(New York Electric) Goldman Sachs Group is expected to accelerate the growth of the Chinese economy next year, showing a trend of preemptive and then raising throughout the year.
China has not yet gone out of the dynamics of the crown disease.According to Bloomberg, the economist of Goldman Sachs Group issued a report on Thursday (17th) that assuming that China will be reopened in April next year, then from June to September, the growth rate of the year -on -year rate is expected to be expected to from the second quarter.2%increase to 10%.This will help the annual economic growth rate of 2023 reaching 4.5%, which is higher than 3%of the expected this year.The reopened "Shunfeng" is expected to last until the first half of 2024, and it is predicted that the GDP growth rate in 2024 will rise to 5.3%.
They believe: "On the surface of the economic accelerated growth of the whole year next year, there may be a completely different situation in the first half of the year."
TheReport pointed out that in the first quarter of their respective reopening, the actual private consumption in East Asian regions such as South Korea, Taiwan, and Hong Kong is expected to decrease.A rebound appeared.
Goldman Sachs Economist believes that China's economic growth may occur next year.They believe that China's economic policy in the first half of next year should be loose, and then it returns to normal when consumption and services will return significantly in the second half of the year.