Former US Secretary of State Kissinger made the latest inference on Sino -US relations: Seeing that the benefits of Sino -Russian "not capped" relations are far less expected. After the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, China will "appropriately tilt to the United States."
According to the report from the Hong Kong South China Morning Post on October 4, Kissinger also said at the Asian Association in New York, "Xi Jinping gave Putin a short check", "he must think(Russia's) Invasion will win. He urgently needs to be re -calibrated. "
This title is Kissinger: After the misconduct is relying on Russia, Xi Jinping may" re -calibrate "saying thatKissinger believes that Xi Jinping almost believes that Putin will win the Russian army invading Ukraine on February 24, but the war is exposed to the deep weakness of the Russian army. Xi Jinping now avoids the situation of the Western camp from fighting against Russia.Causes discussions in China.
The 99 -year -old Kissinger played an important role in the process of promoting China and the United States in the 1970s.He was called "the old friend of the Chinese people" by Chinese leaders and senior officials, and visiting China was often received by high specifications.
Different from Western politicians or experts and scholars who look at Chinese western politicians wearing colored glasses.It should be objective.
Kissinger: Russia has lost war to a certain extent.
In fact, Kissinger has criticized the United States more than once on the Russian and Ukraine issue.When he delivered a speech to the US Think Tank Foreign Relations Committee on September 30, it was not wise to try to incorporate Ukraine into NATO after the United States disintegrated in the Soviet Union.But Kissinger did not agree with Putin for this reason to re -incorporate Ukraine into the scope of Russian power by raid.He even believes that Russia has "lost war."
Kissinger said: "Russia has lost the war to some extent, because this war shows that Russia's energy that threatens Europe with conventional attacks is obviously gone."
Before Kissinger delivered the above speeches, Western media's recent interaction from China and Russia, and China officially annexed Russia's referendum in Ukraine's four occupied regions to speculate, followedWith Russia's defeat on the battlefield, China's situation is becoming more embarrassing, and Beijing is trying to drive away from Russia on the Ukrainian issue.
Putin and Xi Jinping met in Uzbekistan to meet with the SCO Summit. Some Western media noticed that Putin acknowledged after the meeting that the Chinese side had "doubts and concerns" about the Ukrainian war, and the Chinese party after the meeting.The statement issued only did not mention the situation in Ukraine and did not mention the threat of NATO. It only said that China is willing to support each other with Russia in involving each other's core interests.In contrast, Putin made it clear that he adhered to a Chinese principle and emphasized that Taiwan is part of China.
Beijing is opening the distance?
A comment article by American diplomatic scholars magazine said that according to the Chinese press release, Xi Jinping's two calls with Putin in February and June both clearly mentioned the Ukrainian issue. By September, in September, in SeptemberIn the physical meeting, the Chinese side has not mentioned the situation in Ukraine in the statement.The article interprets it that Russia is willing to issue a problem in Taiwan. The core interests of this China are publicly supported by Beijing, but China has not given Russia's corresponding support on the Ukrainian issue.
According to VOA, while Li Zhanshu, chairman of the National People's Congress of China, Li Zhanshu visited Russia, the two sides also had different expressions of the Ukrainian situation.
According to a press release issued by the Russian House of Russia, Li Zhanshu said, "On the issue of the vital interests of Russia, China understands and supports Russia, especially the situation in Ukraine."However, in the content released by the Chinese official and Xinhua News Agency, only "China is willing to continue to support each other with the core interests and major concerns involving each other", and does not mention Ukraine.
Reported that some analysts evaluated that Putin publicly acknowledged that the Chinese side had "questioning and concern" for the Ukrainian war, but because China was dissatisfied with Russia's press release on Li Zhanshu's conversation.Russia is required to express China's disturbing position in war.
Charles Kupchan, a senior director of European Affairs and Professor of International Relations at Georgen University in the United States, believes that Beijing has shrunk compared with the performance of the Ukrainian war in the early days of the Ukrainian war.
Kupu said that signs seen on Uzbekistan and Chinese media show that China is keeping a distance from Putin because Russia does not play well in the war.
"I really think Beijing is quietly and subtlely open the distance between myself and the Ukrainian war."Zhou officially annexed the four regions of Ruhisk, Donetsk, Hermuson, and Zapolo in Ukraine. China did not criticize Russia, which was the same as Russia's response to Crimean in 2014.The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs only said that "always advocating the sovereignty and territorial integrity of various countries should be respected."
The United States and Albania subsequently drafted and submitted a draft resolution to the United Nations Security Council called on all countries, international organizations and institutions to not acknowledge Russia's annexation statement.Because Russia rejected, the draft failed, and China, Brazil, India and other countries both voted for votes.Nevertheless, it is generally believed that China will not clearly support Russia's referendum because it will harm China's own territorial claims.
BBC Chinese website reported that Zhu Zhiqun, a professor of international relations at the University of Buckle University, analyzed that the Chinese government tried to please both sides on the tricky issue of the Russia and Ukraine.Standing up and publicly opposed the referendum, but this does not mean that China supports or recognizes the referendum.
Zhu Zhiqun said, "China will not publicly oppose it to give Russia and Putin.Territory. "
For seven months of the war in Russia, China has not publicly condemned Russia so far. The two countries have also launched a joint patrol in the Pacific waters. After China in Moscow, China has become Russian energyThe main export market with goods, but Beijing has not signed a new economic agreement with Moscow so far. The United States has also confirmed that China has not provided material support to Russia in war.
The Voice of America quotes the Eurasian Group's global macro geopolitical senior analyst, Ali Wyne, said that China is trying to maintain a balance between Russia, the West, and its own interests.Essence
Wenen believes that it is difficult to achieve these three goals at the same time, and the longer the war lasts, the harder China will maintain this balance.He said that China does not have a better choice, and can only try to "confuse the level", hoping that the war will end early.
Chinese public opinion is weakened?
Diplomacy scholars published an article signed by the author Mu Chunshan (transliteration) on September 21 that the question of Chinese domestic public opinion in the Ukrainian war has been strengthened over the past seven months.
Mu Chunshan said that in the early days of the war, Chinese official television stations invited many experts to analyze the situation of Russia and Ukraine.There are more and more voices against Russia on social media platforms.Mu Chunshan said that even netizens said that Russia's referendum reminds them of the independent referendum of Outer Mongolia.
Mu Chunshan believes that the weakening of pro -Russia's voice shows that some Chinese who have supported Russia in the past seeing the war is deteriorating.
Mu Chunshan said that many of his media friends at first were optimistic about Russia's victory over Ukraine, but now they are thinking about the impact of China if they lose."This change is not only related to the battlefield situation, but also to Chinese media and even Chinese officials' judgment on the future of Russia, and they are more cautious."
Although Beijing is embarrassing, it is generally believed that because Russia is China is China, China is China.Important partners to make the United States, unless Putin really uses nuclear weapons, it is impossible for China to abandon Russia.However, the longer the war is dragged, China's balance is more difficult to control.Perhaps Beijing is even more annoyed that it tries to create a firewall between China -Russia relations and Putin's launching Ukrainian war, but the results are not significant so far.
