive impact on China's domestic consumption demand, "China's consumer demand has been suppressed for too long."
He also said that after the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, China also had some economic actions, including the relaxation of the real estate industry policy, which made him see a line of dawn in China's economy.
The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China closed on October 22. The first trading day after the Standing Committee of the Politburo was unveiled, the Lukang stock market and China stock markets were severely frustrated, showing that the capital market was pessimistic about China's economic prospects.
But in Lu Kewen's view, China's next prime minister -Li Qiang, the current Secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee of the Communist Party of China, is a capable and friendly leader.
Lu Kewen said that the unreasonable question is whether the new team led by Li Qiang has sufficient political energy to say this: the trend of leading to the country's leadership and the retreat of the country from the market is fundamentally damaged from fundamental damage.China's growth, so this growth model must be adjusted.
Lu Kewen said: "If he (Li Qiang) can do it, then China will once again prove that those critics for it are wrong." China will re -enter the growth, but if Li Qiang cannot do it, then everyone will be everyone.You have to ask, where does the next increase in the Chinese economy come from? "
Mai Jianlu, chairman of Anke Consulting Co., Ltd., who attended the same event, said that outside analysis directly believes that the new Politburo Standing Committee members are all followers of Chinese officials, but they are also at the same time.Experienced officials, such as Li Qiang, worked in Jiangsu and Shanghai.
Li Qiang's career is mainly concentrated in the economic and developed southeast coastal areas.In the past 10 years, he has successively served as the governor of Zhejiang Province, secretary of the Jiangsu Provincial Party Committee, and secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee. He has served as high -ranking local members in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai in the Yangtze River Delta, and rare qualifications.
Mai Jianlu said that if Chinese official trusts these people, they can continue to move forward and do some practical things. "When the Chinese economy encountered the worst in the 30 years, they not only needed to re -gain the confidence of the business community, but also needed to regain the epidemic situation in the epidemic situation.The confidence of the Chinese people struggling in the control ".
Taiwan issue
It will not start in China and the United States within five years because both sides are not sure to win
Lu Kewen talked about Sino -US relations and judged that China and the United States will not start in Taiwan and the United States in Taiwan, because neither side will not be sure to win.But in the middle and long term, Chinese officials will still plan to recover Taiwan, and the Chinese army has been prepared accordingly.
Lu Kewen analyzed that both China and the United States did not want to fight due to Taiwan, because they both considered that they might defeat the battle, and this comprehensive military conflict would bring disaster to the global economy.
These reasons have also promoted leaders of the two countries to decide to meet in Bali Island.
U.S. President Biden and China's official Monday (November 14) held their first face -to -face meeting. The analysis believed that China and the United States tried to show the international community's determination to show the relationship between control and control and stabilizing the relationship between the two countries.
Lu Kewen said that both sides tried to form some barriers in concepts and operations to prevent accidents, conflicts, and war.However, this is just short -term.In the middle and long term, Chinese officials still intend to recover Taiwan.
