The US -Philippines strengthened the military alliance. From Tuesday (11th), the two countries have held the largest -scale Balikatan military exercise in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait waters for more than 30 years. It lasted for 18 days.

5,400 Philippine personnel and 12,200 US personnel were mobilized on the shoulder, and about 100 Australian military and Japanese military observers participated.The military exercise also deployed the Patriot Air Defense missile system and the Hymas multi -tube rocket system.

On the same day, a 2+2 ministerial dialogue appeared in Washington.The two sides agreed to optimize the common defense capabilities and modernization of military cooperation, and completed the Blueprint for the United States' security assistance to the Philippines within five to ten years.

Also on the 11th, Xi Jinping, President of China and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, visited the Navy of the Southern theater of Zhanjiang.Xi Jinping emphasized that it is necessary to implement the party's strong military thought in the new era, deepen training of military training, and comprehensively improve the level of modernization of the army.He also said that it is necessary to resolutely defend the sovereignty and marine rights and interests of China, and strive to safeguard the stability of the surrounding situation.

According to public information, the primary national defense task of the Southern theater of the PLA is the South China Sea territory, and it also assisted in dealing with the Taiwan issue.

In the context of the upgrading of the tension between China and the United States and the PLA just ended the military exercise against Taiwan, the US -Philippine inspected the southern theater with Chinese leaders in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait Waterfront, and released a strong signal of deterrent and anti -deterrent to the outside world.

Poor Policy of Slim Sluthars in the former relative

The United States supported the old Marco dictatorship in the anti -communist years, and the latter also exiled to the United States after steps down, which has a deep relationship with the Marco family.After Macco's ruling last year, he reversed his former Duterte's pro -China Sluthery's foreign policy and moved closer to the United States on security issues.

After Martis came to power in 2022, he reversed the policy of his former Duterte's pro -China Sluthery and moved closer to the United States on security issues.(Internet)

It is generally believed that the geographical location of the Philippines and the attitude of national leaders will make the Philippines an important part of the West to strengthen India -resistant operations. It is also an important deployment of the United States in China in the South China Sea and the sea.

The United States and Fei signed the Agreement of Defense Cooperation (EDCA) in 2014 to further relax the scope of the US military's activities in the Philippines.In February of this year, the two countries agreed to expand the scope of the agreement, and agreed that outside the original five military bases, four new Philippine strategic bases opened the U.S. military construction authority.

According to the agreement, the United States has been allowed to enter the Philippine base joint training, pre -deploy equipment, and build runways, fuel storage and military housing facilities.

In April, the Philippines announced the exact position of the four military bases opened to the U.S. military: Camilo Osias Naval Base in Camilo Osias and Lal-Lo Airport, northern of Camilo Osias in northern Philippines;Isabela) of the Army Cruz (Melchor Dela Cruz); Balabac (Balabac), south of the South China Sea and Palawan.

Dance Sword South China Sea, intend to be in the Taiwan Strait

The Hong Kong Ming Pao reported last week quoted Chinese geopolitical science and strategic scholars, and military expert Ni Lixiong said that in the Indo -Pacific strategy of the United States, the South China Sea issues and the Taiwan Strait.Do it.

Ni Lexiong believes that the U.S. military plans to restrain the Taiwan Strait from the side, so as to support Taiwan and military intervention the fastest when seeking the Taiwan Strait.

He analyzed that several new bases in the Philippines were about 400 kilometers away from Taiwan, allowing the US military's future air and missiles to crack down on, which has greatly threatened China's Taiwan strategy.During the war, the U.S. military entered based on the three new strongholds in the northern part of Luzon Island. It can land across the sea across the sea and cooperate with the US military and the Japanese Self -Defense Force in the north to reinforce Taiwan.The Navy was out of the Western Pacific, or invaded Taiwan from southern Taiwan.

A unknown military expert in the mainland judged that the U.S. military will deploy the Haimas Motor multi -tube rocket system at the Luzon Island base, or even short -range missiles, which is enough to win the sea control of the Taiwan and Philippine Sea.The new stronghold is located at the northeast of Luzon Island. The reinforcement of the U.S. military comes from Okinawa and Guam. It is difficult to intercept China in China.He pointed out that the current island chain strategy in the United States is to try to prevent the PLA from entering and leaving the first island chain easily with less troops.

