Taiwan is hot and frequent in power this summer. Scholars analyze believes that in order to achieve the goal of stabilizing power supply and net zero carbon row, nuclear energy cannot be abandoned at this stage. It is necessary to roll to correct energy policies and actively develop diversified green energy.
The average global temperature in July this year has repeatedly reached a high high, and Taiwan is like "roasted sweet potatoes".On July 5th, Yuli Town, Hualien County soared to 39.1 degrees Celsius. On July 8th, Zhongzheng and Wanhua District of Taipei Basin also measured the extreme high temperature of 38.5 degrees Celsius.The hot summer peak will only end until mid -August. The 39.7 degrees Celsius recorded on July 24, 2020, the highest temperature record of the 39.7 degrees Celsius, and it is not rewritten.
No matter the north and the south, the power outage is troublesome.On July 9th, Kaohsiung Fengshan was powered off. About 90 street lights were not bright. KMT Kaohsiung City Councilor Li Yajing asked on Facebook. Is it "air -conditioning and street lighting" is a new normal?On the same night, 1184 households in Wuxing Street, Xinyi District, Taipei were parked at 1184 households, and a dark pressure, Taiwan Electric Power Corporation (Taipower) emergency repaired.
In the past two years, "513 major power outages" and "303 major power outage" have occurred in Taiwan in the past two years, which have affected 4.15 million households and 5.49 million households, respectively.Although the government has repeatedly denied the lack of electricity, it is obviously a gap with the people's feelings.Regardless of political or energy policy positions, interviewees also expressed concern about whether Taiwan can stabilize power supply.
First of all, after Taiwan Cai Yingwen came to power in 2016, he proposed the "2025 non -nuclear homeland" policy, which promised to reach a comprehensive waste nuclear in 2025.Coal -fired with 30 % of the vision.
It is difficult to meet the standards.As of the end of 2022, Taiwan ’s green energy or renewable energy accounted for only 8.6 %. In June this year, the Energy Bureau of the Ministry of Economic Affairs first fixed the target of 2025 to 15.5 %, and announced that the goal of 20 % of the green energy energy was extended to October 2026 to complete the completion.Essence
As for the remaining 84.5 % of the fire power generation in 2025, the Energy Administration only said that the target of natural gas and coal -fired, and did not mention the goal of 50 % of natural gas and 30 % of coal.As of the end of 2022, the proportion of natural gas in Taiwan was 43.4 % and coal -fired 34.8 %.In the face of environmental assessment disputes, the progress of a number of natural gas receiving stations planned by the plan is backward, and it is very challenging to reach 50 % of energy in 2025.
As for the proportion of nuclear energy in Taiwan, from 52.4 % in 1985 to 16 % in 2015 and 9.1 % at the end of 2022.
A gap in energy facing the power outage crisis
Once the third nuclear energy power plant (nuclear three factory), No. 1 and No. 2 machines are suspended in July and May next year, respectively.The dilemma of green energy is not enough.If it is not adjusted in time, a large power outage crisis will be performed at any time in the future.
Taiwan has passed the "raising green" referendum in 2018. The people hope that before the green energy is in place, they will allow nuclear energy to play the role of connectivity.
Faced with the energy gap, the politicians who intend to run for the Presidential election in January 2024 expressed their statements to nuclear energy topics, including the DPP Chairman and Taiwan Vice President Lai Qingde at the end of May that the official planning to make the stops of the stop is urgent.Effectiveness is considered to be acceptable to make nuclear power spare emergency, and no longer adheres to the goal of reaching non -nuclear home in 2025.
Li Min, a special professor at the Department of Engineering and System Science, Tsinghua University in Taiwan, pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that nuclear power has been regarded as a green energy by the European Union, which meets the three major requirements of power systems with stable power supply, stable electricity prices, and low -carbon emissions.If Taiwan wants to get out of the energy dilemma, only the "2025 non -nuclear homeland" policy will be abandoned and the four nuclear power plants are promoted to supply power, that is, the extension of the first, second, and third factories and the four manufacturers.
He said that in the face of the global warming climate crisis, Taiwan will reach the 2050s of carbon neutralized net zero (net zero) transformation target. The ideal situation is to pass the nuclear power plant in the short term and the long -term promotion of a small model -based reaction furnace(SMR) The nuclear -merger and nuclear power generation will increase the proportion of nuclear power generation as a carbon -free energy to 30 % of the energy ratio.Less than 40 %.
Li Min said that Taiwan faces the restrictions on the narrow -mindedness and island power grid. Renewable energy power generation requires the vast land and the four natural gas receiving stations in the planned.It is likely that the power deficiency and power limit occur.
He admits that the biggest difficulty of the extension of nuclear power plants comes from political resistance. It is recommended to consider to use public and privately operate to bypass political disturbances, invite private manufacturers to invest in, international power companies to manage, and hand over to Taipower to operate.
The key to Taiwan's energy dilemma, Dr. Wang Rugeng, the project manager of the Sustainable Science Center of the Central Academy of Sciences, pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the government has quickly created renewable energy in recent years, but it has not expanded the capacity of the power grid and energy storage device at the corresponding speed.It was developed, but the rear power grid was unbearable, and the proportion of green energy still could not meet the standards.
Wang Rugeng suggested that Taiwan should refer to the situation of Germany and California, the United States, and step up the development of decentralized grids, including the electric vehicle charging stations that can incorporate AC power into the public power grid to achieve the state of power storage or Tibetan power in the people.At the same time, the feed line facilities that increase wind power and light heat power generation to increase the toughness of the grid.
He said that when the wind power and solar optoelectronic, the weather changes, and cannot guarantee a stable supply; in comparison, the nuclear energy scheduling ability is good, and you can enter the power grid at any time.It is worth considering the extension and depending on the situation of energy supply at home and abroad to conduct rolling reviews.
Develop geothermal and develop high -efficiency sunlight.Taiwan's civic society is highly concerned about energy issues. Some people insist on non -nuclear ideals. Some people pay attention to environmental protection and marine biological diversity. Some people are worried that natural gas reserves are less than two weeks. In the face of mainland military blockade, it will become a national security crisis. Some people recommend laying submarine cablesBuy green electricity from Australia.Wang Rugeng said that Taiwan advocates democratic value, and it is necessary to establish a consensus through dialogue and go out of its own way according to a unique situation; the government should also formulate policies in accordance with scientific thinking to reduce political interpretation.
