(Bloomberg, New York) Analysis believes that the United States and other /A> (G7) members of China have increasingly seen China's deep structural problems from the current economic dilemma, which may lead to this long in China and the West in geopolitics competition.
Recently, Bloomberg News communicated with some officials in the capital cities such as Washington, Rome, Tokyo. Their view is that the mainstream economic discussions that dominate the global capital flow for decades are reversing rapidly.If China once appeared to be replaced by the United States, which became the world's largest economic country, the current situation has changed.Washington and allies are now gradually turning to calculations. Even if China has not fallen into a decline, it is likely to be close to the pinnacle of strength.
US officials: China faces economic and population challenges
U.S. President Biden previously said in the campaign that long-term challenges such as debt and population make China has become a "ticking time bomb" .When the U.S. Minister of Commerce Raymond, on Tuesday (August 29), when he went to Shanghai from Beijing to Shanghai by high -speed rail, some US company executives told her that China has become more and more "inadequate."
Fang Dan, chief executive officer of the New American Security Center in Washington, said: "Worried about China's unstoppable rising views, and began to change to worry that China's economy and population cannot be reversed."
This view is quietly growing within the Bayeng government.In an interview with Bloomberg on the eve of visiting Beijing in June, Treasury Minister Yellen said that China's current population decline "challenge growth and investment."
U.S. officials believe that China ’s wrongdoing for decades of advice on increasing economic openness will be ignored, and long -term issues will hinder economic growth.An official pointed out that the White House even believes that China ’s increasingly hostile policy and its economic pressure in suppressing investment are better than any restrictions in the United States.
G7 Some people worry that the further deceleration of China's growth engine in China will make the prospects that are dull.
Analysts: China's economic fragility appears
The change of this mentality is not limited to the officialdom.The latest articles of US diplomatic journals announced that China ’s growth miracle is over and the beginning of stagnation.At the hearing of the US -China Economic and Security Review Commission on August 21, the primary topic of analysts of private sector analysts was economic fragility.The analysis agency Rong Ding Consulting The Chinese market research director Wright said during testimony that Beijing will never be able to win the global economic overlord.
How long will the Chinese economic slowdown last?G7 officials pointed out that China has a financial resources that stimulate the economy and avoid economic collapse. Beijing has also continuously launched measures to support the real estate industry that encountered difficulties, but so far it has not yet come up with comprehensive stimulus measures.President of China and his economic staff hoping to break the situation of over -borrowing.
The analysis of Bloomberg's economic research shows that, with the help of the dollar strong, the US economy has recently pursued its advantages to China.However, officials in the United States, Europe, and Japan insist that there is no reason to celebrate, and they are facing their own challenges and are worried that China's demand will weaken the impact on the global economy and its domestic companies.