In 2016, Balikatan joint military exercise, American soldiers in the Temporary Capital Camp in the northern Manila.(France -France -France -France Archives)

Macatus: The Philippines cannot avoid being involved in the Taiwan Strait conflict

During the visit to Japan in February this year, Pyrodisiah stated in an interview with the Japanese Economic News that once the Taiwan Strait broke out, the Philippines could not be involved.

He said that because of geographical location, it is difficult to imagine that the Philippines can avoid being involved in the Taiwan Strait.Sagas also said that his hometown is located in the northern northern Ielogos province of the Philippines and only 40 minutes of flight from Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, and we think we are at the front line.

In addition to the geographical location, the common defense agreement signed between the United States and the Philippines in 1951 may also make the Philippines unable to put it out.The agreement stipulates that if the land or interests of the two parties in the Pacific region are attacked or attacked, both parties have obliged to defend their allies.

The analysis draft of the Duan Media pointed out that the key positions of the Philippines and the common defense treaty with the United States have allowed the Philippines to play an important role in the first island chain.

Poland in Pacific?

In addition to strengthening the military alliance with the United States, the Philippines also strengthened security cooperation with Japan and Australia, and also discussed the issue of maritime law enforcement with the United Kingdom.Both Germany and France stated that they are willing to launch maritime patrols with the Philippines.

During his visit to Japan in February, Paris signed an agreement with the Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Kishita, allowing the two countries to cooperate during the disaster relief.This agreement is regarded as the first step in the subsequent agreement. In the future, the two countries may be allowed to deploy troops on each other's land and conduct military exercises.

An article published by the economist in February this year quoted a retired Philippine general that once China and the United States conflicts, the Philippines has limited military strength and difficulty.But the general warned that even if the Philippines just played the role of logistical support envistered by the West, it would lead to huge risks.

The article regards Poland as the reference of the Philippines that Poland plays the role of logistical support for Ukraine in the Russia -Ukraine War.Poland is a member of NATO. The potential threat to war throughout NATO has made Russia dare not cross Poland's border.

However, the article believes that if China and the United States have already played, the Philippines will face the risk of being attacked, because at that time there was no problem in provoking war by attacking the Philippines by attacking the Philippines.

Play the Chinese and American seesaw

Although Marco reversed Duterte's pro -middle position, he did not move towards the extreme route of Aquino III.

Xiaomakus (right) this yearVisit China on January 4 and review the honor guard in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing with Chinese President Xi Jinping (left).(France -France -France -France Archives)

In terms of economy and trade, China is an important partner of the Philippines.As of the end of 2021, China has become the largest trading partner in the Philippines for six consecutive years, and has jumped into the second largest export market in the Philippines.

Marco also hopes to keep this important trading partner.After his visit to China for three days in January this year, he described the results of the visit, and the Philippines received more than $ 20 billion of investment commitments in China.

Therefore, when asked if the security cooperation with the United States and Japan would affect China ’s investment in the Philippines, Marks insisted that these actions were not targeted at China.He also said that the maritime issue cannot define the entire Philippines and China relations.

The South China Sea issue has long been the fuse of the Philippine and China relations.In February this year, the Philippine side accused the Chinese maritime police from having a laser in the Philippine patrol boat near the Nansha Renai Reef, which caused a storm.

Sachas also said in the World Economic Forum in Davos in January this year that China, the Philippines and other coastal countries in the South China Sea's long -lasting dispute made him unable to sleep at night.

Japan Economic News believes that Parathon's situation is better than Aquino IIThe impact.

On the one hand, it continues to maintain relations with China and strive for more economic and trade benefits. On the other side, through strengthening the partnership with the United States and its regional partnership, it curbs China on the South China Sea issue.

On the Sino -US seesaw, Macco puts a delicate balance of difficulty.Sino -US relations have continued to deteriorate, bringing room for the Philippines to maximize their own interests, but this balance will become increasingly difficult to control.